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20 Nov, 9 tweets, 4 min read
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More from @_johnbye

John Bye Profile picture
28 Oct
A number of politicians, including the CRG and senior backbenchers like @SirGrahamBrady, have been working with anti-vax group HART.

One member of the House of Lords even joined the group, and offered them media training to help them get their message across!
At the beginning, HART's strategy (set by founder Narice Bernard and political fixer Bernie de Haldevang) was to work as a "scientific partner" to the Conservative backbench 1922 Committee and Covid Recovery Group, providing them with evidence to use to sway government policy.
Andrew Rosindell (Con, Romford) provided an early opening in mid January, before HART officially launched.

Bernie claimed to be "quite pally" with Rosindell, who was "completely on side".

He then uses Rosindell as a gateway to Liam Fox and the CRG's Mark Harper and Steve Baker.
Read 23 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
28 Oct
The @ukmfa1 are spreading anti-vax disinformation from America's Frontline Doctors, the far right group whose co-founder was arrested for taking part in the US Capitol riots.

Unsurprisingly the AFD article is wrong, and partly based on an old, widely misinterpreted study.
The story repeats ridiculous claims that 82% of vaccinated pregnant women had miscarriages.

As explained before, that's because the study only counted pregnancies that had ended, and most of the women were still pregnant when the data was compiled.

The article also cites a study claiming fertility rates are lower in countries with high vaccination rates.

Hardly surprising when those are mostly wealthy, western countries with lower birth rates to start with.

When they correct for this, they end up with an almost flat line.
Read 6 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
15 Oct
An issue at Immensa's lab in Wolverhampton gave false negative test results to an estimated 43,000 people over a period of more than a month!

This will explain many of the recent issues with people getting positive lateral flow tests followed by false negative PCR results.
The private lab is one of many that the government paid to process PCR tests for them.

There have to be serious questions now about what oversight @UKHSA has over these labs, given the error is reported to have started in early September but was only identified this week! 😳
More here from the BBC. Although the problem mostly affected people in the South West, "some may also be in the south east of England and in Wales".

bbc.co.uk/news/health-54…
Read 6 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
14 Oct
Looks like we may have solved the mystery of people getting negative PCR test results after (multiple, strong) LFT positives. As suspected, there was an issue at a lab that resulted in false negatives.

h/t @fascinatorfun
In which case, it's pretty clear this advice on the BBC a few days ago was horribly wrong. 😬

One question that needs answering is why it took so long to spot the issue. Positivity rates in some local authorities in the South West went haywire over a month ago, and there have been widespread anecdotal reports of unexpected negative test results.

Read 6 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
10 Oct
Data from Scotland shows that non-covid excess deaths at home aren't excess at all, but displaced from hospitals and care homes.

Covid cranks have spent the last year claiming these are lockdown or "denial of healthcare" deaths. They're not.

theguardian.com/theobserver/co…
This confirms my own analysis of ONS and PHE data for England earlier this year.

The increase in deaths at home mirrors lower than normal deaths in hospital from non-covid causes.

By choice or necessity, people were dying at home instead of in hospital.

Even HART's @RealJoelSmalley came to the same conclusion. Possibly the only time he's been right about something during the entire pandemic.

So why are Joel and his HART friends still publicly claiming they're "lockdown deaths", when privately they know it's not true? 🤔 ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
9 Oct
Don't think @NakedScientists on @BBCBreakfast today were right to tell someone with 3 (!) +ve LFTs and 1 -ve PCR that they should consider themselves covid free.

Even if PCR is the "gold standard", getting 1 false -ve PCR result is FAR more likely than 3 false +ve LFTs in a row!
The fact is, there have been several similar anecdotal reports recently. We don't know if it's coincidence, an issue with the LFTs, or an issue with PCR testing.

Until we do, the precautionary principle would suggest treat yourself as positive, especially if you have symptoms.
There's a good explanation of the maths behind this here:

Read 4 tweets

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