Looking for certainty of outcome is the seed source of all #InsiderTrading.

When i see analysts or fund managers know everything about a company having all the answers, my first reaction is "WoW, investors just became insiders!".
But, there is another way far more enjoyable. 1/n
Uncertainty can be a bigger source of gr8r success. Not knowing everything or having a hotline with promoters or insiders can actually be good for investing.

For starters, you always believe something can go wrong. Insiders don't. So you are better prepared for BIG shocks. 2/n
Confidence in an idea is very important. Most often, the only reason it turns into overconfidence is because of excessive familiarity with insiders. Keeping confidence in check is the biggest challenge in #InsiderTrading.

When I sold to #insiders & was proved right, i knew why.
Story telling, the cancer of professional investing, is also the surrogate child of #InsiderTrading. Story tellers are simply the hired wombs. They do it purely for gain. If you see altruism in storytelling, you clearly don't get it. Stories carry the seeds of #insiders. 4/n
The #InsiderTrading problem actually starts when professionals want do make life easier. They don't want to fail. So, they seek tacit help of #insiders. Clearly, the other side too is in it for easy gains. They work together knowing fully well, oneday, one outsmart the other.5/n
Being away from the noise, has worked very well for quite a few investors I know and respect. They mostly use publicly available information, reports, disclosures and concall transcripts. But, to get to that state is clearly not easy. Experience is what helps them do that. 6/n

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More from @shyamsek

17 Jul
The problem statement for many people now reads
“Oh! Everybody has made a lot of money”.
The unspoken word.
“How did it become so easy to make money in stocks?”
The question never raised.
“When it looks too easy, should you really worry?
Read 7 tweets
4 Jul
This year's central road and infrastructure cess is expected to top Rs. 4.5l crore.

The Agri infra development cess will collect 50k crore.

We are taxing the present very heavily to invest for the future.

1/n
From 2018-19 to now, this allocation to Central road and infra fund has more than quadrupled. It was 90k cr in 2018-19.

#Cess has been the major National capex funder for our country.
2/n
The fuel cess was raised significantly in 2020 by reducing excise duty. This was one of our economic responses to the Covid crisis. Money was moved from divisible central pool to the infra fund.

This was aimed at force-spending on infra. Rapid Asset creation was the goal.
3/n
Read 8 tweets
5 Dec 20
This thread is on disruption in #Advisory . I am sharing my thoughts and beliefs. I lean on my experience as an advisor and professional. 1/n
Product Selling & #Advisory were jumbled up at the start of the decade. Neither #Advisors nor customers could clearly draw lines. Conflict of interest was high. But, we significantly reduced these in a decade. Now, the system looks set for its most investor centric phase. 2/n
How did this happen? The primary credit goes to our regulation. By removing entry loads in 2009, launching #RIA, forcing all trail revenue models in mutual funds and segregating product selling and #Advisory, #SEBI has achieved way beyond even what investors expected. 3/n
Read 10 tweets

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