In 2021, Peloton has seen its market cap fall from $50B to $17B. The “iPad on a bike” joke is trending but it’s a bit unfair.
Peloton’s design smartly uses many psychological hacks to get people hooked on exercise (and it's worth learning from).
Here are 9 of them🧵
1/ The psychological challenge with fitness is called “hyperbolic discounting”: we value immediate though smaller rewards more than long-term larger rewards.
The pain of diet or exercise NOW isn’t worth the long-term benefit of “being in shape”.
2/ Peloton's goal is to get you on -- and hooked by -- its bike. The key to this is "the habit loop": a neurological phenomenon that governs any habit (good or bad).
It has 3 parts:
1⃣CUE: Trigger craving
2⃣ROUTINE: Action to get reward
3⃣REWARD: Satisfaction of craving
3/ Starting Peloton's habit loop
Apple is an inspiration for Peloton' bike, which has an attractive and portable design.
As the memes will tell you, owners are happy to showcase it in high-profile areas of the home. This is a convenient cue to kick off the exercise habit loop.
4/ More exposure = more liking
There's another benefit to having Pelotons in highly visible places:
The "mere exposure effect", a psychological phenomenon whereby people develop a preference for things just based on how often they see it (this happens a lot to celebrities).
5/ Shoes + Clips
At-home fitness is easier to get into, but also easier to get *out* of.
Peloton bike shoes are both a cue and a commitment to get a workout done. Once you clip in, you are primed for a ride. (Comparatively, ending your at-home pushup "workout" is much easier)
6/ High price = more commitment
The Peloton is pricey: starts at $1.5k ($40/month digital sub). Psychologically, the high cost is very effective.
Per the "sunk cost-fallacy", people spend more time and money on something if they've already made an investment (eg. ride more).
7/ Power of scheduling
Peloton offers 1000s of recorded/live classes, some as short as 10-15 min (a small minimum time commitment removes friction).
Scheduling also takes away the decision-making friction when its workout time, helping to kick off the habit loop.
In addition to the exercise dopamine, these near-term rewards are crucial for habit formation and help bypass "hyperbolic discounting".
9/ Social fitness
Peloton has a 6m-person member base, meaning you prob have a friend to ride with or compete against.
The social tie makes the product stickier.
There are countless Peloton online communities that swap tips and make absurd posts like this from an FB group:
10/ Instructor motivation
Peloton has 45 instructors, for any mood you feel like riding. While it's digital guidance, the up-close screen makes it more intimate than you might get at the back of a Soul Cycle.
(With 10k+ riders in some classes, no wonder instructors are famous)
11/ The Shoutout
The most explicit psychological hack is the instructor calling out names during the rides.
People *love* hearing their own name.
The genius move: instructors name-dropping people on milestone rides (50, 100, 250, 500), which motivates you to keep coming back.
12/ Obviously, none of these hacks saved Peloton from getting clapped last week. Still worth studying, though.
If you enjoyed that, I write threads on business and tech 1-2x a week.
The invention of bánh mì is a combination of climate, trade and urban layout of Saigon in late-19th century designed by French colonist.
When the French captured the area in 1859, most economic activity in the region took place along the Saigon river.
The population built makeshift homes tightly bundled by the river banks. Outgrowth from this eventually lead to narrow alleyways between many buildings that is trademark of the city (the Khmer named the region Prey Nokor then French renamed it Saigon and then it was renamed to Ho Chi Minh City in 1976 after end of Vietnam War).
Over decades, the French created European street grids and built wide Paris-type boulevards in the city to funnel commerce to larger markets (also make the city easier to administer).
It was at these markets that French baguettes were introduced and traded.
Bánh mì bread is known for being flaky and crispy on the outside while fluffier on inside (so god damn good).
Two features of Saigon helped create this texture:
▫️Climate: The heat and humidity in Southeast Asia leads dough to ferment faster, which creates air pockets in bread (light and fluffy).
▫️Ingredient: Wide availability of rice meant locals added rice flour to wheat flour imports (which were quite expensive). Rice flour is more resistant to moisture and creates a drier, crispier crust.
Fast forward to the 1930s: the French-designed street layout is largely complete. Now, the city centre has wide boulevards intersected by countless narrow alleyways.
The design was ideal for street vendor carts. These businesses were inspired by shophosue of colonial architecture to sell all types of goods as chaotic traffic rushed by.
Vietnam has some of the most slapping rice and soup dishes, but many people on the move in the mornings wanted something more portable and edible by hand.
Bánh mì was traditionally upper class fare but it met the need for on-the-go food.
Just fill the bread with some Vietnamese ingredients (braised pork, pickled vegetable, Vietnamese coriander, chilies) along with French goodies (pate).
Pair it with cà phê sữa đá (aka coffee with condensed milk aka caffeinated crack) and you’re laughing.
Haven’t lived in Saigon for 10+ years but ate a banh mi every other day when I did.
While there, I also sold a comedy script to Fox (pitch: “The Fugitive meets Harold & Kumar set in Southeast Asia”).
reminder that no “asian guy and stripper” story will ever top Enron Lou Pai’s “asian guy and stripper” story
Totally forgot Lou Pai got the stripper pregnant.
If this story was transplanted to 2020s, Pai would probably have been a whale on OnlyFans and gotten got…anyways, I wrote about the economics of OF here: readtrung.com/p/onlyfans-sti…
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) trained an AI slideshow maker called “Decker” on 900 templates and apparently gotten so popular that “some of its consultants are fretting about job security.”
Sorry, called “Deckster”. That excerpt was from this BI piece that also looked at McKinsey and Deloitte AI uses: businessinsider.com/consulting-ai-…
The Mckinsey chatbot is used by 70% of firm but same anonymous job board said it’s "functional enough" and best for "very low stakes issues." x.com/bearlyai/statu…
Here’s a r/consulting thread based on Computer World last year. Deckster was launched internally March 2024…some think it’s BS…some think it helps with cold start (B- quality): reddit.com/r/consulting/s…