Some folks got pissed at me about this tweet because San Francisco won't literally look like Atlantis.

It's true, the San Francisco Archipelago is still just a dystopian fantasy world invented by @burritojustice (see burritojustice.com/2012/03/20/san…)

But let's talk reality a sec.
By 2050 we are virtually certain to see around ~ 3 feet of sea level rise. Sounds fine, right? You've got a cool condo in the Castro, elevation 200 feet. No problem.

Must be nice. Here's 101 in Mill Valley with 3 feet of sea level rise. The red part is underwater: Image
Here's Larkspur/Corte Madera: Image
Here's San Rafael: Image
Here's 680 by the Coliseum: Image
Here's 101 past SFO: Image
Here's ... well, 101 down most of the Peninsula: Image
And of course, the sea level rise sleeper beach town, Stockton, California.

These amounts of coastal/waterway inundation are basically locked in by mid-century. We already can't stop this from happening. Image
So, keep doing all that great work watching out for "the working class" who simply must drive cars to work in San Francisco from ...

Marin City (underwater), San Rafael (underwater), Stockton (underwater), Vallejo (underwater), East Palo Alto (underwater), Coliseum (etc.)
I get it, it's not your problem, you'd rather just let those damn kids figure it out.

It would be great if you would just say that.

(all maps available from coastal.climatecentral.org/map/14/-122.11…)

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More from @mateosfo

Jul 19
The thing to know about Democratic Party politics that nobody seems to have raised, so, I will:

The structure of the United States’ federal republic is an abomination. The Senate is a deeply evil institution, designed by horrible people to prevent democratic governance.

🧵
How does this relate to D-party politics? Well, in functioning democracies, voters elect parties that have platforms, then those parties work to enact those platforms.

And since real democracies — i.e., countries with no Senate (almost all of them) — allow parties to compete …
… parties form coalitions that represent giant blocks of voters to craft a majority, compromise among themselves where necessary, then, enact what’s left of the platform.

But what if you have a fascist institution embedded in the structure of your government — like a Senate?
Read 14 tweets
Jul 17
Something lost in the whole “but there’s no transit where I live!” is utterly massive cost violent drivers impose on society via under-insurance & very low maximums:

You could go outside, get hit by a violent driver, maimed for life, and not only would they go free but
… their insurance would only pay $50,000 of your million-dollar medical bills (and lifetime of medical care).

So now you’re also destitute and living off medicaid, which is, to an under-reported degree, one of the largest car industry subsidies in the United States.
America is ripe for fascism specifically because of this incredibly high tolerance for driver violence, massive government apparatus to incentivize and subsidize their violence, and the writing off and denigration of victims.

Car culture already did all the heavy lifting.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 15
A very simple rule of thumb is infrastructure cost scales by the linear foot, and the per capita cost decreases down with density.

IOW, over time, low-density car sprawl is a formula for bankruptcy — unless it can steal money from denser areas.

Which, in the U.S., it does.
The suburban brain, how do it work? “Buildings don’t pay taxes” who wants to tell him
Some nice work here by Jeremy! Chicago suburbs, WYD
Read 5 tweets
Jul 8
Over the holiday weekend I met a woman who works for forest service in Nevada City, California. We got to chatting about fire risk, as one does.

She noted that her county -- like every other California county -- is still approving new homes in areas ...
the forest service is very, very sure will burn, and that those new homes make it increasingly impossible to manage the forest for future fires:

To manage fire, you have to burn the forest. But if you put homes there, you can't. It's already nearly physically impossible ...
... to treat California's forests, due to the extreme slopes and remoteness of most forest lands. Sprinkle them with homes and humans, and just about all you can do is sit back and pray.

And worse: The non-burn methods needed to treat high-risk forests -- mechanical thinning ...
Read 7 tweets
Jun 22
About a decade ago, while observing absurd obsequiousness to Elon Musk, I had a sense that we were entering an era of cults.

I’m completely convinced that’s true. But there’s another era that is headed for a collision with the cult era, and it’s the era of consequences —
… as in, the era of insurance actuaries.

Politics can go really far in papering over deep structural problems with narrative and re-affirmation of cult values.

But what it can’t do: Pay for stuff with money it doesn’t actually have.

And so, here comes insurance industry.
Buy a dream home in a sprawling, pastoral flood/fire zone because the cult of your local government thinks that’s fine?

Here comes the insurance industry.

Buy a “practical” SUV because, that’s what TV said you should
do — even though drivers kill & maim more people every year?
Read 8 tweets
Jun 21
Why we need fundamental reform:

Last night I attended a 3-hour transportation commission hearing about removing 5 parking spots from a public street to build a new protected bike lane next to a massive new infill housing project at a BART station.

There were ~ 45 people there.
15 of the attendees were staff for the city, for BART, and consultants.

15 of the people were NIMBYs who mistakenly think the parking “belongs to them.”

And 15 were people who are tired of driver violence and want protected bike lanes so we’re not assaulted or killed.
The staff time alone cost easily $10,000. But then, they had to prepare documents and presentations and drawings and print notices and flyers and etc. So, let’s say $50,000.

This is over 5 parking spots on a public street.

Then consider: The 15 NIMBYs who’ve come to expect …
Read 12 tweets

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