The issues that @fortisanalysis founder, @man_integrated spoke about recently piece on why the USA may never recover from the current supply chain disruptions have a historical analog in WW2 military supply chains.
Imagine trying to inventory and mark for the proper consignee, & move a mess like this.
Which was actually a good day for the San Francisco POE.
5/
Per the NPS San Fran POE link:
"The port and its subsidiary, served by three transcontinental railroads, handled more than 350,000 freight car loads, and employed 30,000 military and civilian employees, not counting the longshoremen who loaded and unloaded cars and ships."
6/
Per this link:
"In 1939, the SFPE employed 831 military and civilian personnel. They shipped 48,000 tons of cargo that year. By the end of WW2, in 1945, the SFPE employed more than 30,000 people.
...They shipped more than 23 million tons of cargo and 1.65 million soldiers on 4,000 freighters & 800 troopships."
Not mentioned in either link is that the War Dept. fired three San Fran POE directors during WW2. 8/
The last firing happened shortly before the end of WW2, because something needed to be done to logistically support the planned Operation Downfall invasions of the Japanese home islands.
It was the illusion of "doing something."
9/
The "Great Pacific Supply Chain Collapse" going into Downfall was years in the making. And It was well mapped by a War Dept. investigator in Sept-Oct 1944.
Col. Crosby put in the miles and time to investigate everything involved the the Pacific War supply chain. Every major port operation in Adm. Nimitz's & General Macarthur's theater's were investigated & photographed. 11/
In the time before ISO containers & container ships, good warehousing, rail & port operations for break bulk freighters required nets, pallets, roller conveyors, forklifts, cranes and military stevedores.
Who were disproportionately African-American in the Jim Crow era. 12/
The problem that Crosby found in his travels was the lack of skills/supplies/infrastructure to effectively use pallets, roller conveyors, & forklifts.
Material handling equipment (MHE), then or now, required skilled manpower, spare parts & proper infrastructure to use. 13/
In his visit to Oro Bay rear in MacArthur's theater, Crosby found that despite having fork lifts, pallets & leadership deeply committed to mechanization to save manpower. It simply wasn't happening.
14/
The meeting tonnage metrics now beat efficient for the future.
Spoilage or theft of offloaded tonnage was not measured.
It was the "Department of Someone Else's Problem."
15/
Different bases didn't share overages of pallets forklifts with bases lacking them because there was no effective communications nor incentives to do so.
[The parallels with containers & their carriers in the ports of LA & Long Beach today stand out.] 16/
Then there was the real elephant in the pacific supply chain room...inter-service rivalry.
It wasn't simply a matter of the US Navy being in charge, not understanding Army needs & short changing them.
And there was a lot of that.
17/
In fact, A whole lot of that. The USN considered all merchant hulls in it's theater it's property.
No matter if they were War Shipping Administration, War Dept. charter or Army Transport Service. When it came to shipping, the USN was:
"All you bases are belong to us" 18/
And it was more than the old saw of "The Navy gets the gravy while the Army get the beans."
Nope, it was the USN decided what was priority shipping for the theater including the building materials for Army infrastructure.
So the Army didn't get cement.
Literally, see: 19/
Adm. Nimitz and his CENTPAC staff did more to stop US Army infrastructure building in the Pacific than all the torpedoes in the Japanese Navy!
And it went to actively sabotaging MacArthur's operations.
USN stole a complete harbor crft comp meant to land supplies at Leyte! 20/
A US Army harbor company w/o it's craft are over trained stevedores. Which was what the USN wanted to slow down MacArthur.
I found that bit of sabotage on pare 79 of the following document:
Whatever happened to those Transportation Corps watercraft. They were not at Eniwetok in June 1945 despite a huge number of USN lighterage being inoperative.
Nor did they ever make it to Leyte.
24/
While MacArthur's supply issues at Leyte are blamed on Kamikazes & his own disorganization -- the official narrative.
The USN's "Grand Theft Army Watercraft" at Eniwetok played a bigger role in stopping MacArthur's supplies at Leyte than the HMIJS Yamato lead central force
25/
Yet it can be said that Col Crosby's fact finding tour bore fruit for the Pacific Supply Chain in the SWPA.
By Jan 1945 the SWPA shipping regulation system communicated about shipping & port capacity in every base & with the West coast. cgsc.contentdm.oclc.org/digital/collec…
26/
Yet for all the effort, the SWPA regulating system didn't fix the problem.
It only managed it. 27/
The heart of the issue was the dysfunction between the USN and the War Department, and especially the service troop impasse in the South Pacific.
The service troop needed for Downfall were Army & belonged to MacArthur, but the USN would not release operational control. 28/
The impasse leading to the "Great Pacific Supply Chain Collapse" during the planned invasion of Japan was broken not by agreement between supply chain stakeholders.
It was broken by the Atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. 29/
Just like it will take outside events to make the on-going the "Great World Supply Chain Collapse" irrelevant.
Pray G-d this supply chain collapse requires something much less drastic.
/End
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The predominant effect of a 1.4 million rial to the dollar hyperinflation combined with Regime Security Force public lockdown is the Iranian lower class has been set up to starve.
The lower class cannot go to work to get money to buy food.
We really need to talk about the huge opportunity that Mullah financial corruption has given the Trump Administration to crash Iran's financial system with E-bombs, AKA non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse.
Wiping the financial records of failing Mullah banks in a revolution...
What jumped out for me about @shanaka86 substack article was the implications of secure digital text communications for the Maoist model of Revolutionary warfare.
See the @grok summary of Mao's 4-level revolutionary model below. ⬇️
2/
Maoist Level 1 & 2 warfare has never had the secure digital text communications Starlink provides.
This means a whole heck of a lot and shoots decades of counter-insurgency doctrine about controlling/blocking guerilla communications in the head.
Okay folks, we have to say at this point what is driving the uprising in Iran isn't the strength of the protests.
It is the WEAKNESS OF THE IRANIAN STATE. Basij commander Shoushtari's killing is the neon sign of Mullah-ocracy weakness. It had to be an inside job, reasons.
This means we need to talk about Russia's LAST PLANE OUT OF TEHRAN. 🧵
1/
Just as US military evacuations of Saigon and Kabul required securing the embassy & airport for evacuation.
Perhaps as soon as 48 hours from now, the Russian VDV will have to secure the Tehran airport to evacuate not only Iranian Mullah gold, but lots of Russian intel & technical experts.
2/
The Fall of Kabul made clear you not only need marines for ground security.
You also needed a USAF operation/maintenance squadron (-) for loading, refueling and operating air traffic control as you can't count on the locals to run the airport as the security situation collapses.
3/
Job training for a PATRIOT fire control enhanced operator requires 10 weeks of Basic Combat Training and 20 weeks of Advanced Individual Training with on-the-job instruction.
Russian S-300 are far worse than Patriot in terms of human interface & "plug and play" maintenance. 2/
They were literally designed to be operated by drafted Ukrainian university educated STEM students.
The Maduro regime didn't trust anyone from the Venezuelan middle class to operate the oil industry, let alone Russian and Chinese air defense equipment.