Just off the phone with a Conservative caucus member who's hopping mad about Denise Batters getting the boot.
"For Erin, this is the beginning of the end," this Conservative told me. "It's a position of weakness. A real leader would say, 'Let's have a vote,' and trigger a caucus vote to see just how much support he really has."
This person says the more O'Toole tries to "suppress" dissent, the bigger anti-O'Toole movement will be — comparing O'Toole to Wojciech Jaruzelski, Soviet puppet leader in 1980s Poland who imposed martial law to silence opposition only to be toppled by invigorated anticommunists.
"He's set up the Conservative fund, he's set up the OLO, the party executive, he's got the shadow cabinet and his house executive, he's set up all that to protect himself. But one thing he can't protect himself from is the grassroots," this Conservative said.
"This will only make it grow," this Conservative said of the anti-O'Toole movement after Batters was turfed. There's already 2,700+ signatures on the Batters petition.
This CPC caucus member doesn't like the Reform Act being weaponized by O'Toole loyalists, who are threatening to assemble MPs to vote anyone out of caucus who backs Batters. "The Reform Act was meant to be an empowerment tool for caucus not as an empowerment tool for the leader."
"I hear from people who are pissed off," the Conservative said. "They're pissed off because they don't like Erin for whatever reason because he screwed over the socons, the gun lobby. Obviously it was a surprise to us to see a carbon tax — after we fought against a carbon tax."
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Just off the phone with a Conservative caucus member who spoke very frankly about Monday's election.
They're not happy with O'Toole. Biggest issue? Campaigning as a "true blue" in the leadership and then abandoning many promises in the general. Carbon tax. Guns. Fiscal prudence.
"He campaigned as a Liberal. He wasn't even Liberal lite — he campaigned as a Liberal in this campaign with no input from caucus or the party or anybody else," the caucus member said.
The caucus member also said they and others were caught off guard by what was actually in the party's platform.
"I didn't even know what we were running on until I saw him on TV," the Tory said of O'Toole's platform launch on day two of the campaign.
The CBC Decision Desk has not made projections in 15 ridings.
They will likely need to wait until all the ballots are counted in some of them.
Trois-Rivières
Sault Ste. Marie
Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley
Edmonton Centre
Brome-Missisquoi
Kitchener-Conestoga
Vancouver Granville
Davenport
Fredericton
Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame
Hamilton Mountain
Richmond Centre
Nanaimo-Ladysmith
Parkdale-High Park
Spadina-Fort York
Poll workers are still counting special ballots. "We expect the vast majority of those counts will be completed by tomorrow," an Elections Canada spokesperson says. "That will give a better picture of overall turnout."
With the proviso that there are still votes to count, the Conservatives are on track to perform **worse** in the GTA than they did in 2019. #cdnpoli
Despite the CPC shift toward the centre, Conservative incumbents lost in Markham-Unionville and Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill. The Liberal margins were also much larger in many area ridings.
Only one of the area's many seats, Thornhill, elected a Conservative MP. However, with votes still left to be counted, Liberal cabinet minister Deb Schulte is also in a tough fight in her riding of King-Vaughan
And so it begins! The polls have closed in Newfoundland and Labrador. I'll be writing a rolling story tonight on the results as they come in from across the country. Follow along — cbc.ca/1.6182364#cdnpoli
Early results from Nfld. and Labrador and the Maritimes could signal how Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and his team will fare elsewhere tonight.
With fewer than 10,000 ballots counted so far, the Liberals have 48 per cent of ballots cast and the CPC have about 40 per cent.
With fewer than 45,000 ballots counted so far, the Liberals have 45 per cent of the ballots cast, the Conservatives have about 38 per cent and the NDP has nearly 14 per cent.
The Greens have fewer than one per cent while the PPC has about three per cent.
"What we're saying — and what we've been saying all along — is that mRNA vaccines are the preferred vaccines," says Dr. Shelley Deeks, the vice-chair of NACI.
Deeks says there's a shift in recommendations. NACI now estimates the frequency of the vaccine-induced rare blood clots (VITT) is closer to 1 in 100,000. People who can work from home - or those in areas with lower rates of transmission - may just want to wait for an mRNA shot.
NACI says AstraZeneca and J&J shots should be used by people who don't want to wait for Pfizer and Moderna or those who can't really afford to wait (essential workers).