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Manu Raju

@mkraju

18 Nov

Lots of movement in the House. Rules Committee meets at 5:30pm to take up revised rule governing floor debate of Build Back Better bill. CBO finalizes scoring of each section of bill. Overall scoring not released, but moderates had demanded "fiscal information" before voting YES

Some discrepancies will have to be worked out. The judiciary provisions (including immigration) cost $115 billion, per CBO, but the budget resolution allows $107 to be spent. Those could fall by the wayside as well if they don't meet muster with the Senate parliamentarian

The so-called "privilege scrub" is also completed. So that means if the Democratic moderates are satisfied, vote will be tonight and bill likely pass the House. (Senate is a different story)

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Manu Raju

@mkraju

17 Nov

Several House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump signal they are NO votes on Gosar resolution. Tom Rice of SC told me he’s a NO. “The video was idiotic and immature and childish and stupid, but I don’t think it was a threat. I think it was in very poor taste.”

Rep. Fred Upton said the resolution goes a “stretch too far” by removing Gosar from committees. He said he would have been more comfortable if it were just a censure resolution.

Rep. Dan Newhouse said he was leaning against backing the measure. He said that a majority party removing minority members from their committees goes “down a dangerous path.” Rep. Katko told me Gosar resolution is “too broad” and Dems should be worried about the precedent it set

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Manu Raju

@mkraju

9 Nov

Big blow for GOP in hopes to take back Senate. After heavy lobbying campaign, Gov. Chris Sununu declines to challenge Maggie Hassan in #nhsen.

“I’d d rather push myself 120 miles an hour delivering wins for New Hampshire than to slow down, end up on Capitol Hill debating partisan politics without results. That’s why I am going to run for a fourth term,” he said

Sununu says he’s spoken with many GOP senators about a possible run — and George W. Bush as well. Says the more he heard about being a senator, the less he wanted to do it

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Manu Raju

@mkraju

4 Nov

Henry Cuellar, a Blue Dog, told us there are enough moderates who would tank the procedural vote for the $1.75 trillion bill tonight, saying the rule "is not going to pass" if it comes up.

"As of right now, there are enough votes in my opinion to vote no on the rule.”

He said there are outstanding issues to resolve first. But Cuellar said there has been a lack of trust caused by broken promises of Democratic leaders.

"They told us they were not going to move this til they were not going to have 50 votes in the Senate. They also told us they were going to vote on BIF until Sept. 27. And here are they are," he said, referring the shorthand of the bipartisan infrastructure framework.”

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Manu Raju

@mkraju

1 Nov

New - Manchin just told me he’ll make a statement on where he sees things headed with agenda. He has not yet said whether he supports $1.75T plan.

“I think I will clear up a lot of things sometime today,” he told me: “I think there needs to be clarity on where everybody stands.”

I asked him how he views the expansion of Medicare to include hearing benefits given he has opposed an expansion of the entitlement program.

“The same thing you’re asking, other things, we’re working on that now,” he said.

He later said: “I’m gonna put clarity to it.”

Manchin has expressed concerns on the Medicare expansion — even just limiting to dental, per source. Asked about that today, he told me: “The same thing you’re asking, other things, we’re working on that now.” cnn.com/2021/11/01/pol…

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Manu Raju

@mkraju

29 Oct

Biden today didn’t explicitly say that the infrastructure vote should have happened today. Some Dems are faulting him for that. Dean Phillips told us: "I'm not afraid to say I wish he was more explicit.”

Phillips added: “This is the commander in chief of the United States. When you spend political equity in front of a caucus two times in a month, I think it's got to be awfully explicit -- and be more forthright."

"If the president had led us down that hallway onto and on the House floor, I think it would have been close. .... I think with Republican votes, it would have passed,” Phillips added.

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