I've been looking at all these plots about vaccine effectiveness and hospitalisation, and thinking they're missing the exposure side of things... so I made another plot.

This plot shows how the vaccine reduces both hospitalisations *and* disease.

gitlab.com/gringer/covid-… otearoa Case Vaccine Demogr...
I've assumed here that the number of exposed unvaccinated people is the same as the number of unvaccinated people with COVID. I could bump that exposure number up a bit, but it wouldn't change the overall visualisation because the proportions of vaccinated people wouldn't change.
There's another niggle in that vaccination & cases are a dynamic event. MOH doesn't have vaccination status in their case demographic CSV file, so I use 2 wks ago as a fudge.

That shouldn't be too much of a problem anyway, because recent numbers dominate for exponential growth.
I've also assumed that exposed proportions equal the country-wide vaccinated proportions. This would be the case where there's widespread community transmission, but we mostly only have it in Auckland. The benefit of vaccination is probably better than what is represented here.

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More from @gringene_bio

4 Nov
Marsden Fund: is it worth it?

The Marsden Fund is a competitive fund in which the "top" researchers are given money to do proposed research.

This year, $82,345k was awarded to 120 projects. That's a mean of ~$230k per project.

#StopCompetitiveFunding
When considering 100% institute overheads, that ~$230k over 3 years ends up as enough for 1.5 researchers at Massey's Step 1 lecturer salary ($74k).

Unfortunately those 120 projects had 394 named investigators, or around 3.3 investigators per project.

massey.ac.nz/massey/about-m…
Research costs? What research costs?

The Royal Society has this year provided information on Marsden applications:

royalsociety.org.nz/what-we-do/fun…

Did I mention that Marsden is a *competitive* fund? That pretty much means researchers need to do pre-research to have a chance...
Read 11 tweets
24 Jul 18
The National Ethics Advisory Committee's National Ethics Standards for Health and Disability Research are now open to the public for feedback:

consult.health.govt.nz/neac/national-…
I'll comment on the initial principles of this now in regards to the recommendations I've previously made public:

gringer.gitlab.io/presentation-n…

In short, they're great. My main comments are around needing more emphasis on participant control - making that implicit principle explicit.
"Researchers are expected to learn as well as gather data in research, to collaborate and to give back to the community (eg, through koha and sharing ideas)." [S 5.7] - a good principle to have; I think a minimal sharing protocol needs to be specified in ethics applications.
Read 24 tweets

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