Kyle Lamb Profile picture
Nov 2, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Man has "only a few decades" to solve the problem of global warming caused by pollution. Another dire warning coming out of the Climate Conference right?

No. It is from a Rand Corp scientist in 1969.
Meanwhile, in 1970, Dr. Reid Bryson was warning of a possible ice age coming by 2000 due to pollutants in the atmosphere.
But after he could no longer support the earth cooling, he backed off the ice age coming as soon as 2000 and in 1977, said it was still 3,000-5,000 years away.
An AP story in June 1986 projected the mean annual temperature would increase 3-4 degrees by 2010-2020 (it's been about half that). They also projected Ocean City, Md. would lose 39 feet of shoreline by 2000 and 85 feet by 2010.
If you live within 100 feet of the ocean, you have already been swept to sea by last year. See this gem predicted in 1988 for 2020.
And according to the UN in 1989, it's already too late for us all. We missed our window of opportunity.
At least they did get this one right in 1989. They projected an emissions increase of 70% by 2020. Near as I can tell from Our World in Data, it's gone up ~64%.

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More from @kylamb8

Nov 1, 2023
Does the NCAA permit Michigan to use a "scouting service" to scout future opponents? Yes...but also no.

Michigan fans are clinging to a 2013 bylaw change as hope they will be spared the wrath of the NCAA. Michigan's own actions suggest they don't believe this.

A thread.
The rule banning in-person scouting of future in-season opponents came in 1994. In the wake of rising athletics revenues from media rights, the difference in budgets was stark. NCAA wanted to keep schools with smaller revenue from being at a disadvantage...

2/
To help accomplish this, the NCAA banned in-person scouting outright except for postseason tournaments of a few sports. This kept bigger schools from paying large expenses to send multiple scouts to various contests.

Below is the rule, bylaw 11.6.2, as of 2012...

3/ Image
Read 18 tweets
Mar 14, 2023
Moody's:

"Moody’s credit analysis seeks to incorporate all issues that can materially impact credit quality, including ESG and climate risk; and aims to take the most forward-looking perspective that visibility into these risks and mitigants permits."

esg.moodys.io/esg-credit
Since 2019, Moody's has been incorporating ESG/DEI into its credit ratings of businesses.

"The methodology was updated to explain further our integration of ESG in credit analysis, in particular through our ESG scores."

2/3
"The credit impact of ESG considerations is highly negative or very highly negative for about 20% of the more than 5,700 debt issuers that we have scored for exposure to ESG risks."

That's 1-in-every-5 Moody's dings for not abiding by ESG, rather than fiscal responsibility.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Feb 22, 2023
CDC is out here throwing data from several "multijurisdictional reports" of case rates together, despite a mountain of limitations, and presenting it as science.

These people are just doubling down on junk data. This is not at all intuitive.
These jurisdictional reports do not account for previous infection, length of time between shots or other confounding variables. Worse yet, some vaccination data has proven to be incomplete and literally includes unknown status as unvaccinated. These need to be controlled for.
Folks this is INFURIATING.

When you look at their actual data, late Omicron has 12-17 unvaccinated as three total deaths. This is the date range for the approved bivalent booster. Three.

I don't have to tell you that is not a statistically valid sample for a million reasons.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 30, 2023
Three important pieces posted this past week detailing the incentives to overcount deaths associated with COVID-19. The first published in @Newsweek by @DrJBhattacharya and I. Nearly 450,000 Americans have received funeral expense reimbursement.

A COVID diagnosis makes hospitals eligible for 20% addon payments by CMS for Medicare patients (simply testing + when admitted for any reason). Further, when having COVID on the death certificate, families are eligible for funeral expense reimbursement by FEMA.

2/
A column published on the same day in @WSJ by @MSmelkinsonPhD @LeslieBienen and @JeanneNoble18 delved further into the incentives to overcount.

3/

wsj.com/articles/the-v…
Read 17 tweets
Jan 30, 2023
Befuddling NFL officiating in last few minutes of this game:

* Int. grounding called on JB, but not on PM on 2nd & 4 throw that didn't get back to LOS

* Late hit called on PM, but not on JB throw

* Missed hold & block in back on punt

* Two missed holds on PM scramble
To me, I credit Mahomes for making plays, but this game was won by the KC d-line taking advantage of the Cincinnati injuries up front. But the one-sided officiating was shocking.
They sure had a selective memory of the rules regarding late hits:

Exhibit A

Read 4 tweets
Jan 11, 2023
As some still try to fearmonger on new variants, rise in cases, etc., we are reminded it's baseless.

Here is ave. inpatient census (with) COVID-19 by week (1st axis), w/ave ICU, multiple cause of death & underlying cause (2nd axis). Notice the separation since spring of 2022. Image
Blue = inpatient beds used for suspected/confirmed COVID

Orange = ICU census w/confirmed COVID

Gray = all deaths with COVID on death certificate

Yellow = all deaths where COVID was listed as primary (underlying) cause.

2/
Data sources: HHS Reported Inpatient Impact and Hospital Capacity timeseries used for hospital and ICU census where the daily average was used for corresponding weeks.

CDC Wonder MMWR weeks used for weeks ending for multiple and underlying cause of death

3/
Read 4 tweets

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