Thread by @SALSIKandar

Few words for #PPP’s campaign to focus on during prep for #NA133 byelection -

Total registered voters are around 370,000+ with women making up to 170,000 voters.

PPP's constituency represents, at worst, around 20% of underprivileged class living in NA133. (1/n)

That equates to around 74,000 votes. And PPP should be able to get extra 5 % of women votes that equates to 8,000 extra votes.

Therefore, if PPP works to bring it's vote bank to the polling station then PPP should be able to achieve around 82,000 votes in NA133. (2/n)

A lower 20% turnover would me around 15,000 votes.

Given PTI's disqualification; PPP representing an alternative to PMLN, this all should bring another 10/15,000 votes to PPP
A good campaign should take PPP over 100,000 votes or a representative figure based on the turnout(3/n)

PPP is doing great by putting women incharge of door to door campaign at the heart of the constituency that has a strong perception of either center-right (PMLN) or Far right (TLP). (4/n)

So far, PPP is the only party winning in NA133 -

Reasons and suggestions to improve campaign further.

1 - PPP has put women incharge / in lead of door to door campaign which in itself is an achievement.
(5/n)

2 - PMLN putting a representative from the rich class again works for the PPP as being the only party near to the underprivileged, given inflation & unemployment being the biggest concern of the electorate.
(6/n)

3 - PPP should engage local TikTok/social media stars to send their message to the young swing population (especially for the swing voters)
4. PPP should engage local stage show actors to arrange couple of shows (again, to address swing voters)
(7/n)

5. So far, all indications are heading towards a massive surprise for everyone.

And, more importantly, a surprise also helps the current hybrid setup.

#JeayAwam #JeayBhutto #JeayBenazir #JeayBlawal #JeayPPP
#PunjabisRedBlackGreen #NA133 #Punjab #PPP
(n/n)