Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Nov 23, 2021 11 tweets 8 min read Read on X
On the evening of November 19 2021, RCH8194, C-17A 08-8194, lifted from Fort Campbell. It was 6:40PM (2340Z). It probably didn't make much difference to anyone in the area. These are common flights. Common enough for flight trackers who watch for this stuff to sometimes miss.

1/
Within a couple hours, it should have become a little more obvious.

Another C-17A, 00-0184 #AE08BE, was lifting from Fort Campbell around 7PM local, 0000Z, with RCH5E1, C-17A 04-4138 #AE1448, descending for Campbell's Army Airfield.

Something was beginning to move.

2/
Not much further away to the east at roughly the same time, RCH889, C-17A 06-6157 #AE145B, was lifting out of Fort Bragg/Pope AAF, NC.

At this moment, all aircraft involved had used in part or in whole Mode S to at least partially obfuscate their departures.

3/
Meanwhile, from across the Atlantic, C-17s were arriving where these other flights would land. Bangor, ME is a hub of sorts for deployments as is Dover, DE.

Each flight, regardless of direction, was using Mode S.

4/
Another key hub of movement was out of Fort Stewart/Hunter AAF, GA.

C-17A flights out of here included:
RCH124, 04-4128 #AE123A
RCH1186, 01-0186 #AE10B5
RCH9035 01-0194 #AE10BD

5/
At least 1 was involved from Fort Benning, GA by 0600Z.

RCH9035 is C-17A 010194 #AE10BD

It's now 6 hours into outbound flights & virtually every one of the 15 C-17As on the eastern seaboard (most using Mode S) appear to be involved in something akin to the Jan 2020 surge.

6/
Alright, so what's this all got to do with the price of gas?

Well, for starters, the flight patterns being similar to the January 2020 surge (see link) should raise some interest because it almost certainly signals troop movements.

7/
theaviationist.com/2020/01/02/onl…
And the destination (likely) is...
Djibouti.

8/
In fact, thanks to @IntelWalrus finding the ACARS messages for the flights inbound to Djibouti via @thebaldgeek and his website, we can show @ADSBexchange positions of November 20-23rd for all flights involved (left to right, top to bottom). A single mass rush, and RTB.

9/
@IntelWalrus @thebaldgeek @ADSBexchange With unrest in Ethiopia, it's no wonder the US is staging troops. CNN reports deployment of 1/75th Rangers.

This is certainly corroborated by the type & base of departure for flights listed in this thread, but perhaps even more. (h/t @IntelWalrus)

10/
cnn.com/2021/11/22/pol…
Based on C-17A transport stops, here is my best guess:

Regimental HQ from Benning.
1st battalion definitely via Stewart/Hunter.
Possible 160th SOAR from Campbell, or part of an MP battalion.

The Fort Campbell element is what intrigues me, but I need more info.

11/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Evergreen Intel

Evergreen Intel Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @vcdgf555

Oct 26
Thread. Israel Strikes Back.

"It seems that the Islam Shahr missile factory has been completely destroyed." Per source.

1/
"Israeli Army Radio, citing a military source: The attack against #إيران is in its early stages." Per Al-Jazeera.

2/

NBC News, quoting Israeli official: Oil and Nuclear facilities have NOT been hit.

3/
Read 31 tweets
Sep 23
Key points:
64.8% of the warehouses of Toropets Northeast are gone. By destroyed, most are mere craters now.

The 24.5% of warehouses damaged but still relatively intact will need to be rebuilt, many from the ground up and are likely unsafe to use.

1/
The remaining bunker/warehouses still operable are surrounded by twisted ruins with doubtful electricity, infrastructure and rail (likely crippled post-attack).

Will Russia rebuild? Likely. They've shown stubborness to. But we are talking years to return to prior condition.
2/
The arsenal was one of 13 state arsenals meant for rennovation to meet "the world's highest standards," per then Deputy Defense Minister General of the Army Dmitry Bulgakov. Toropets Northeast was supposed to be hardened against even a nuclear attack.


3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
🧵What I remember most about learning of the attack was how everything that'd been a slow grueling grind of expediting info & processing for several weeks came to an abrupt halt. Those trying to get out of the city had to go elsewhere.

It was a cruel end to a horrible month.
1/
I had felt that with so many people and US troops in one place that it was risky; something could happen. One last ISIS-K or Taliban punch. Anything.

At least 182 people - Afghans, Americans, Brits - died. God knows how were maimed.

2/
I'd been helping with a project that had a hard deadline; the attack moved it up. I went back to work, probably out of futility, in case there was an opening. I think many still stuck in Kabul ended up trying for the borders, by road. By foot. The DMs were frantic. Desperate.
3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 25
Ben Gurion airport, no landings or departures.

2/
Sounds like Israeli Air Force is going to the mat.

3/
Read 31 tweets
Jul 25
The fire has reached and engulfed the Maligne Lodge on the SW side of town. Word that the Petro-Canada is a loss as well.
Image
Image
Pictured shared by @tiredinAB which appears to be geolocated to a boat dock at Fairmont Jasper Park Lodge showing incredibly high flames toward the south of town.

3/

Image
Image
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(