Laura Rozen Profile picture
Nov 3, 2021 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
WSJ: After meeting US envoy Jeff Feltman Oct. 24, Sudan Gen. al-Burhan “boarded a jet to Egypt for secret talks to ensure his plot would have regional support.” Sisi reassured him. Upon his return to Khartoum, Burhan arrested dozens of officials, inc. PM wsj.com/articles/milit…
Sudan’s military coup is the 4th in Africa this year. “Military strongmen in Guinea, Chad & Mali have in recent months taken power from weakened governments that were vulnerable to foreign interference and plagued by poor governance, stuttering economies, and insecurity”
Attempted “military coups have been foiled this year in Madagascar, Central African Republic and Niger.”
“In Africa, this year has seen a quadrupling of coups after just one putsch in 2020—again in Mali—and an average of just two a year over the past decade. The number is the highest since 1980… “
👉🏼 “Diplomats and analysts say that a key reason for the surge in coups is that the willingness of a number of international powers to deal with authoritarian regimes has lowered the potential cost of a regime change.”
China, Russia—and it seems, the Gulf states—support the military coups. The US and Europe oppose.
“Egypt has been seeking international support for its dispute with Ethiopia” over a giant dam. “Just before the coup, Egypt’s intelligence chief, Abbas Kamel, traveled to Khartoum to meet Gen. Burhan—but shunned PM Hamdok.”
The Egyptians were unhappy with Sudan PM Hamdok’s “public openness to the Ethiopian dam…’Hamdok has to go,’ Mr. Kamel told Gen. Burhan, one Sudan government adviser said.”
“In weekend anticoup protests that Secretary of State Antony Blinken said numbered in the millions, demonstrators decried President Sisi as the hidden hand behind the coup.

‘Abdel Fatta Burhan and Sisi—one and the same,’ they chanted.”
Beyond Russia and China. Not sure the United States has fully grappled with so many of its Middle East partners being forces for spreading authoritarianism and anti democracy/military juntas, that those mostly authoritarian states see as better serving their interests.

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More from @lrozen

Apr 3
this meeting sounds insane. Trump Vance Waltz Wiles Gor listening to Loomer demands on supposedly disloyal neocons who should be fired
a source yesterday described the situation between supposed restrainers and more hawkish trump aides as a civil war, incredibly intense, and vicious
this gets stranger and stranger:
“Loomer was seated directly across the desk from the president. Next to her was Rep. Scott Perry, a Pennsylvania Republican who was one of Trump’s biggest allies in his efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss.

nytimes.com/2025/04/03/us/…
Read 6 tweets
Mar 26
🧵A former DoD civilian military planner writes to explain why the information that Defense Sec. Hegseth sent out in advance of US strikes in Yemen could have compromised the safety of US military personnel: “Why is something like F-18 launch times so sensitive?

1/
“Yes, it lets an adversary know of an impending attack, but it also reveals a key vulnerability.
An aircraft carrier is most vulnerable to attack when it is launching & recovering aircraft because..its ability to maneuver is restricted. 2/
“It has to be steaming within a specific range of courses & speeds when launching & recovering aircraft. Specifying when we're going to launch aircraft & making it easy to figure out the window of time they'll be recovering them…would let the adversary know when to plan a counterstrike on the carrier if they had the means.”
Read 4 tweets
Mar 25
🧵Sen. Angus King: something you said has sort of puzzled me. …on the morning of March 15, Sec. Hegseth put into this group text a detailed operation plan, inc. targets, the weapons we were going to be using, attack sequences and timing.
King: And yet, you've testified that nothing in that chain was classified. Wouldn't that be classified?

Gabbard: Senator, I can attest to the fact that there were no classified or intelligence equities that were included in that chat group at any time.
King: the attack sequencing and timing and weapons and targets you don't consider to should have been classified?
Read 13 tweets
Mar 25
Gabbard: Turning to key state actors, the IC sees China, Russia, Iran & North Korea engaging in activities that could challenge US capabilities & interests, esp. related to our security & economy. These actors are in some cases working together
Identifies Russian as a nuclear threat and cyber threat. new satellite intended to carry a nuclear weapon.
she does not mention Russian threat to US allies in Europe, invasion of Ukraine, hybrid threats, election interference, etc.
Gabbard on Iran: “The IC continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon, and Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program that he suspended in 2003.”
Read 9 tweets
Mar 17
🧵Fiona Hill @ForeignAffairs podcast: Trump is “fixated on the one guy himself, on Putin…Certainly his own staff he doesn’t pay any attention to. It's all about being able to sit down with Putin. 1/
“And when you're not prepared, and when you don't know where the other person is coming from—it’s just about his interaction—then of course you're going to be taking on the talking points of Russia. 2/
“because Putin is the only peer he sees in this relationship. …He's not listening really to the words. He's just trying to get the vibe.

The very first time I was in on one of the phone calls with Putin, I was listening very carefully to the Russian..
Read 9 tweets
Mar 2
holy jesus, Gabbard just gave a ten minute Kremlin informercial on one of the Sunday shows reairing on cspan radio. tuned in after it had started and wondered who is this Kremlin loon, and the host did not push back at all.
we are in deep deep deep doo doo.
It could have been Lavrov.
Read 8 tweets

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