4. Barry Eichengreen's The Populist Temptation <github.com/braddelong/pub…> is—is going to be—very harsh in its judgments on modern political movements called "populist". Does he have a more positive take on the Populist movements back before 1950? Why do you think he...
[4. cont.]... winds up taking the attitudes toward these movements that he does?...
5. Lewis: Evolution of the International Economic Order <github.com/braddelong/pub…>: How would we go about finding out whether Arthur Lewis is right in his belief that over 1870-1914 the world was divided into rich and poor countries by the workings of the global market and...
[5. cont.]... by migration, rather than by the more direct consequences of imperialist rule?
6. Why Wasn’t Keynes Convincing?: From DeLong's standpoint, at least, John Maynard Keynes's arguments for being clever at economic management and not simply trying to claw back to pre-WWI structures are irrefutable; so why weren't they convincing to powerholders?...
7. Consequences of the Great Depression: How was the political-economic landscape of the global north different as a result of the Great Depression and uneven recovery than it had been before 1929? Before 1914?...
8. Thirty Glorious Years: Lots of hypotheses have been thrown out for why the Post-WWII "glorious years" in the global north were so peaceful, harmonious, and prosperous. What pieces of evidence should we go look for to try to judge between these hypotheses?...
9. Conflict Between Systems: Back in 1990 or so, at the end of the Cold War, Frank Fukuyama wrote <github.com/braddelong/pub…>: “In the past century, there have been two major challenges to liberalism, those of fascism and of communism.... Fascism was destroyed as a living...
[9. Fukuyama cont.] ... ideology by World War II. This was a defeat, of course, on a very material level, but it amounted to a defeat of the idea as well. What destroyed fascism as an idea was not universal moral revulsion against it, since plenty of people were willing to...
[9. Fukuyama, cont.] ... endorse the idea as long as it seemed the wave of the future, but its lack of success. After the war, it seemed to most people that German fascism as well as its other European and Asian variants were bound to self-destruct. There was no material...
[9. Fukuyama, cont.] ...reason why new fascist movements could not have sprung up again after the war in other locales, but fo the fact that expansionist ultranationalism, with its promise of unending conflict leading to disastrous military defeat, had completely lost its...
[9. Fukuyama, cont.] ...appeal. The ruins of the Reich chancellery as well as the atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki killed this ideology on the level of consciousness as well as materially, and all of the pro-fascist movements spawned by the German and...
[9. Fukuyama, cont.] ...Japanese examples like the Peronist movement in Argentina or Subhas Chandra Bose's Indian National Army withered after the war…”

How does this position need to be revised in light of all the history that has flowed under the bridge since 1990?
10. Moral Burdens for Economic Development: What responsibility does the history of the development of underdevelopment impose upon the rich of the global north with respect to attempting to eliminate dire poverty and accelerate uneven and halting development in the global south?
11. Decline of Hierarchy: For much of human history, putting up barriers that keep opportunity and status in the hands of a small group has been much more the rule than the exception. Why is it that in the 20th century there has been a broad movement for "inclusion"?...
[11. Decline of Hierarchy, cont.] ... What is different about the long 20th century that drives this very different sociological current than we ever saw before in the human past? Or are the sociological currents different—is hierarchy based on ethnicity, class, gender...
[11. Decline of Hierarchy, cont.] ...etc. truly on the decline?
12. Neoliberalism: DeLong distinguishes between three different flavors of "neoliberalism". Are these three really different—that is, is a useful purpose served by splitting them apart, conceptually?...
13. Hyperglobalization: In what ways, if any, was the hyperglobalized world that emerged after 1995 qualitatively different from the globalized world that had emerged after 1950, or the earlier first wave globalized world that had emerged after 1870?...
14. Hyperglobalization & Neoliberalism: Are hyperglobalization and neoliberalism linked closely? Or are they two nearly independent and separate things that simply happened to happen at the same time?
15. The Great Recession: How was it that a mere $500 billion of bad mortgage debt in the United States was able, in 2007 and 2008, to cause a $20 trillion loss of value on global financial markets? Why did not global north governments do the obvious thing in 2008-2012...
[15. The Great Recession, cont.] ...—print money and buy things to get back to full employment? /END

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More from @delong

19 Nov


@N2PE_Network

**The End of Yesterday's Gillian Tett "Anthro-Vision" Event:

Brad DeLong: May I grab the moderators’s privilege to ask the last question, apropos of the return of barter?

Partha Dasgupta writes that we started out doing the... 1/
@N2PE_Network [DeLong cont.] ... division-of-labor thing with our kin and our immediate neighbors, with the division-of-labor made possible via our thick, ongoing long-time extended gift exchange relationships with those that we had good sociological reason to trust. Then we invented... 2/
[DeLong cont.] ...money. Money was liquid trust. You no longer had to know someone very well to have them be part of your division -of-labor. All 8 billion of us could be part of our division-of-labor through the non-extended one-shot gift-exchange relationships that we... 3/
Read 17 tweets
18 Nov
Why Gillian Tett's Anthropological Take on the World Is Very Useful, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/why-gillian-…

N2PE: 'Gillian Tett (@gilliantett) Discusses Her New Book “Anthro-Vision: A New Way to See in Business & Life”. Amid severe digital disruption, economic upheaval, and... 1/
@gilliantett ...political flux, how can we make sense of the world? Leaders today typically look for answers in economic models, Big Data, or artificial intelligence platforms. Gillian Tett will discuss her new book that points to anthropology—the study of human culture. gossip... 2/
...what one of us knows—or rather believes—pretty soon all of us know—or, rather can believe. Alone, each of us is nearly totally incompetent at managing our environment: put one of us out naked and alone even in as green and pleasant a land is the home counties of... 3/
Read 11 tweets
17 Nov
braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexa…

Key Insights: Matt Suandi—forced off of his India RCT development-economics project by the COVID plague—has taken the plague year to write a brilliant paper: Matthew Suandi: Promoting to Opportunity: Evidence and Implications from the U.S.... 1/
...Submarine Service <static1.squarespace.com/static/615a18f…>

In the early stages of the Pacific War, whether a US submarine-launched torpedo exploded was a matter of luck.

If a submarine captain had an enlisted man marked out for promotion, those promotions happened much more often... 2/
...if the submarine returned from its cruise having succeeded in sinking ships.

Those promoted because they happened to be on lucky submarines with torpedoes that exploded lived 2.4 years longer than their counterparts who happened to be on unlucky submarines and... 3/
Read 14 tweets
4 Nov
BRIEFLY NOTED: FOR 2021-11-03 We, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

First: Jason Zweig soft peddles the idiocy of Kevin Hassett and James Glassman on the 18 years-late Dow 36000 day. Buy-and-hold is a good investment strategy for the U.S. stock market. The strategy... 1/
... Hassett and Glassman were pushing—borrow money, leverage up, and go highly long stocks near the peak of a valuation-ratio bubble—led to bankruptcy in 2000 for anyone who acted on the recommendations of Dow 36000. Jason here is much kinder than I would have been... 2/
...:

Jason Zweig: Dow Crosses 36000—Making a Book’s Prediction Just Two Decades Late <wsj.com/articles/dow-j…>...

What is Kevin Hassett saying today, on Dow 36,000 day? In my inbox:

In a wide-ranging interview with _Washington Post Live_ today, author Kevin Hassett... 3/
Read 14 tweets
1 Nov
BRIEFLY NOTED: For 2021-11-01 Mo, by @delong braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

I see the late David Graeber is in the news today. I do not trust anything he ever wrote. Let me tell you why. Let me pick a chapter at random from Graeber’s Debt: The First 5,000 Years… I land on... 1/
...chapter 12… I start reading… I come to the third page <ttps://archive.org/details/DebtTheFirst5000Years/page/362/mode/2up> and find:

"I would hear occasional rumors of secret gold vaults underneath the Twin Towers in Manhattan.... After the Towers were destroyed… 2/
[Graeber, cont.:] ...one of the first questions many New Yorkers asked was: What happened to the money?... Some spoke of legions of emergency workers secretly summoned… desperately carting off tons of bullion…. One particularly colorful conspiracy theory suggested that... 3/
Read 15 tweets
1 Nov
I see the late David Graeber is in the news today.

I do not trust anything he ever wrote. Let me tell you why.

Let me pick a chapter at random from Graeber’s Debt: The First 5,000 Years… I land on chapter 12… I start reading… I come to the third... 1/
...page <archive.org/details/DebtTh…> and find:

"I would hear occasional rumors of secret gold vaults underneath the Twin Towers in Manhattan.... After the Towers were destroyed… one of the first questions many New Yorkers asked was: What happened to the money?... Some... 2/
[Graeber cont.]: "...spoke of legions of emergency workers secretly summoned… desperately carting off tons of bullion…. One particularly colorful conspiracy theory suggested that the entire attack was really staged by speculators…. The truly remarkable thing… is... 3/
Read 19 tweets

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