Henry Cuellar, a Blue Dog, told us there are enough moderates who would tank the procedural vote for the $1.75 trillion bill tonight, saying the rule "is not going to pass" if it comes up.

"As of right now, there are enough votes in my opinion to vote no on the rule.”
He said there are outstanding issues to resolve first. But Cuellar said there has been a lack of trust caused by broken promises of Democratic leaders.
"They told us they were not going to move this til they were not going to have 50 votes in the Senate. They also told us they were going to vote on BIF until Sept. 27. And here are they are," he said, referring the shorthand of the bipartisan infrastructure framework.”
"So the two things they told us have not been kept together -- so there certainly is a lack of trust among moderates,” Cuellar said

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More from @mkraju

1 Nov
New - Manchin just told me he’ll make a statement on where he sees things headed with agenda. He has not yet said whether he supports $1.75T plan.

“I think I will clear up a lot of things sometime today,” he told me: “I think there needs to be clarity on where everybody stands.”
I asked him how he views the expansion of Medicare to include hearing benefits given he has opposed an expansion of the entitlement program.

“The same thing you’re asking, other things, we’re working on that now,” he said.

He later said: “I’m gonna put clarity to it.”
Manchin has expressed concerns on the Medicare expansion — even just limiting to dental, per source. Asked about that today, he told me: “The same thing you’re asking, other things, we’re working on that now.” cnn.com/2021/11/01/pol…
Read 4 tweets
29 Oct
Biden today didn’t explicitly say that the infrastructure vote should have happened today. Some Dems are faulting him for that. Dean Phillips told us: "I'm not afraid to say I wish he was more explicit.”
Phillips added: “This is the commander in chief of the United States. When you spend political equity in front of a caucus two times in a month, I think it's got to be awfully explicit -- and be more forthright."
"If the president had led us down that hallway onto and on the House floor, I think it would have been close. .... I think with Republican votes, it would have passed,” Phillips added.
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
Pelosi, in letter: “With regard to health care, great progress has been made to address the coverage gap in states that have not enacted the Medicaid expansion. This expansion of the (ACA) takes us to nearly universal coverage, hopefully with expanded benefits for Medicare.”
She adds: “There is broad agreement on the child tax credit, universal pre-K and child care, home health care, housing and workforce development.  We are still fighting for a paid family and medical leave provision.  We are pleased with the robust climate package”
Says Rules Committee hearing tomorrow on the package
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
Manchin talks to us on billionaires' tax: “I don’t like the connotation that we are targeting different people"

On Medicare expansion: "I have hard time increasing" benefits

On paid leave, Manchin said given the debt: “It doesn’t make sense to me. … I just can’t do it"
On the process, Manchin said “Senate is going to take time” and there’s an “awful lot of work” to do even after a framework agreement is reached on the larger bill. He said Biden would take that framework and convince House Democrats to approve the separate infrastructure bill
On adding dental, vision and hearing to Medicare: “In good conscience, I have hard time increasing basically benefits, which all of us can agree that hell I’ve loved to have this, and love to have that, when you can’t take care of what you have.”
Read 5 tweets
26 Oct
Sinema and Warren have been in talks over this deal
Sinema’s name so far is not listed as a cosponsor. Wyden, Warren and King are lead sponsors. Co-sponsors are Bennet, Markey and Whitehouse. Summary: warren.senate.gov/download/warre… Text: warren.senate.gov/download/mcg21…
Sinema releases statement saying she supports tax plan.
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
New - After meeting with Jayapal, Pelosi pushed back on progressive’s demand that larger bill must pass House first before they agree to vote for infrastructure.

Told that Jayapal said that a “framework” agreement isn’t enough to vote for infra, Pelosi told me: “I think it is.”
A bit of a game of chicken now between the speaker and leader of the progressive caucus. I asked Jayapal if she would vote NO on infrastructure if there’s only a framework agreement on larger bill. “At this point, there are dozens of our members who are in that place,” she said
On whether there are still more than half of her caucus who hold this position, Jayapal said: “I haven’t made my way all the way through the list, that’s what I’m doing. But I would say we have several dozen.”
Read 5 tweets

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