Thread by @vtabing

With Bong Go running for pres on Du30’s backing, BBM can’t repeat his 14.1M in 2016.
Du30’s 16.6M can be broken down into:
Du30-Peter (5.9M)
Du30-Leni (2M)
Du30-BBM (8.7M)
This 8.7M will now be split between BBM & BG.
While @lenirobredo ‘s 14.4M is intact.💖✊🏻

If I were to distribute the 2016 pres. votes to the cuurent bets:
Du30 16.6M (BG-8M, Pac-2.6M, BBM-4M, Leni-2M)
Mar 9.9M (Most to Leni-9M)
Poe 9.1M (Most to Leni-5M, Isko/Ping-4.1M)
Binay 5.4M (BBM-2M, Leni-1M, Isko/Ping/Pac-2.4M)
MDS 1.4M (Leni-1M, 0.4M others)
Leni Total: 18M

In 2016, the total pres. votes cast was 42.4M out of 59M registered voters. Today, with 4M 1st time voters, it’s now 63M. Assume 80% turnout, that’s 50.4M. Assume the addtl 8M voters will be evenly split 1.5M each, @lenirobredo can hit 20M votes and win.💖✊🏻

Here’s my fearless forecast for 2022 with 50.4M voter turnout:
1. Leni - 18.5M
2. BG - 9.5M
3. BBM - 7.5M
4. Isko - 5M
5. Pac - 4.5M
6. Ping - 4.4M
7. Leody - 1M
Even if we apply +-20% margin of error, @lenirobredo will still emerge on top.
Mahirap dayain pag LANDSLIDE!💖✊🏻