so many lockdowns
so many test for entry
so many school closures
so mutch fear
masking 1.5 years
teleworking 1.5 years
alcohol bans
months of curfew
police beating demonstrators
QR fundamentalism
2/ NL will now punish the unvaxxed with 2G to protect them.
Those are mainly below 35. The healthy young future of NL. Do you see how they need to be protected?
3/ Therefore the young and children need to "urgently" be vaccinated, although this data should make you wonder why.
4/ But NL was rewarded for all this or not?
I fail to see it. I don't read news nor watch TV. I read data. That's my destiny as scientist. I fail to understand what people are thinking around me.
5/ But SWE must have failed totally?
Without lockdowns, everything should have collapsed. 10x deaths forecast!
I fail to see it. NL is worse.
2020 SWE (left) versus 2020 NL (right). Age adjusted mortality rate by age group.
15-64y top
65-74
75-84
85+ bottom
6/ NL: It was the worst pandemic since 100 years. We needed to lock down the children and the healthy to protect them. Is this plausible?
7/ But Sweden killed people. Their neighbours did much better. No they did not.
The neighbours like DNK need to ask themselves: why do "kill" people 3 years earlier on average?
8/ But Finland. See above. 2 years worse life expectancy. You need to have people in the elderly bin in order to make the all age excess possible with the Simpson's illusion (btw. the reason for most panic). Even worse, use z-scores to compare countries.
1/ Important. ERA5 is a weather model, not a measurement. This summer field tests revealed: rural areas suffer heat bias due to urban heat pollution, making models/interpolations heat biased.
Here a demo that ERA5 is wrong on the tested location.
2/ This implies that all temperature aggregations in climate aggregations incorporate the heat bias prevalent in rural areas. This outcome is hardly surprising given that the majority of weather stations are situated in urban or airport environments.
2/Context: When aiming to determine the Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) rather than Life Expectancy (LE), we employ a straightforward relationship:
ASMR = 90 - LE
(valid for ESP2013 population)
However, for those who find it more relevant, we can maintain the LE-CO2
3/ It's important to mention that money is an abstraction of promised future work (energy future). This is why the US dollar is linked to oil; US have grasped this concept.
Rather than $ inflation adjustments, you can express your wealth / income as tons CO2 (or MWh) instead.
1/ Thanks to the Simpson’s paradox (alle age vaxx rates + all age excess) + spurious correlation (ecological fallacy), the Professor is resurfacing the manipulative fallacy from 2021.
Let’s demonstrate on pre-vaxx year 2020.
@MartinKulldorff
2/ Just to highlight further: the vaccination rate in the age group 65+ where 99% of mortality comes from, is equivalent in almost all European countries and higher than 90%.
3/ He’s furthermore using the ecological fallacy, which we can use to make a time machine (called spurious correlation) and have the vaccine given 2021 working in 2019 or earlier.
1/ Struggling to locate accurate water temperature measurements seems challenging. Every time I search, no data available.
Let's give it another shot.
promising, shall we give it a try? https://t.co/PORaFlE0Rzgcos.wmo.int/index.php/en/n…
2/ So many stations. Including ships.
One would think it should be easy to check the actual in-situ water temperature, in order to then compare with the @NOAA SST product.
3/ Let's check Florida. NaN. A disappointingly common result. Next, a ship: nope. I can't find any temperature readings from the Atlantic coast. Interesting. @noaa, is your infrared-based model really accurate? Where can we find reliable calibration for the data.