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Oct 28, 2021 20 tweets 9 min read Read on X
ELI5 for @KlimaDAO dashboard made by @cujowolf_klima:

a thread reviewing the 10 day performance of $KLIMA and explaining the significance of each metric on dashboard.

dune.xyz/Cujowolf/Klima…
Hard to believe that @KlimaDAO launched barely 10 days ago. Since then it has hit a billion in market cap and accumulated ~7 million tons of carbon credits in its treasury!

Each $KLIMA trades for $3,286 and 24,766 unique wallets currently hold $KLIMA.
$KLIMA total supply of 334k is about 4K more than circulating supply. The difference is held by the DAO and is in unvested bonds.

1.14 Index means 1 $KLIMA staked on Oct 18 is now 1.14 $KLIMA.

BCT is Base Carbon Ton. Price of $KLIMA in BCT terms is 535.
Only 1.5% of $KLIMA is not staked. 2.3% is in the liquidity pools which @KlimaDAO owns and 96.2% is staked.

If this staking % figure falls, APY will rise. Current APY is 32,500% in $KLIMA terms.
1 $KLIMA must always be backed by 1 $BCT. Risk Free Value is the BCT balance in $KLIMA treasury and the written down value of $BCT in $KLIMA liquidity pools.

There are 6.9 mm tons of BCT in $KLIMA treasury which currently trade at $10.5/ton resulting in a market value of $73 mm
The Risk Free Value is made up of 1.14 mm BCT that came in as Reserve Bonds and 344,492 is the written down value of KLIMA-BCT liquidity pools.

Written down value = 2sqrt(amount of KLIMA * amount of BCT) * % pool owned by $KLIMA

BCT-USDC not counted b/c RFV is in BCT terms.
Market value on the other hand captures both liquidity pools ie BCT-KLIMA and BCT-USDC in addition to the market value of BCT held in KLIMA treasury.

Impressive to see a $72 mm treasury in just 10 days from launch.
Carbon is held in three ways by $KLIMA treasury
1. Reserve BCT bonds ie just sell BCT to KLIMA
2. KLIMA-BCT liquidity pool token
3. BCT-USDC liquidity pool token

Two pools were made to make it seamless for folks to buy $KLIMA from $USDC.
Total $BCT supply is all the carbon brought on chain by @ToucanProtocol.

Pro tip: if you click on Total BCT Supply you can see how much BCT was minted each day relative to how much came into $KLIMA.
Out of all the BCT that has been minted by @ToucanProtocol , 80% is held by @KlimaDAO

This graph shows much more BCT can be brought into $KLIMA treasury without bringing additional BCT from off chain to on chain.
IMO tracking total BCT supply, how much comes on chain each day and how much is in $KLIMA’s treasury is the most important KPI.

The carbon black hole surely works. But getting carbon credits off chain to on chain quickly and reliably is essential for $KLIMA success.
$KLIMA owns 100% of the KLIMA-BCT pool and 86.1% of the BCT-USDC pool.

I expect BCT-USDC to go to 100% over time. For a BCT-USDC token holder, bond discount may not always make sense relative to the fees they may be earning by LPing.
$KLIMA has earned $3.6 mm in trading fees in just 10 days. For contrast Olympus has earned $11.2 mm from launch till date (7 months).
100 day runway means that if bond sales go to zero, with the current Risk Free Value of BCT ie 1.14 mm BCT, the current APY can be sustained for 100 days.

Since total $KLIMA supply is 334k, it follows that 806k more $KLIMA can be minted based on current reserves alone.
LP fee are and growth in holders over time has just been staggering. $KLIMA makes $300-400k/day in trading fees and has close to 25k holders, up from 6k just 10 days ago!

That’s incredible growth.
While one $KLIMA sells for 535 BCT, a single $KLIMA is backed by 4.5 BCT.

While the premium is staggering, the growth in backing per $KLIMA is also impressive. High multiples are a function of growth expectations.
All of the above can be accessed at this link below and it updates real time.

dune.xyz/Cujowolf/Klima…
In addition, there is also a $KLIMA policy dashboard which can be accessed here. The BCVs are not showing right now due to a query error but it has some very insightful graphs as well.

dune.xyz/Cujowolf/Klima…
I quite like this one that shows emissions breakdown between stakers and bonders. Over time share of bonders will rise as it happened with $OHM.
The dark green here shows the total liquidity owned and green is total volume. When light green more than dark green, it implies that utilization was over 100%!

This is why $KLIMA is earning incredible trading fees.

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More from @asfoooooom

Mar 15, 2022
What is @BeanstalkFarms creating and why does it matter?
- How to ape
- Protocol design
- Founder due diligence
1. Look I get it. You’re here to ape. But I want to be clear.

This. Is. A. Fucking. Experiment.

But there is an interesting deal in it offering a 70x return. It’s called buying “pods” when there is “soil”

Here’s what it means in plain English….
2. When soil is available (rarely these days) you can buy pods. Interest rate on those pods is called “weather”. Currently 7,000%.

That’s where the 70x comes from.

But here’s the thing: you only realize this 70x when supply grows to ~1.387 bn $BEAN (currently at 43 million)
Read 22 tweets
Mar 13, 2022
There’s a computer program that is trying to keep the value of a bean as close to $1 as possible.

These beans are not real beans but more like records in a database that everyone can see, all the time.

When the value of this bean is above $1, this program prints more beans and
Distributes these beans to people who give money to this computer program.

When people give money to the program they receive more bean, but this only happens when price of 1 bean is above $1.

When price of bean is less than $1, this program tries to attract buyers by…
Offering them a good deal. This good deal means new buyers can get many more beans over time than they purchased.

This program is an experiment and has been running for 7 months. It’s working well so far.

But big questions remain related to the deals offered to people…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20, 2022
What is @OlympusDAO creating and why does it matter?
- Money vs Currency
- Reserve Currency Traits
- 11 month Performance
- Olympus bonds
- Staking and APY
- Bank-run scenario
- Bonds deep dive
- Non-bond revenue
- Community strength
- Why $OHM matters
1. OlympusDAO is creating a decentralized reserve currency that is backed by a community governed treasury.

Money and currency are used interchangeably but are different as illustrated in this graphic made by @MessariCrypto.

Gold, $ETH, $BTC are money, the USD is a currency.
2. Defi today relies on dollar pegged coins to settle transactions and provide liquidity.

Challenge with this dependence is shown in the Impossibility Trinity which says all 3 can't co-exist but 2 can:
1) Fixed Exchange Rate
2) Free Capital Flow
3) Sovereign Monetary Policy
Read 34 tweets
Jan 19, 2022
Some analysis about $OHM for you if you bought the top:

On November 23 2021:
Mcap: $4.3 bn
$OHM price: $906
Index: 37
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $37 + some $ETH, $CVX et al

> You spent $906 to get a minimum $37 claim on Olympus Treasury.

56 days later here’s where you are at.
January 18 2022:
Mcap: $946 mm
$OHM price: $110
Index: 67
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $25

> You now have 1.81 $OHM (Index today / Index on purchase date) and a $45 claim (1.81*$25) on Olympus treasury

Your claim grew by 22.3% during a migration and ugly market conditions.
You may say that this rising $ value claim on Olympus treasury is meaningless because there is no redemption option.

I find measuring progress through rising claim on treasury as a better KPI than market cap because mcap is always going to be volatile for such an asset.
Read 18 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
@KlimaDAO is primed for a mega bull run in 2022. In this thread I’m going to review $KLIMA fundamentals and speculate on what to expect next quarter.

🧵 🪡 it’s threadoooor time Klimates.
1. The undistributed claim on $KLIMA treasury stands at 82.23%.

Since Risk Free Value is 6.1 million BCT, this implies that minimum 5 million BCT worth of value remains undistributed.

What’s that worth? Depends on price of BCT.
2. At current prices that’s an undistributed risk free claim of about $30 million.

Taking the all time low of $2.5/BCT, we get a risk free undistributed claim $12.5 million.

This is the value a staker gets for just staying staked assuming zero revenues come in from today.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 22, 2021
Web3 can’t be explained, it has to be experienced.

People in developing countries like Pakistan couldn’t invest in Web2 companies even if they wanted to, but can do so in Web3 initiatives.

Why is this a big deal?
Web3 aligns incentives of a global talent pool that was previously not possible.

$OHM and $KLIMA holders in different countries are actively collaborating to make these protocols succeed. Investors and customers of Tesla and Twitter aren’t doing that.
Web3 gives people in developing countries access to a reliable legal system whereas Web2 powers were mainly accessible to folks living in the developed world.

With Ethereum, my niece and nephew in Pakistan can launch an NFT project and “know” their rights will be protected.
Read 5 tweets

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