Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Nov 9, 2021 29 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Why is Africa the way it is?
Why are its countries where they are?
The relationships between them
The people? The deserts?

Here are X to easily understand Africa better (politics, geography, history, demographics, climate & more)
One of the key ways to look at Africa is through this map: its river basins.

Let's start with the big one in the northeast. It's the Nile's watershed.
Here's northeast Africa at night. See that flower in the middle? That's the Nile through Egypt.
100 million Egyptians live within ~15 miles of its banks. That's ~99% of them.
More details here.


Why?
Because all the rest is just desert. The Sahara. But why is the Sahara where it is? Because of Horse Latitudes
Across the world, at that latitude—called horse latitude—there are hot deserts.
But why?
Because of winds
The equator is so hot that air goes high up in the atmosphere, where it gets cold and its water falls.
Due to the size of the earth, that air falls down at the horse latitudes. Dry air falling means no rain.
Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia are just at the limit of Horse Latitudes, have humidity from the Mediterranean sea, and the Atlas mountains condensate the water from the wind. So there's enough water on the north of the Atlas mountain range—so ppl—but nothing south.
That sliver of green in Northwest Africa hosts 92M Africans.
But farther east it's too far south into the Horse Latitudes, so even if Libya is bigger than Morocco, Tunisia, and Egypt combined, it only has 5M ppl!
If you look at the river basins in the Sahara, you can see few of these rivers end in the sea: they dry up before they arrive.
Only the Nile manages to cross the Sahara. In fact, it's so unique, it's the longest north-south river in the world.
But where is it born? The Nile is the combination of the White Nile from Lake Victoria, in the middle of Africa, and the Blue Nile, from Ethiopia.

What ppl don't know is that ~90% of the water of the Nile comes from Ethiopia!

Why?
Again, because of rains, obviously
It makes sense that the equator has so much rain, but why Ethiopia? Because of its highlands
Ethiopia's highlands are super high, so they catch all the water from the winds blowing into it.
Here's a closeup of the Ethiopian Highlands. Very high
Why does Ethiopia have so much rain but Somalia is so dry? Because once winds pass Ethiopia, they're empty of water. It's called the rain shadow effect.
But why do winds blow in this direction in Africa, from west to east, and not the other way around? Because of the monsoon winds.
In june-sept, winds blow from the Atlantic towards Africa, bathing the continent with water.
In dec-mar, when the hottest part is farther south, they blow from the Indian Ocean.
That's why Somalia is dry: by the time the jun-sep winds reach it, all the water fell in the Ethiopian highlands.

It's also why the Kalahari (esp Namibia) and the west of South Africa are so dry: by the time eastern winds arrive in jan-mar, all their water has already fallen
Obviously, the more rain, the more food, the more ppl. That's why the map of water precipitation in Africa matches the map of population density pretty well
Except for that hole in the middle. What is that?
Around the equator, land is actually not fertile at all. It's so hot and humid that plants and animals recycle waste extremely fast, before sediments litter the floor. And then rain washes away any potential fertilizer
That's why the same thing happens at the Amazon in America: it's not fertile land, and few live there.

So although the Congo (middle green) is huge and has lots of water, it "only" has 90M ppl (to Nigeria's 200M)

But why are there so many mountains stopping rains across Africa?
Because of the Rift Valley: 2 mountain ranges with a valley in the middle that cross Africa.

These are the mountains that stop all the monsoon water that later become so many rivers, including the Nile.

And why is the Rift Valley there? Because of plate tectonics.
Africa is splitting in two in the Rift Valley. The plates are separating at that level. Central African lakes Victoria, Tanganyka, Malawi, and others are just the central Rift valley trapping water from the 2 mountain ranges on the sides
So there you are: the earth's plate tectonics and size cause Africa's mountains and winds, which cause the continent's geography, and create all these climates where humans thrive—or not:
- Egypt's Nile feeds 100M ppl
- Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia are the Med coast above the Atlas
- Libya is nothing because it has no water. Same as most Saharan countries
- The few Saharan countries that survive live around internal lakes: eg Chad / Niger around Lake Chad
- Ethiopia's highlands catch wind's water, which supports 120M ppl
- But Somalia has none left, so it's desert
- The Rift Valley creates rivers and lakes that can feed populations: Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Malawi, Zimbabwe..
- Tanzania, Kenya, Mozambique, and South Africa get enough water from eastern monsoon winds that they can support big pops
- Namibia doesn't, so it's desertic. Southern Angola isn't great either. But the north could have a bigger population
- Congo: too hot and humid to be fertile, so its population is limited.
- But the West Africa pop is huge: it has humidity + heat w/o too much as the Congo. That's all the countries btw Senegal & Nigeria

I go into more detail on all of this in this week’s article
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More from @tomaspueyo

Dec 5
Why are the top 20 US cities where they are? (including metropolitan areas): 🧵

1. New York: It became the trading hub between the Great Lakes and the Atlantic regions when it built its canals through the Appalachians

Image
2. Los Angeles:
• Trading hub between the world (Pacific) and the US (railways)
• Weather + biggest coastal valley on the Pacific➡️agriculture & cheap building
• Oil
• Landscapes + far from the East Coast centers of power➡️Attracted the film industry

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3. Chicago:
Trading hub between the Mississippi River Basin and the the Great Lakes area (and hence the world, via New York)

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Nov 26
People think we must shrink the world's population to be happy, but they're wrong

A world with shrinking population would be decaying, poor, brutal, violent, hopeless

A world with 100 billion people would be dynamic, rich, innovative, peaceful, hopeful
🧵 Image
1. In the last 2 centuries, the world got better as the population exploded:
• Richer
• Live older
• Lower child mortality Image
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• Fewer homicides
• Fewer war deaths
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And much more: fewer infections, diseases, accidents. More racial equality, sexual equality. Instant access to all the knowledge in the world. We can go anywhere, whenever we want... Image
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Read 17 tweets
Nov 19
We can raise our population on Earth from 8 billion to 100B humans if we want to

Would we starve?
Be too crowded?
Would pollution explode?
Ecosystems collapse?

No! Don't believe alarmist degrowthers. This is why they're wrong: 🧵 Image
Degrowthers put a label to "how many humans can the Earth sustain": carrying capacity

Their estimates vary wildly
Wait, what? What a surprise, the mode of their estimates is 8B—exactly the current number of ppl on Earth

WHAT A COINCIDENCE!Image
Or they lack imagination: OMG the Earth is already on the brink. Surely not one more soul fits here!

And then they try to find out what limits we might be hitting. Their most common fears are:
1. Room
2. Food
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4. Energy
5. Pollution
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Let's look at each:
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Nov 13
Can desalinated water deliver a future of infinite water?
Yes!
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• It will get even cheaper
• Limited pollution
• Some countries already live off of it

We can transform deserts into paradise. And some countries are already on that path:🧵 Image
Crazy fact:
Over half of Israel's freshwater is desalinated from the Mediterranean!
And the vast majority of its tap water is desalinated too!
And it costs less than municipal water in a city like LA! Image
It's not the only country. Saudi Arabia is the biggest desalinator in the world. 50% of its drinking water is desalinated. It's 30% in Singapore, a majority of water in the UAE...

What if we applied this, but at scale across the world? Image
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Nov 12
President-elect @realDonaldTrump could own the environmentalists by solving global warming on his first day in office, and do it for 0.1% of current climate investments

Here's how: sulfate injection 🧵 Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms Image
1. GLOBAL WARMING
2024 is the 1st year we pass 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels
This is caused by CO2
Some side-effects of this CO2 are good, but it's undeniable that the planet is warming fast, and it could create some nasty pbms
Read 18 tweets
Nov 9
Should you be able to experiment on your own cancer?

This expert virologist did. It was the 3rd time her cancer appeared. It didn't bode well. So she injected viruses in her tumor and it shrunk.

But most journals didn't want to publish her results. Why? Because they're dumb 🧵
Beata Halassy got cancer in 2016, then again in 2018, and again in 2020. That looked awfully bad. She knew if she continued in the traditional route, her cancer might eventually prevail. So she decided to try what she knew about: viruses Image
Here's the theory:
1. Select a virus that is likely to attack your target cancer cells
2. Because cancer cells neutralize the immune system, they're more likely to be killed by viruses than healthy cells
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