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Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Orwell2024🏒
@orwell2022
If it disagrees with the expert, it’s wrong. In that simple statement is the key to consensus.
Κασσάνδρα Παρί پری Profile picture fche Profile picture Myrne Stol (she/they) Profile picture Todd McKenzie Profile picture The Mind Boggles Profile picture 9 subscribed
Oct 9, 2023 • 23 tweets • 12 min read
1/ Important. ERA5 is a weather model, not a measurement. This summer field tests revealed: rural areas suffer heat bias due to urban heat pollution, making models/interpolations heat biased.

Here a demo that ERA5 is wrong on the tested location.

Truth ~24C. ✅
ERA5: 28C. ❌
Image 2/ This implies that all temperature aggregations in climate aggregations incorporate the heat bias prevalent in rural areas. This outcome is hardly surprising given that the majority of weather stations are situated in urban or airport environments.
Oct 1, 2023 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Men are women.
Plants don’t need CO2.

Brought to us by the unscientific cult.

Try to grow water plants without adding CO2. Try to grow plants in a fully air sealed greenhouse. And biological men: get pregnant.



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Image They seem to rewrite history. Removing articles. 404 not found.
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Sep 11, 2023 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
1/ Let's use the linear connection between Mortality and Life expectancy to illustrate the real implications of #netzero.

Energy scarcity will escalate mortality rates as there is no such thing as low energy consumption and high life expectancy.
Image 2/Context: When aiming to determine the Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) rather than Life Expectancy (LE), we employ a straightforward relationship:

ASMR = 90 - LE
(valid for ESP2013 population)

However, for those who find it more relevant, we can maintain the LE-CO2 Image
Sep 2, 2023 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
1/ Thanks to the Simpson’s paradox (alle age vaxx rates + all age excess) + spurious correlation (ecological fallacy), the Professor is resurfacing the manipulative fallacy from 2021.

Let’s demonstrate on pre-vaxx year 2020.
@MartinKulldorff
Image 2/ Just to highlight further: the vaccination rate in the age group 65+ where 99% of mortality comes from, is equivalent in almost all European countries and higher than 90%. Image
Jul 16, 2023 • 24 tweets • 13 min read
1/ Let's go to the source to demonstrate what the IR brightness temperature means and means and what it doesn't.

Shown below is the location (Spain) and day (11th July) under discussion.

~57C. So far so good. But... https://t.co/tIS2n44MYW https://t.co/USTkBQXzZAsentinelshare.page.link/EHWu

Image 2/ Let's now create a historical plot for this location and see if there's anything remarkable happening.

Well, the verdict is in: No.

Surprise, surprise. This is just how the place looks every single year. Nothing out of the ordinary here. Image
Jul 11, 2023 • 7 tweets • 6 min read
1/ Struggling to locate accurate water temperature measurements seems challenging. Every time I search, no data available.
Let's give it another shot.
promising, shall we give it a try? https://t.co/PORaFlE0Rzgcos.wmo.int/index.php/en/n…
2/ So many stations. Including ships.



One would think it should be easy to check the actual in-situ water temperature, in order to then compare with the @NOAA SST product.

But is it? https://t.co/02r45ETWv5ocean-ops.org
Jul 5, 2023 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
1/ A textbook example of urban heat.

Left: number of "heat days"
Right: urban footprints

The result is trivial. The specific heat content of urban areas is ~2-5x lower than soil, forest, water.

Numerous T stations are now nestled in urban areas, creating the "heat impact". https://t.co/T6kW8hctKN


 2/ What is the average temperature here. What does it mean?

Specific heat (J/kg.°C):
concrete 879
water 4186
soil 1800
asphalt 900
sand 780
steal 470
Jun 25, 2023 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Over 21C and 25C? That's not in line with ground truth. Sever degrees to high.

Just back. I was in the water.

Ground:

Sat: https://t.co/hHycQmaWJh https://t.co/4bRw7LwfrPwaterinfo.rws.nl/#!/details/pub…
view.eumetsat.int/productviewer?…
5C off. The ground is truth.
Jun 20, 2023 • 16 tweets • 8 min read
1/ Ocean temperatures. What is measured and what does it mean.

The problem with measuring sea surface temperature (SST) has several factors. The number of buoys deployed in the ocean is very limited. Satellite measurements of SST rely on clear sky and also rather limited.
Image
Image 2/ SST anomalies are a model. The vast portion of the ocean's area relies on guessing, not measurements. This can be observed, when examining a reading from 14th June. Valid readouts are lacking for most regions. This situation is quite typical in SST estimation processes.
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Jun 11, 2023 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
Tenerife:
11th June 2023 , 21.71°
11th June 2022, 21.65°

Arcachon France:
2022, 19.42°
2023, 19.47°

Den Helder (NL)
Yesterday, 14.62° The temperature on this day last year, 11th June 2022, was 15°

Iceland, Husavik
7.05°C
this day last year, 11th June 2022, was 7.08° C I did not cherry pick. Checked 4 stations.
seatemperatures.net/europe/spain/t…
An axis from south (canaries) to north (Iceland). 1C people. You just need magic 1D computer models to make this up.
Mar 29, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/ Learning about the "man made" climate prophecy.

"...sun went through a period of near zero sunspot activity from 1645 to 1715. This period is called the Maunder Minimum. The Little Ice Age..."

How did man control the sun? Prayers to Apollo?

weather.gov/fsd/sunspots 2/ It seems that I need to do more CNN time to really accept the god/man made part of it.

Maybe it's like with natural immunity/seasons?

It also doesn't exist without mRNA Pfizaptizing.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Mar 28, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
200 ha. 20MW average power (random, not at night).

We need +70 of those parks to paper match Isar 2 reactor (which runs 24/7). With storage? 150x

The lifetime ~30 years. Then it is waste. New mining / resource exploitation needed with fossils.

Net zero or insanity? ImageImage So lets add storage (50% efficiency). 150 such parks. Makes 150x200=30.000 ha (min). That is the total area of Munich. PVs is trash in 30 years and needs continuous replacement (fresh fossil powered mining + industry) somewhere in the world.

A "sustainable" plan. #greenwashing Image
Mar 26, 2023 • 6 tweets • 5 min read
1/ This study shows the confounding between high and low vaccinated groups. When doing what @CDCgov and @rubenivangaalen did, plotting mortality by vaccination status, it creates an apparent vaccine effect as mortality rates are vastly different in those groups per default. 2/ Even if adjusting for such confounders like @ONS did, a significant residual confounding remained. @OS51388957 @jsm2334 tried to remove it with an empiric correction factor that is derived from assuming that non C19 mortality should to be matched.
Mar 16, 2023 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
1/Comparing crude mortality between populations with different age structures creates a Simpson's paradox.

Norway (young pop.) has the lowest crude mortality, while Italy (older pop.) the highest.

After age standardization, Italy actually has the lowest pre-C19 mortality rate Image 2/ This is also reflected in another age adjusted parameter, the life expectancy (LE).

Did you know that life expectancy (LE) and age-adjusted mortality (ASMR) have an inverse relationship? Italy had the highest LE (and lowest ASMR) until COVID-19 measures caused a setback. Image
Mar 8, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
1/ Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark mortality by age groups.

There is an interesting feature to see here. Not Covid related.

Can you spot what it is? 2/ I give you a hint. Look at the Denmark (red) curves. What is it?
Nov 17, 2022 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
1/ Arctic sea ice : The mainstream arguments use a rather simple manipulative trick: hide pre 1980 data.

Always start at ~ 1980 like on this site here.

nsidc.org/arcticseaicene…

Below is the longer time scale which isn't fitting the simple CO2 models. Image 2/ If you want to learn more: Prof. Jorgen Peder Steffensen (glaciology and geologist) is a good source to follow.
nytimes.com/2008/08/03/opi…
Ice core science:

Climate:

What is science (wonderful introduction):
odysee.com/@orwell2024:6/…
Jun 17, 2022 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
9/ "We now see that everybody early 2020 died all at the same time regardless of region. Neglect doesn’t do this, false negative test don’t do this, fear doesn’t do this, pathogens don’t do this. What will do it is a nationally coordinated campaign..." 😉

jdee.substack.com/p/non-covid-ca… Image 10/ We know that Covid was circulating Q4 2019 in Italy already. So what happened: PCR turned the lights on. Similar as in the AIDS pandemic (K. Mullis explained).

Then you panic. In the East there was nothing to discover with the light (PCR). In only spread slowly later in Q3. Image
Jun 13, 2022 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
1/ So nobody picked up this opportunity?? @ONS is serving it on a golden plate...😌

ASMR (Age Standardied Mortality Rates) by city! We can compare cities right?

Let's do this interactive. I'll start.

All ages first. Did Stockholm collapse? No. 2/ Now let's compare 0-64 and 65+.

0-65: Stockholm is shining verus panic lockdown cities.
65+: All comparable. No Armageddon.

Long live Sweden. 🏆🥰🇸🇪🇸🇪
Jun 5, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
1/ Confounding game:
biostat.jhsph.edu/courses/bio621…

Example 1: "more vaxx more dead" using

covid-tracker.mckinsey.com/vaccination-ma… 2/ Filtering to US only, and breaking down by county, the contrast disappears. It would disappear further if breaking down more (ethnicity, health, comorbidity, obesity....)
Jun 3, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
One year later after

- more than 90% vaxx levels in the elderly 65+ groups
- claimed 90-98% VE (10-50x) against death
- lower IFR variants (Omicron...)
- natural immunity from previous waves (1.5 years)

we still don't see the promises come true. Here again what was promised.

The expectation based on the "data sheet", VE 98% was the dotted black line.

If you bought a new anti-mosquito product (90% efficacy) and get fully bitten:

A) you buy more
B) you buy legacy (DEET) next time

Jun 3, 2022 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
1/ Nature paper: COVID death tolls: scientists acknowledge errors in WHO estimates

"Wakefield says this adjustment would give a more nuanced picture, but that the WHO didn’t release global age-adjusted excess death rates"

nature.com/articles/d4158… 2/ "Some organizations are reporting age-standardized mortality rates. For instance, the UK Office for National Statistics"

Many have done this earlier.
(cc @jonwakeblue)





orwell2024.substack.com/publish?utm_so…
orwell2024.substack.com/p/age-adjusted…