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Rob Lee Profile picture
@RALee85
Nov 12, 2021 • 51 tweets • 22 min read • Read on X
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The Belarusian MoD announced that a joint battalion tactical group of Russian paratroopers and Belarusian SSO/SOF parachuted from Russian Il-76 aircraft at the the Gozhsky range in Belarus as a readiness check amidst the buildup near Belarus' border.
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The Gozhsky range is in northwestern Belarus near Grodno and the borders with both Lithuania and Poland. During Zapad, Russian and Belarusian paratroopers conducted airborne exercises at the Brestky range near Poland but with notice. This is certainly not a routine exercise. 2/
The press release states that the joint force will practice capturing and holding a bridgehead, as well as searching for and destroying sabotage/recon groups and illegal armed formations before returning to their permanent bases. 3/
Yesterday, Lukashenko suggested that Russian and Belarusian troops would help protect Belarus' borders. 4/
Russian and Belarusian VDV/SOF forces conducted a number of joint training exercises, including airborne and air assault, as part of the Zapad 2021 exercise in September. So they clearly don't need to conduct a readiness check for training purposes. 5/
Yesterday, Russia sent two Tu-160 strategic bombers to conduct a patrol over Belarus, which included simulating a bombing run over a Belarusian training range and an escort from Belarusian Su-30SM fighters. 6/
And two days ago, Russia sent two Tu-22M3 bombers to fly over Belarus. 7/
Looks as though we may see live-fire exercises at two Belarusian training ranges near the border with Poland. 8/
Photo from the Belarusian MoD of the joint Russian-Belarusian airborne operation in northwestern Belarus. Of course, they could have conducted this exercise at another range far from Belarus' border with NATO members if this was just about training. 9/
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Meanwhile, Russian Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu and Foreign Minster Sergei Lavrov are in Paris today for a meeting with their French counterparts. I'm sure they'll have much to discuss. 10/
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Photos of the joint Russian-Belarusian airborne exercise at the Gozhsky training area in northwestern Belarus. 11/
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Photos of the joint Russian-Belarusian airborne exercise at the Gozhsky training area in northwestern Belarus. 12/
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Meanwhile, two Belgian F-16 are being scrambled to meet two Russian Tu-160 strategic bombers that may fly near Dutch airspace. The bombers are currently being escorted by the Norwegian Air Force. 13/
Video of a Russian Il-76 aircraft taking off with Russian paratroopers who took part in today’s airborne exercise. 14/
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Video from today's Russian-Belarusian airborne exercise at the Gozhsky training area in northwestern Belarus. 15/
tvzvezda.ru/news/202111121…
Video of Sergei Shoigu and Sergei Lavrov in Paris today. 16/
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Sergie Shouigu during his meeting with French officials, "It is important to jointly analyze security problems in order to agree steps toward deescalating the situation in Europe and preventing incidents during military activities," 17/
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Two Russian paratroopers were killed while parachuting during the airborne exercise in Belarus. 18/
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The Belarusian MoD said that both paratroopers' parachutes failed because of a strong gust of wind and they didn't have time to deploy their reserves. 19/
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Video of today's joint Russian-Belarusian airborne exercise today at the Gozhsky training area in northwestern Belarus. 20/
The Russian MoD said the Russian paratroopers who took part in today's exercise are already headed back to Russia. 21/
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Another video of today's joint Russian-Belarusian airborne exercise today at the Gozhsky training area in northwestern Belarus. 22/
tvzvezda.ru/news/202111121…
Video showing the two Russian paratroopers colliding in the air, which caused their deaths. 23/
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Putin suggested the Tu-160 and Tu-22M3 bomber flights over Belarus were routine and not associated with the migrant crisis but Russia's 1st Deputy Permanent Representative to the UN said they were in response to NATO's buildup. 24/
life.ru/p/1449581
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Lukashenko said he needed several Iskander-M missile system battalions from Russia (he's not going to get them). 25/
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One of the two paratroopers killed during the airborne exercise in Belarus was Ruslan Smirnov, an officer from the spetsnaz company from one of the VDV’s divisions (presumably 76th). He previously served as a conscript with the 45th Spetsnaz Brigade. 26/
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The other Russian paratrooper from the 175th Reconnaissance Battalion of the 76th Air Assault Division killed during the airborne exercise in Belarus last week was Tomas-Valdas Petrauskas. He previously served in the 336th Naval Infantry Brigade. 27/
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The Belarusian MoD said they launched a joint air patrol with Russian and Belarusian Su-30SM fighters. I wonder if this is with the Su-30SM fighters Russia deployed to Belarus' Baranovichi airfield as part of the combat training center in September. 28/
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Video of those Russian Su-30SM fighters deployed to Belarus in September. If this patrol was conducted with these fighters, it is pretty clear they have an operational role in Belarus, and aren't just there for training. 29/
And they did have an operational role during the Zapad exercise. 30/
The Belarusian MoD also said they would increase the number of fighter patrols in response to the increased number of foreign aircraft flights near their border. 31/
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The Belarusian MoD said Russian and Belarusian Su-30SM fighters conducted another joint patrol in Belarus. 32/
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Video from today’s joint Belarusian-Russian aerial patrol over Belarus with Su-30SM fighters. 33/
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Lukashenko said he would ask Russia to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus if NATO deploys nuclear weapons in Poland. 34/
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Belarusian SOBR officers detained 11 people who made “offensive comments” about the death of the two Russian paratroopers during the joint airborne exercise in Belarus on November 12 on social media. 35/
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The Belarusian MoD said Russian and Belarusian fighters conducted another joint flight over Belarus. 36/
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Video of that joint air patrol over Belarus with Russian and Belarusian fighters. 37/
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The Belarusian MoD said Belarusian and Russian Su-30SM fighters conducted another joint patrol over Belarus. 38/
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The Russian MoD said two Tu-22M3 bombers conducted an aerial patrol over Belarus with an escort from Russian and Belarusian Su-30SM fighters. 39/

tass.com/defense/1377573
Video of the two Russian Tu-22M3 bombers conducting an aerial patrol over Belarus with an escort from Russian and Belarusian Su-30SM fighters. 40/
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The Belarusian MoD said Belarusian and Russian fighters conducted another joint patrol over Belarus. 41/
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Putin said Russia and Belarus will conduct more joint exercises in early 2022. 42/
tass.com/defense/1382377
Lavrov: "The updated Military Doctrine of the Union State...will undoubtedly be an important contribution to this. It takes full account of the significant changes in the politico-military situation in Eastern Europe in recent years." 43/
mid.ru/en/foreign_pol… Image
Russian and Belarusian Su-30SM fighters conducted another joint aerial patrol over Belarus yesterday. 44/
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Alexander Lukashenko approved the concept for a joint Russian-Belarusian training exercise to be held in February along Belarus' southern and Western borders, adding to the tension near Ukraine. 45/
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46/
I'm not sure if Russia would chose to invade from Belarus, but MLRS and artillery based in Belarus could strike targets along Ukraine's northern border, including outside Kyiv, with cheaper munitions. 47/
And Russia could also deploy electronic warfare systems closer to Kyiv by deploying them into Belarus. 48/
49/
At a minimum, a large deployment of Russian forces in Belarus means that Kyiv would have to divert forces to protect from that direction. With the threat of an amphibious landing, they also have to defend the southern coast. That means fewer forces to defend the N/NE border. 50/
51/

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More from @RALee85

Rob Lee Profile picture
Jan 19
“When North Korean troops first appeared on the battlefield last month, Ukrainian soldiers were stunned by how they moved in large groups and did not even attempt to hide from Ukrainian drones. Many were easily killed in those initial waves, but in ensuing battles, the new arrivals proved to be combat-ready, physically fit and skilled marksmen, the Ukrainians said…

But the North Koreans also fought fiercely and aggressively, demonstrating advanced war tactics…

Some North Korean troops, the documents said, repeatedly rushed to rescue their fellow wounded soldiers despite the risks of enemy attacks, causing further casualties.”
washingtonpost.com/world/2025/01/…
@siobhan_ogrady @serhiikorolchuk @EdR4mImage
"Used in infantry attacks and largely unsupported by armored vehicles or artillery, the North Koreans have appeared in videos shot from Ukrainian drones—cut down as they trek across barren fields. Ukrainian soldiers say they have been impressed by the North Koreans’ willingness to press forward even as their comrades perish alongside them...

North Korean troops have also chosen death over capture, Ukrainian soldiers say, carrying a grenade with which to blow themselves up or, in rare cases, a shiv with which to cut their arteries. One North Korean detained by Ukrainians was taken alive before but, heavily wounded, he died during transportation, according to Ukrainian officials.

'Their motivation is at a high level,' said Green. 'Their physical training is at a high level, and their readiness to die is the same.'"
@JaneLytv @DaslYoon
wsj.com/world/inside-a…Image
"The North Korean soldiers fighting for Moscow in Russia’s Kursk region are assigned their own patches of land to assault. Unlike their Russian counterparts, they advance with almost no armored vehicles in support.

When they attack, they do not pause to regroup or retreat, as the Russians often do when they start taking heavy losses, Ukrainian soldiers and American officials say. Instead, they move under heavy fire across fields strewed with mines and will send in a wave of 40 or more troops.

If they seize a position, they do not try to secure it. They leave that to Russian reinforcements, while they drop back and prepare for another assault...

[North Korean] Reinforcements are expected 'within the next two months,' according to one senior U.S. defense official...

The North Korean forces deployed to Ukraine included around 500 officers and at least three generals, according to Ukrainian military intelligence.

The generals are posted at Russian command and control headquarters, U.S. defense officials said, and that is where the objectives are decided.

The commanders decide when they need artillery and how long to wait before ground forces maneuver, a senior U.S. defense official said. They synchronize with the troops in the field, so that the troops are not talking to their Russian counterparts, to try to reduce miscommunication.

Ukrainian soldiers fighting in Kursk said the North Korean tactics were costly but effective.

'The Koreans are starting to push the front lines, targeting less defended areas and wearing out our troops that way,' said Oleksii, the platoon commander...

Ukrainian soldiers said the North Koreans should not be underestimated.

'They are being tested, really tested,' said Andrii, the drone commander. They did not have combat experience, he said, but 'now they are here, gaining it, and they are becoming very strong.'”
@MarcSantoraNYT @helenecooper
nytimes.com/2025/01/22/wor…Image
Read 6 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Jan 14
Ukrainian Air Force technicians who service MiG-29 fighters say that they are being transferred to serve as infantry.
t.me/soniah_hub/8703 x.com/censor_net/sta…Image
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2/
150 aviation technicians were sent to the 152nd Jaeger Brigade in October-November and were ultimately attached to a different brigade. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Jan 5
A number of Russian channels say that Ukraine has began an offensive operation from near Sudzha towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye in Kursk oblast with armored vehicles. They say Ukrainian EW has been effective against their UAVs and that Ukrainian units cleared mines overnight.
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Some Russian channels have been warning recently of a Ukrainian build up near Kursk and a potential offensive. Romanov warned that Ukraine would strike before January 7th. 2/
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One channel says Ukrainian forces are attacking in the direction of Leonidovo, Pushkarnoe, and Bolshoye Soldatskoye, and using IMR engineering vehicles to clear mines. 3/
t.me/rusich_army/19…Image
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Read 20 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Sep 21, 2024
Russian channels say that Ukrainian UAVs targeted the ammunition depot in Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Krai.




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t.me/astrapress/647…
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Video of an explosion. 2/
t.me/astrapress/647…
3/
Read 4 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Sep 10, 2024
Video of an armored column with at least 8 tanks and armored vehicles from the Russian VDV's 51st Airborne Regiment assaulting Snagost in Kursk oblast. It appears Russia was able to get the armored force across the Seym River, despite Ukrainian strikes on the bridges. @Deepstate_UA says the situation has worsened on Ukraine's left flank in Kursk oblast.


t.me/infomil_live/9…
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t.me/DeepStateUA/20…
More likely that the advance was from Korenevo.
3/
 t.me/DeepStateUA/20…
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Read 10 tweets
Rob Lee Profile picture
Sep 6, 2024
"Iran has sent short-range ballistic missiles to Russia, a move that will give Moscow another potent military tool to use in the war against Ukraine and follows stern Western warnings not to provide those arms to Moscow, according to U.S. and European officials." @wstrobel @mgordonwsj @laurnorman
wsj.com/world/u-s-tell…Image
"A U.S. official confirmed the missiles 'have finally been delivered'...

The shipment involves a couple of hundred short-range ballistic missiles, according to Western officials. Iran has a variety of such weapons, with a range stretching up to around 500 miles.

'This is not the end,' a senior European official said, noting that Iran is expected to keep weapons flowing into Russia"
.@AlbertoNardelli and @nat_droz also report that Iran has sent ballistic missiles to Russia.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Image
Read 8 tweets

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