Laura Rozen Profile picture
Nov 3, 2021 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
WSJ: After meeting US envoy Jeff Feltman Oct. 24, Sudan Gen. al-Burhan “boarded a jet to Egypt for secret talks to ensure his plot would have regional support.” Sisi reassured him. Upon his return to Khartoum, Burhan arrested dozens of officials, inc. PM wsj.com/articles/milit…
Sudan’s military coup is the 4th in Africa this year. “Military strongmen in Guinea, Chad & Mali have in recent months taken power from weakened governments that were vulnerable to foreign interference and plagued by poor governance, stuttering economies, and insecurity”
Attempted “military coups have been foiled this year in Madagascar, Central African Republic and Niger.”
“In Africa, this year has seen a quadrupling of coups after just one putsch in 2020—again in Mali—and an average of just two a year over the past decade. The number is the highest since 1980… “
👉🏼 “Diplomats and analysts say that a key reason for the surge in coups is that the willingness of a number of international powers to deal with authoritarian regimes has lowered the potential cost of a regime change.”
China, Russia—and it seems, the Gulf states—support the military coups. The US and Europe oppose.
“Egypt has been seeking international support for its dispute with Ethiopia” over a giant dam. “Just before the coup, Egypt’s intelligence chief, Abbas Kamel, traveled to Khartoum to meet Gen. Burhan—but shunned PM Hamdok.”
The Egyptians were unhappy with Sudan PM Hamdok’s “public openness to the Ethiopian dam…’Hamdok has to go,’ Mr. Kamel told Gen. Burhan, one Sudan government adviser said.”
“In weekend anticoup protests that Secretary of State Antony Blinken said numbered in the millions, demonstrators decried President Sisi as the hidden hand behind the coup.

‘Abdel Fatta Burhan and Sisi—one and the same,’ they chanted.”
Beyond Russia and China. Not sure the United States has fully grappled with so many of its Middle East partners being forces for spreading authoritarianism and anti democracy/military juntas, that those mostly authoritarian states see as better serving their interests.

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More from @lrozen

Mar 25
This is one of the striking findings of the polls seen last few days.
A majority of Americans do not think the war with Iran makes them or the world safer, but less safe. (And 1/5 thinks it makes no difference.)

poll.qu.edu/poll-release?r…Image
(one of the big differences between American and Israeli public opinion on the Iran war.) For a majority of Americans, it is not just that they don’t want to do it. They don’t think it advances security.)
Reuters/Ipsos (4-day poll completed 3/23):
46% of respondents think war on Iran will make U.S. less safe;
Only 26% said it would make country safer;
rest said no effect.

archive.ph/eq4A9Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 12
Sarah Rogers has used her State Dept platform primarily to try to boost the far right AfD party in Germany and far right parties in UK, in seeming alignment with Elon Musk and other anti EU regulation tech bros. She has shown minimal interest in free speech in places like Iran
Here was one of her more startling State Department posts on Twitter, discussing “‘Jewish’ NGO tentacles,” “rapist hordes,” in a State Dept post that quote tweeted an account called the National Socialists of Tik Tok. Image
More from her recent TL, almost entirely focused on promoting anti EU far right parties and organizations in Europe and free speech for neo Nazi adjacent types. Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
🧵This is a lie, the mediator, “Persian Gulf diplomat” has said. “I can categorically state that this is inaccurate. He was explaining that all of this material can all go away should we have a deal and Iran can be relieved from sanctions.” ms.now/news/exclusive… x.com/acyn/status/20…
I reported, and it is a serious issue, that Witkoff and Kushner DID NOT UNDERSTAND the Iranian proposal or nuclear issues and continue not to understand. diplomatic.substack.com/p/was-diplomac…
You need to understand your opponent, you need to bring experts to help explain what you don’t know. Both on Iran & nuke issues. Kushner and Witkoff DID NOT UNDERSTAND an offer that may not have been good enough but was serious. It is like they had a 50% translation
diplomatic.substack.com/p/was-diplomac…
Read 12 tweets
Jan 14
🧵Powerful Star Tribune editorial: Minnesota is under siege:
“What we are witnessing is the storming of the state by the federal government.
Fraud investigation and immigration enforcement in Minnesota have become a pretext for a sweeping federal show of force that bears little relationship to the problem it claims to address.”
“It is indiscriminate. Noncitizen immigrants without legal status make up roughly 1.5% of Minnesota’s population — less than half the national average. Nothing about that figure justifies the scale, posture or tactics now widely deployed.
“The fatal shooting of 37yo Renee Good, an American citizen..., by an ICE agent on Jan. 7 brought into brutal focus what many communities had already bn experiencing: an enforcement strategy that erodes trust & often puts innocent people & lawful protesters in extreme danger.
Read 11 tweets
Dec 22, 2025
👀🧵 “Rubio was scheduled to attend peace talks with Ukrainian officials in Switzerland, but Witkoff had set off early in what some officials saw as a bid to beat him to the punch…, Witkoff did not communicate his travel plans to Rubio & other State Dep. officials, the 3 sources said, in what they perceived as a move to allow Witkoff to negotiate with Ukraine in a way he saw fit.

nbcnews.com/politics/white…
“It was not the first time U.S. officials had seen Witkoff’s actions as an attempt to make an end-run around Rubio. …latest example of a long-running rift between the two senior figures…with sharply different views about how to end the war in Ukraine and how much the U.S. should trust Russia’s promises.”
“Late last month, days after the Geneva talks, Witkoff arranged a meeting with Ukrainian officials in Florida. Rubio became aware of the planned session only when the Ukrainians asked his team about it, according to a U.S. official and a person familiar with the incident.”
Read 7 tweets
Dec 15, 2025
US official on talks with Ukraine says US willing to submit security package for Senate ratification.
Another US official says they have beefed up the security guarantees package but warns the guarantees will not be on the table forever. eg pressure on Ukraine to take it sooner
Second US official: “…details on security guarantees we are not ready to provide yet. They will come out soon. Think you will find everyone is happy with them.”
Read 5 tweets

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