Scott Alexander read some biographies of Hungary's Viktor Orban & wrote them up. It's a quick (& amusingly written) way to catch up on who Orban is & where he came from. A few sentences jumped out at me ... astralcodexten.substack.com/p/dictator-boo…
"He was neither exceptionally bright nor exceptionally charismatic."

"Viktor Orban is a man who almost automatically believes in the veracity of whatever he considers to be politically useful to him."

"He shamelessly gerrymandered unequally sized districts."
"Whatever the reason, anti-immigrant measures in Hungary were polling around the mid-80s-percent. For Viktor Orban, who really likes winning, co-opting the issue was a no-brainer."
"He was able to beat everyone else by taking advantage of loopholes everyone else left open because they didn’t think anyone would be crazy enough to use them."
And yet, heroically, Alexander makes it through the entire review without using the word "Trump."

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More from @drvolts

5 Nov
Putting this back out there. Dems can't organize against RW propaganda because, for any given bit of propaganda ("parents just spontaneously discovered CRT on their own!"), it is helpful for some Dem faction in its forever war against some other Dem faction.
If you're in the faction invested in the "Dems are too identarian" narrative, then the notion that parents just spontaneously rose up against woke curriculum is helpful to you. It advances your factional interests. So you ignore the man behind the curtain.
I remember when "liberal hawks" used to point at public polls that showed people freaking out about WMD & say, "see, the people agree with us, you pacifist elitists!" They had every incentive to ignore the RW agitprop machine that was pumping out lies about WMD for months prior.
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
I've given up on understanding this, but: it looks to me like House progressives gave up whatever leverage they had & agreed to move both bills forward despite everyone who wanted to fuck the BBB still wanting to fuck the BBB. Nothing else changed. "Leap of faith" wtf.
I have no energy left to be pissed about hypocrisy, but it's pretty spectacular that the very House Dems who have relentlessly hacked away at the revenue side of BBB are now pretending to be concerned about its CBO score.
Read 5 tweets
3 Nov
I wonder if letting 50% of what this country calls "media" be taken over by explicit right-wing propaganda was a bad idea after all.
I've tried to say this a million different ways. Here's another: the vast bulk of voters are not responding to what actual Dems actually say & do. They are responding to a ghoulish caricature that is ubiquitous on Fox, Facebook, etc. The VA election turned ...
... on the lie that VA grade school teachers are teaching CRT (which voters also only know as a series of lies). Barely any voters are well-informed about the national RW assault on voting rights & democracy. Few have even the faintest understanding of the real Dem agenda.
Read 10 tweets
2 Nov
I bet McAuliffe would have an easier time tying Youngkin to Trump if the entire left had been repeating the message that "Trump=GOP & GOP=Trump" from the second he won in 2016. But that woulda been uncivil I guess.
One of the right's enduring advantages is that they've spent 30 years propagandizing against the Democratic Party (& liberalism) *as such*, so every single Dem starts out behind the 8 ball, dealing w/ a whole set of negative assumptions.
There has been no commensurate effort to make "conservative" toxic or to smear the GOP brand. Oh sure people have said things, but the D party, the left as a whole, simply doesn't have the wherewithal, capacity, or killer instinct to mount a sustained campaign like this.
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
"Cumulatively over the 2021-45 period, measures restricting voter access [in Texas] could be expected to lead to total losses in gross product of just over -$1.5
trillion as well as almost -6.9 million job years of employment." democracydocket.com/wp-content/upl…
Among its other evils, the RW assault in US democracy is terrible for the US economy. investmentmonitor.ai/analysis/assau…
In that same vein, I hope everyone saw this from @marcorubio, which is the most nakedly fascist thing I've ever seen from a US senator. He's talking about taking control of US business & dividing the patriotic ones from the unpatriotic ones.
theamericanconservative.com/articles/we-ne…
Read 4 tweets
2 Nov
I feel like I'm losing my mind, so I'm going to try one more time. Pardon a truly futile thread.

The cycle thus far: Dems offer Manchin policy concessions; he pockets them & makes up new reasons to oppose the bill. That cycle continued right up to today ...
... with Manchin conjuring up still more objections to the BBB & calling for yet more delay. He has shown nothing but hostility to the bill -- said it's going to make the US an "entitlement society" -- & has said explicitly he's willing to kill it & take zero.
The only leverage progressives hold against him is that he wants the BIF to pass & they won't pass it without BBB.

All the above has been true for months & is still, from what I can tell, true.
Read 13 tweets

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