#LGE2021 #ResultCheck

There are some errors in votes in KZN 225 (Msunduzi).

The effect of correcting these would add over 2,000 votes into the calculations for the Quota, and seat allocations.

This would take a seat away from the IFP, and give it to the NFP.

@IECSouthAfrica
#LGE2021 #ResultCheck

The reason that other parties can affect the IFP is that votes were "lost". Putting them back means that the #Quota goes up. The IFP and NFP are very close on #Remainder, and raising the Quota decreases Remainder for any party that already has seats.
#LGE2021 #ResultCheck

This example demonstrates that objections CANNOT be ruled out in isolation, and cannot be counted as not material to the outcome without careful calculation.

And, that the @IECSouthAfrica #Audit processes are not catching enough errors.

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More from @atkinsmike1

9 Nov
#LGE2021 #NewResults

@IECSouthAfrica quietly published NEW result data over the course of yesterday and today.

EC, FS, Gauteng, Lim, N Cape and NW were published on Nov 8, while KZN, MP and W Cape were published on Nov 9.

To my knowledge, no public announcement has been made.
It would be very helpful if @IECSouthAfrica was to publish a full list of the Voting Station result changes since the announcement of the results on Nov 4, along with details of any seat allocation changes.
#LGE2021 #NewResults

@IECSouthAfrica
unfortunately, your newly-published results do NOT include Aplos Primary School, VD 76160235 in Ward 16 of MP 325 Bushbuckridge.

Could you explain what is happening with this data, as earlier data sets DID contain a result for this VD
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
#LGE2021 #ResultCheck

@IECSouthAfrica quietly published NEW result data TODAY, four days after the official results were announced publicly.

Different vote totals, and a different seat allocation for @Our_DA are indicated in the new data.
To clarify, I show the seat calculation for #Ethekwini, which has altered.

There has been NO ANNOUNCEMENT on the @IECSouthAfrica Twitter account.

It will be an interesting exercise to determine what changes have been made, and under what circumstances.

We need TRANSPARENCY.
#LGE2021 #NewResults

@IECSouthAfrica unfortunately, your newly-published results do NOT include Aplos Primary School, VD 76160235 in Ward 16 of MP 325 Bushbuckridge.

Could you explain what is happening with this data, as earlier data sets DID contain a result for this VD?
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
#LGE2021 #ResultCheck

There is an odd situation in two nearby voting stations in Moorton, Chatsworth in Ethekwini.

Moorton Community Hall and Dawnridge Primary both have 0 Ward spoilt ballots, but many PR spoilt. The issue is that there are matching Ballots Cast discrepancies,
meaning that effectively 137 and 61 extra PR ballots respectively were cast in each place, AND that these were all spoiled.

It is difficult to say what transpired here, but this is the type of situation that ought to be investigated.

@IECSouthAfrica
The only scenario with the #IEC is not at fault would be if 198 members of a community walked into the respective voting stations, took both ballots, cast a spoiled PR ballot, and walked out of the voting station with the Ward ballot in their pocket.

IEC staff OUGHT to see /
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
#LGE2021

I am seeing hundreds of instances where parties have ZEROS written in for one or both of their vote tallies, often with smaller parties.

@IECSouthAfrica, although your reliance on the s 65 rule is misplaced, as errors cannot be rejected in isolation, or before the /
result is known, the sheer scale of this shows that there is a SYSTEMIC problem with the quality and / or honesty of your staff in voting stations, AND with your #Audit processes.

When you tolerate these, you are not merely taking some votes away from smaller parties, you are /
robbing those voters of the right to vote.

Imagine voting, and then seeing ZERO for your party in your voting station.

You are disenfranchising thousands of VOTERS around the country.

Many of these instances ARE "material to the outcome" of those elections.

@IECSouthAfrica
Read 4 tweets
13 May
I have given Christians a hard time over the fact that many have believed covid vaccine conspiracies. Maybe time for some balance.

The media, and much public discourse, IS generally slanted against ordinary Christian belief (objectively, this could be a good, or a bad thing). /
In my view, much results from the mistrust of "mainstream media". In part (I choose my words carefully), some of that mistrust is well founded.

Christians tend to feel alienated (some will say that they should), and anyone who comes along, and "identifies" with that alienation /
will tend to get a good hearing. My opinion is that this happens on an emotional level at first, which is why it can be so hard to shake the ideas gained in this way.

Of course, Trump exploited this tendency ruthlessly. He needed to be shielded from scrutiny of his personal /
Read 7 tweets
29 Jan
Having been retrenched, I am looking for freelance / contract work in the following areas:

- data preparation
- database development
- web development
- communications

I am a determined, versatile, creative problem-solver.

Small or large jobs.

RTs appreciated. Pls DM
DATA PREPARATION

I take data from the format you have to the format you need.

I have extensive experience in extracting and processing data from a wide variety of sources and formats.

Documents, tabular data, text, PDFs – no challenge refused.
DATABASE DEVELOPMENT

Analysis and specification, design, creation.

Aside from building applications, I focus on querying, and extracting useful insights.

SQL Server, MySQL / MariaDB
Read 6 tweets

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