I wanted to clarify where we're at with global heating. You may see 1.1°C sometimes, and 1.2°C other times. 1.1°C is for the 2011-2020 (decadal) mean, and 1.2°C is about where we are right now.
Every 5 years this goes up about another 0.1°C.
Humanity emits more than 1,000 metric tons of CO2 each second, or over 40 billion tons per year, mainly from burning fossil fuels. The richest 1% emit more than twice what the bottom 50% of humans emit.
(part of why we can't keep supporting this ultra-rich ruling class anymore)
The IPCC estimates there are about 200 billion tons left to emit and still have a two-thirds chance to stay below 1.5°C. So that's 5 years from now. Just like the Bowie song. That's why this year is so incredibly important.
This is part of why it's such a disastrous mistake not to excoriate COP26 as the deep failure that it was. (Did you know that the biggest delegation present was the fossil fuel industry? Holy fuck. You can't make it up.) latimes.com/opinion/story/…
Heating over land is about 2x the global mean heating. So roughly, on average land areas have heated by about 2.4°C or 4.3°F. There's
The global heating estimates are gauged against an estimate of the 1850-1900 global mean. Their uncertainty is roughly ±0.1°C.
Be careful, some anomaly estimates use a different baseline other than 1850-1900, which of course changes the numbers (but not the actual heating!)
Almost all this global heating comes from extracting and burning fossil fuels. About 15% comes from animal agriculture (and some of that is burning fossil fuels). Some comes from deforestation (which is also exacerbated by animal ag, as well as increasing wildfires)
This is why any climate plans / discussions that do not CENTER rapidly ending the fossil fuel industry are, quite simply, bullshit.
Which is incidentally also why you do NOT invite the fossil fuel industry to your United Nations climate negotiations 🙄
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All ads from fossil fuel corporations should now be illegal. Period.
Fossil fuel ads routinely misinform to promote neocide and the destruction of our planet for profit. The fact that they are not yet illegal, even as climate breaks down all around us, is evidence of how the industry has captured our legislative process and our media.
This was a staged event, by and for the fossil fuel industry - which was the biggest and most powerful delegation present
The fossil fuel barons are certainly laughing at how easily - and cheaply - they captured our politicians, our media, and our academia. Little do they know that ultimately they are just as fucked as anyone. Fools. Absolute fools.
Oil spills are bad but the true devastation is when everything works as designed, the oil is burned, the planet heats up, and irreversible climate and ecological breakdown moves up another ratchet.
Immediacy bias in risk assessment. Helps explain climate inaction.
I think it is the same mechanism that allows people to feel burning fossil fuel is still OK, e.g. plane flights. They don't see the devastation - there are no oil-covered birds, the damage is indirect, the linkages are abstract - so they do not think of it or are bothered by it.
Normalize calling it neocide - “the deliberate killing of young people and future generations”
The climate and ecological emergency is so obvious now, to everyone, and the projected impacts are so severe (and this is also well known), that this sustained lying and inaction from corporate and government leaders is a form of neocide theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Genocide is "the deliberate killing of a large number of people from a particular nation or ethnic group." Climate and ecological breakdown is directed toward young people and future generations. I personally feel this is distinct and that a more precise word might be helpful.
Here's my article about the coming epidemic of deadly climate depression among the world's youth, and why getting past #blahblahblah is the only way out. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
The Greek word neo means “young, new”. We can thus coin a word, neocide, meaning “the deliberate killing of young people and future generations”.
It is psychologically devastating to feel climate and ecological catastrophe closing in every day while watching those in power not only failing to act, but actively making things worse by expanding the fossil fuel industry.
I strongly suspect world leaders are busy at COP26 embracing the absolute techno-bullshit that is CCS when they should be making detailed plans on how to end the fossil fuel industry within ten years. This would be disastrous. Here are my thoughts theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
A few more thoughts on how inadequate and impossible CCS will be to scale up in time to make any difference at all
I am not generally hopeless, but so long as world leaders chase CCS vaporware instead of the real work of ramping down the fossil fuel industry, there is essentially no hope. This is the key thing. We will know we're on the path to safety only when they stop chasing distractions