The issues that @fortisanalysis founder, @man_integrated spoke about recently piece on why the USA may never recover from the current supply chain disruptions have a historical analog in WW2 military supply chains.
Imagine trying to inventory and mark for the proper consignee, & move a mess like this.
Which was actually a good day for the San Francisco POE.
5/
Per the NPS San Fran POE link:
"The port and its subsidiary, served by three transcontinental railroads, handled more than 350,000 freight car loads, and employed 30,000 military and civilian employees, not counting the longshoremen who loaded and unloaded cars and ships."
6/
Per this link:
"In 1939, the SFPE employed 831 military and civilian personnel. They shipped 48,000 tons of cargo that year. By the end of WW2, in 1945, the SFPE employed more than 30,000 people.
...They shipped more than 23 million tons of cargo and 1.65 million soldiers on 4,000 freighters & 800 troopships."
Not mentioned in either link is that the War Dept. fired three San Fran POE directors during WW2. 8/
The last firing happened shortly before the end of WW2, because something needed to be done to logistically support the planned Operation Downfall invasions of the Japanese home islands.
It was the illusion of "doing something."
9/
The "Great Pacific Supply Chain Collapse" going into Downfall was years in the making. And It was well mapped by a War Dept. investigator in Sept-Oct 1944.
Col. Crosby put in the miles and time to investigate everything involved the the Pacific War supply chain. Every major port operation in Adm. Nimitz's & General Macarthur's theater's were investigated & photographed. 11/
In the time before ISO containers & container ships, good warehousing, rail & port operations for break bulk freighters required nets, pallets, roller conveyors, forklifts, cranes and military stevedores.
Who were disproportionately African-American in the Jim Crow era. 12/
The problem that Crosby found in his travels was the lack of skills/supplies/infrastructure to effectively use pallets, roller conveyors, & forklifts.
Material handling equipment (MHE), then or now, required skilled manpower, spare parts & proper infrastructure to use. 13/
In his visit to Oro Bay rear in MacArthur's theater, Crosby found that despite having fork lifts, pallets & leadership deeply committed to mechanization to save manpower. It simply wasn't happening.
14/
The meeting tonnage metrics now beat efficient for the future.
Spoilage or theft of offloaded tonnage was not measured.
It was the "Department of Someone Else's Problem."
15/
Different bases didn't share overages of pallets forklifts with bases lacking them because there was no effective communications nor incentives to do so.
[The parallels with containers & their carriers in the ports of LA & Long Beach today stand out.] 16/
Then there was the real elephant in the pacific supply chain room...inter-service rivalry.
It wasn't simply a matter of the US Navy being in charge, not understanding Army needs & short changing them.
And there was a lot of that.
17/
In fact, A whole lot of that. The USN considered all merchant hulls in it's theater it's property.
No matter if they were War Shipping Administration, War Dept. charter or Army Transport Service. When it came to shipping, the USN was:
"All you bases are belong to us" 18/
And it was more than the old saw of "The Navy gets the gravy while the Army get the beans."
Nope, it was the USN decided what was priority shipping for the theater including the building materials for Army infrastructure.
So the Army didn't get cement.
Literally, see: 19/
Adm. Nimitz and his CENTPAC staff did more to stop US Army infrastructure building in the Pacific than all the torpedoes in the Japanese Navy!
And it went to actively sabotaging MacArthur's operations.
USN stole a complete harbor crft comp meant to land supplies at Leyte! 20/
A US Army harbor company w/o it's craft are over trained stevedores. Which was what the USN wanted to slow down MacArthur.
I found that bit of sabotage on pare 79 of the following document:
Whatever happened to those Transportation Corps watercraft. They were not at Eniwetok in June 1945 despite a huge number of USN lighterage being inoperative.
Nor did they ever make it to Leyte.
24/
While MacArthur's supply issues at Leyte are blamed on Kamikazes & his own disorganization -- the official narrative.
The USN's "Grand Theft Army Watercraft" at Eniwetok played a bigger role in stopping MacArthur's supplies at Leyte than the HMIJS Yamato lead central force
25/
Yet it can be said that Col Crosby's fact finding tour bore fruit for the Pacific Supply Chain in the SWPA.
By Jan 1945 the SWPA shipping regulation system communicated about shipping & port capacity in every base & with the West coast. cgsc.contentdm.oclc.org/digital/collec…
26/
Yet for all the effort, the SWPA regulating system didn't fix the problem.
It only managed it. 27/
The heart of the issue was the dysfunction between the USN and the War Department, and especially the service troop impasse in the South Pacific.
The service troop needed for Downfall were Army & belonged to MacArthur, but the USN would not release operational control. 28/
The impasse leading to the "Great Pacific Supply Chain Collapse" during the planned invasion of Japan was broken not by agreement between supply chain stakeholders.
It was broken by the Atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. 29/
Just like it will take outside events to make the on-going the "Great World Supply Chain Collapse" irrelevant.
Pray G-d this supply chain collapse requires something much less drastic.
/End
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Ukraine has achieved "Drone air superiority" over those roads rivaling WW2's Summer 1944 Allied air superiority over German occupied Normandy.
As a result, the Russian truck fleet is taking unsustainable attrition, particularly of its fuel tanker fleet. 2/
This AFU fuel interdiction campaign is causing panic:
"Fuel shortages are beginning in Sevastopol. This is the beginning of the consequences of the enemy's systematic strikes on oil refineries and tanker trucks along the land corridor to Crimea." 3/
Texas has seven unique advantages in terms of infrastructure, political culture, and resource geography that make it uniquely suited to be the next industrial heartland of the USA.
The seven industrial development advantages of Texas 🧵 1/
1. About 94% of land in Texas is privately held. This vastly limits what the Federal, State and local governments can do to in terms of regulations and NIMBY games.
2/
2. Texas is mostly flat. Texas hill country is small beer compared to the Appalachian and Sierra Nevada mountain ranges. This compounds with #1 for industrial development.
3. Texas has a lot of water compared to the US west & sea access.
This is one of the most logistically incompetent hot takes by any German journalist in the Russo-Ukrainian War.
95% getting through is a 5% loss rate per trip
95%(x) for 10 to 20 kills means x = 200 to 400 trucks on this route
10 trips means 40% total fleet loss - 80 to 160 trucks
1/
You can follow the 5% loss curve in this 500 unit fleet at 10 exposures in the graphic below.
A 40% fleet loss in 10 days from a 5% drone loss rate is logistical collapse for the Russian Army in occupied Ukraine.
Only some trying to get AfD eyeballs would say different.
2/
This leaves out the fact that the Russian Army doesn't use *ANY* mechanized logistical enabler like pallets, Truck D-rings, forklifts, or telehandlers.
Russian trucks are in the drone kill zones 3 times as long as a Western truck due to loading times.
"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""
As laid out by warquants -dot- com, China is buying one million OWA drones to destroy all US/Taiwan/Taiwan allied military logistics from Guam to the China coast.
A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.