Here is my view of where we came from and where we are.

From right after Trump’s victory in 2016 the American public was inundated with “reporting” about Trump’s potential collusion with Russia. 1/13
Many Trump supporters immediately rejected the notion based on our views of Trump and our understanding of how he played the game of politics, ongoingly baiting the other side into growing levels of insane analysis of him and his motives. 2/13
However, they had the supposed evidence and at that point we had effectively seen none of it.

From that point on, as every drip of information came out, this corner of Twitter grabbed onto it like dogs on a bone. Chewing through it and seeking to interpret how it fit. 3/13
This was often a combination of researching details and fitting each piece into the larger mosaic.

Early on we relied on the work of Devin Nunez and Kash Patel because effectively every news organization, often even Fox and folks like McCarthy, were spewing COLLUSION! 4/13
The behavior of “news” organizations like Fox even forced us to become our own daily analysts of current events like the firing of James Comey.

All of that then led to the period of the Mueller special counsel. 5/13
During that time we had factions both analyzing the details of the collusion claims and of the Spygate discoveries as well as speculating about Mueller’s motivations and the likely outcomes of the special counsel. 6/13
Mueller then wrapped and concluded there was no evidence of collusion, as we all knew.

That then flowed into the Durham appointment which allowed us to really lean into the Spygate details.
7/13
Some in this corner have such a mastery of the details that it blows my mind. I’m much more of a big picture guy.

Where we often butt heads is out of an abundance of details where there are just enough missing details to allow for distinct analytical conclusions. 8/13
This brings us to the here and now.

My view of where we are is that we effectively know everything that could be known based on publicly available information. Our services are much less necessary at this point.

The events we are analyzing have concluded. 9/13
This corner was a bridge but we are now on the far shore.

The person driving this bus at this point is Durham. He will let us know what there is to know in his time.

What is left is analysis (speculation) of where Durham is headed and how he will get us there. 10/13
As @walkafyre is noting, there are many possible outcomes. Different people in this corner have different interpretations of what is known and, as a result, different conclusions.

Arguing about those differences is natural but in the end make little difference. 11/13
Durham will proceed and eventually wrap up and at that point he will write a report. Only then will we truly know who was “right” or “wrong”.

That time is drawing near. Will it be one month, six months, one year or longer? 🤷‍♂️ 12/13
Even then there will be differing conclusions about what Durham should have done or could have done. We will likely disagree with some of his conclusions.

But as I said, at this point he has so much more information than we do that we are at a distinct disadvantage. 13/13

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More from @sethjlevy

9 Nov
McCarthy likely saved 6-10 seats by allowing those members to vote for the BIF. He didn’t fascilitate the passing of the bill because I just don’t believe that in the scenario where literally no Republicans voted for the bill, that the squad, who cast “principled” no votes… 1/5
“because BBB wasn’t being voted the same day”, would have in the 0 Rs scenario not have just voted for the bill.

Once it was clear to McCarthy that the bill was going to pass, the question became what was the best way to play THAT hand. 2/5
Those arguing that McCarthy is weak because he let his members “help Pelosi pass the bill” just misunderstand how the process worked. Each of the factions were leveraging to get the most value out of a vote that was inevitable. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
5 Sep
I hadn’t said this before but I have also been dealing with a Covid infection.

Just confirmed by test that I took on Friday.

I have mild symptoms that increased a bit yesterday.

I started taking Ivermectin.

Feverish but nothing high. The headaches suck. Body aches.
A five hour headache is no fun at all.

Seems I’m starting to finally break it.
Right now I have no headache. May not last but I’ll take it.
Read 7 tweets
7 Aug
Tennessee life!
They even have a mechanical bull!
It’s almost time for the fireworks!
Read 4 tweets
3 Aug
This is absolute unambiguous nuttery.

It is so sad that there are people on the right that see reality through this lense making things that are so much less important the master of things that are critically important.

Politics will not solve cultural shift.
Moreover it may trigger your idea of freedom or constitutional rights but states outlawing vaccine mandates is both legally dubious and bad policy.

State governments shouldn’t get between employers and their attempts to keep their employees safe.
If they start here, where else does government take this power from private businesses? Who compensates injured employees?

States have neither the funds nor expertise to decide what health requirements businesses use to keep their employees safe.
Read 6 tweets
27 Jul
🧵From the desk of 45 on crazy Nancy Pelosi:

Nancy Pelosi is spending a great deal of time, effort, and money on the formulation of a Fake and highly partisan January 6 Committee to ask, “what happened?”
Will Nancy investigate herself and those on Capitol Hill who didn’t want additional protection, including more police and National Guard, therefore being unprepared despite the large crowd of people that everyone knew was coming?
Will Nancy and her Committee study the massive Voter Fraud that took place during the 2020 Presidential Election, particularly in swing states, that was the reason hundreds of thousands of people came pouring into Washington and, therefore, must be a big factor…
Read 8 tweets
24 Jul
I’ll simply say this.

If McConnell wanted to defeat Herschel, he likely would’ve waited longer.

This feels more like an attempt, possibly by team Trump, to inoculate Herschel early against this information.
See in the lead up to considering running Herschel would have reviewed all potential damaging information available or accessible in the public realm.

He knew this could come out.

So then you have a choice. Try to avoid it or confront it early.
If you decide to confront it early then the question is how do you push out this information and what framing is it given.

As a result of this coming out via @AP, team Herschel can make this about McConnell attempting to interfere in Georgia.
Read 4 tweets

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