Holy smokes.

There was a merger vote at an EGM 12 days ago in Japan. The third largest shareholder, who had made an earlier competing takeover proposal (better for the co and shareholders, but not mgmt) objected, as did others.

It passed.

It needed 66.67%. It "just passed."
It was so close it had to go to marksheet voting on the spot.

Meeting ended 1:40pm. Then vote.

Chamber closed at 2 to reconvene at 3.

Vote counted at 2:50. Inspector General of the EGM gets the tally. Tells chairman.

Chairman of the meeting delays restart 'just to be sure'
At 4:10pm, Chairman walks in and says "it passed, by a small margin."

Done. dusted.

Usually, the result is published by the company in a regulatory filing within 1bd, sometimes same day. This took 7 days. When it came out, it was 66.68%.

Remember it needed 66.67%.
A 'likely-to-be-contested' EGM often sees the objecting party petition the court for a General Meeting Inspector General - a neutral lawyer who observes process and writes a report. Usually that report is filed with the court 40 days after the meeting.

This time it took 7 days.
The EGM IG had something to say.

It turns out that after the EGM IG found that the merger had not passed and told the Chairman at 2:57pm, and the Chairman extended the break, at 3:45pm, a lawyer for the company comes in and asks for a meeting with the EGM IG in a separate room.
He says "one of the shareholders came to me at 3:30pm and offered to confirm his vote - he intended to vote FOR but it turns out he abstained on his marksheet" and he showed the IG the blank ballot. The company changed the vote from abstain to FOR.

That is how it got to 66.68%.
THEY CHANGED THE BALLOT AFTER THE VOTE WAS CLOSED.

This one is going to court. An injunction petition on the merger was filed today.

Nikkei article about the vote process: nikkei.com/article/DGXZQO…

NHK article saying it's going to court:
www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/2021…
Company in question is Kansai Super (9919 JP). The vote was to merge with two unlisted units of #1 shareholder H2O Retailing which would then lead to H2O owning a majority of Kansai Super.

The objecting party was OK Corp (unlisted, based in Yokohama).

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More from @bauhiniacapital

11 Nov
Brief thread on Evergrande:

Great article. Lots of color.

This is playing out very much as one would have thought (and did) in summer.

wsj.com/articles/everg…
The government has been insisting on a "market-oriented approach" which is a signal they won't publicly bail out the company's capital providers.

In Jully the govt charged the Guangzhou govt with "coordinating" the efforts between creditors and suppliers and the company.
In early August, the Guangzhou intermediate court was charged with being the hub for all debt-related cases against Evergrande.
Read 14 tweets
9 Nov
A month later and there is more news coming out.
Earlier in the thread I noted Oasis PR of 4 October, after Japan Catalyst PR on 24 Sep and Silchester on 27 Sep; Orbis followed on 7 Oct

Japan Catalyst: japancatalyst.com/pdf/JCI_NIPPO_…

Silchester: apparently on BBG but I can't find elsewhere now

Orbis: businesswire.com/news/home/2021…
Yesterday one activist set up a website, basically acting as a proxy for the Special Committee of NIPPO, saying that NIPPO would welcome alternative over-bidders to the ENEOS/GS deal.

That's fun.

That's the first time I have seen that.

ft.com/content/94b503…
Read 17 tweets
7 Nov
A very relevant 🧵.

Understanding the peeves and opportunities as seen by the different age groups in Japan is KEY to understanding the investment landscape.
Some things to think about:
1) Some politicians regularly complain about QE and the BOJ. It is because the elderly own most of the assets and they are frustrated with low income from low rates.
2) Japanese companies care more about their young employees than their old.
3) Japan will end up with too few warm bodies for its ambitions in a couple of decades. The labour shortage will be ‘mitigated’ by
a) FA/RPA
b) off-shoring
c) larger scale farming
d) the elderly working more/longer
e) imported labour
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
If you are in the Niigata, this is a great garden to view the foliage.
Yesterday:

If you follow the thread lower, you'll see the trend in reverse...

Read 7 tweets
28 Oct
Softbank was the biggest expected sell at a little under US$3bn for passive trackers to sell.

That's a 5min chart over the past week. A bunch of volume will have gotten crossed off-market post-close. Those who look will see a couple of big prints out tomorrow noontime.
It appears as if the baskets didn't trade *that* well (i.e. they were substantially pre-positioned) on the last day and a lot of the big names appear to have run against in the last 5mins.
Those tables are from FFW change announcement day 3wks ago - not today's prices. Quantities should be good tho.
Read 4 tweets
23 Oct
This situation is going to end up being nastier than people think.

reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
The details are not out officially, but the "loser" here ADC (9318 JP) (which is an arm of Sun Hung Kai & Co) apparently didn't have their votes counted (because they are on margin).

They say that if their votes had been counted, it would have gone the other way. ImageImage
The Tokyo District Court will review the case later this coming week and I expect that whoever loses will appeal.

For my part, I think the history and operation of ADC is dodgy.

It comes from Sun Hung Kai's takeover of a large stake in the company when it was called J Bridge,
Read 12 tweets

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