PLA Ground Force 🇨🇳 callsign for hex code #7BE04E, pinging Kinmen County station, Taiwan 🇹🇼.
LH993766 would be an Mi-171 from 73rd Army Aviation Brigade out of Luocheng/Hu'ian, Fujian.
Updated positions of (00000) USN 🇺🇸 EP-3E Aries II SIGINT 159893 #AE1D95 & PLAAF 🇨🇳 Y-8G (GX3) ECM 30518 #7A4262. At their closest, maybe 30km separated the two.
I think they notice each other.
For those who don't know, the Y-8G (GX3) is an electronic countermeasures aircraft (ECM) with what is believed to be a long-range standoff jamming array in the housing that look like protruding cheeks.
If it is a jammer, I don't know how effective it would be in close range.
The EP-3E, on the other hand, is a Multi-Intelligence recon aircraft. It provides near real-time SIGINT & video intel for fleet or theater commanders worldwide. It collects & disseminates data for threat assessment & battle space situational awareness, DEAD/SEAD, AAW, ASW & more.
EP-3E retiring from the area via Luzon Strait. RC-135W 62-4131 not far behind.
PLA aircraft no longer visible and likely also retiring.
Starting at 20:02 UTC, a pair of USAF C-17As set to depart from Al-Udeid AB, Qatar (OTBH) were instructed to "return to the chalks" and that their mission to Chania, Greece (LGSA) had been scrubbed. They were instructed then to wait for more info.
The change in plans coincides within minutes of remarks made by President Trump that the killings and executions inside Iran had been reported to have stopped, based on sources within Iran itself.
This all occurred shortly after six USAF KC-135 tankers from Al-Udeid were seen departing in quick succession. These were believed to be evacuation flights, destination unknown.
The last KC-135 departed at ~1927 UTC or 35 minutes before the C-17As were told to stand down.
Considering how quiet things have gotten this last little bit, I want to take the time to make a few points.
- 1st round seems to be over, at least for the Caracas area.
- Given how many airbases and military targets there are, this is frankly somewhat of a light 1st round.
1/
(cont.)
- Whatever was going on with the helicopters...
(A) Given social media these days, if something went terribly wrong, we likely would see it pretty quick
(B) Where did they come from??
(cont)
- In terms of assets we've seen build up.
(A) Rather light in terms of airstrikes, either from bases in the region, bombers from elsewhere or from the flattops.
(B) We are NOT maintaining air presence over Venezuelan skies. No sounds of fighters overhead.
3/
Fantastic film. Perhaps the best of the modern era in terms of nuclear war fiction. Invoking the plot lines of a number of many prior films without actually drawing them to their full conclusions.
That said, I felt there were several major problems.
First, the whodunnit.
The scenario is made possible by a certain amount of ambiguity as to whether the DPRK, PLA or Russia launched the initial missile, made possible by a failure of detection by an early warning satellite in a region in which all 3 nations share interests.