NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO RETHINK 'FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY'
For the Odd Lots blog, I wrote how trying to match spending and taxes on a dollar-for-dollar basis is a very poor way for Democrats to think about paying for their infrastructure bill. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Even if our current inflation does prove to be, in fact, "transitory" it's still sending us a warning that our infrastructure lacks the capacity for fast growth.
Taxing billionaires unrealized capital gains isn't going to create any more berths at the Port of Los Angeles.
Anyway, something I've been thinking about a lot. We have these government agencies that build detailed (usually wrong, but detailed nonetheless) models for future deficits and interest rates. But as @IrvingSwisher has been arguing, we need more granular data on industry capacity
So it's one thing to say we need more port capacity. Which obviously seems true. But how much more? What's actually the right number? Where do we want to get to? Would be good if answers to these questions were more front and center in the infrastructure discussions.
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But unlike $DOGE, it has a fast moving development roadmap, its own decentralized exchange, NFTs, and advanced smart contracting capabilities.
And of course it's WAY cheaper nominally.
Of course, nominal cheapness was for awhile $DOGE's big selling point over Bitcoin and Ethereum.
But it's hard to maintain a cheapness as a sustainable edge, when it's trivially simple for any new project to just add a few zeroes to the total supply.
@markets Somehow we're in a situation in which a record S&P 500, a rapid labor market recovery, a surge in household wealth, surging demand for consumer goods, rapid wage gains (particularly at the low end), manufacturers working non-stop is being depicted as evidence of a policy mistake.
@markets Anyway, it's not like MMTers designed the fiscal response. And in retrospect, you can always come up with some things that could have been better. But the economy is booming, despite the pandemic. Robust fiscal policy looks to have been more than vindicated.
@tracyalloway and I returned to the crypto beat to talk about one of this year's insane mega winners Axie Infinity, whose token $AXS is up over 200x in 2021 alone.
We discussed its "play to earn" model with co founder @Psycheout86
@tracyalloway@Psycheout86 One of the interesting things about Axie is that it's legitimately popular. A lot of tokens are worth a lot of money, but don't actually have that many users in the grand scheme of things. Axie, on the other hand, has millions of players.
So we talked about the core model. Scaling challenges. The future roadmap. Whether the game is actually fun to play, or whether it's just a scheme for early entrants to make money from the people who came later into the game. Interesting stuff all around.
Incredible. One of the most crucial links in the supply chain, has been for years, built on the premise that some workers would provide labor for free. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
I missed it at the time, but USA Today did a big investigative piece (HT: @rrpre) in 2017 on the poor treatment of the port truck drivers, including financing arrangements that often drove them into bankruptcy. Piece was a Pulitzer finalist. usatoday.com/pages/interact…
Seems like there's lot of parallels, in terms of market structure, financing, and treatment of workers, between the condition of port truck drivers and the NYC taxi cab industry that @brianmrosenthal won a Pulitzer for reporting on two years later. nytimes.com/2019/05/19/nyr…
The sheer chaos here. Did not know about the Hayes coin. Also some very interesting stuff on a forthcoming Odd Lots about why the Susan B. Anthony coin was such a flop.
According to @PhilipNDiehl, the Susan B. Anthony coin was such a disaster for the mint, that the entire agency was scarred by the episode for over a decade afterwords.
@PhilipNDiehl (Basic problem was the coin was the same color and almost the same size as the quarter, so consumers never really got comfortable with them. Issue was rectified when they made the Sacagawea dollar coin gold-colored)