Latest view on England covid hospital admissions (as of 24-Nov) with 602 reported for 22-Nov.

The 7 day average is now 662, equivalent to around 09-Oct (i.e. 41 days ago), a reduction of 78 (11%) in the last week.
Latest view on England patients with a +ve covid test currently in hospital, with 6,062 reported as of 8am on 24-Nov.

The count is now 6,062, equivalent to around 18-Oct (i.e. 37 days ago), a reduction of 350 (5%) in the last week.
Age ranges of England hospital admissions. Note this age-range data lags a day or so behind the above totals data.
Percentage view of age ranges of England hospital admissions.
Some additional content (mainly variations of the above charts) is available here: …ddatashare.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/Hospital/Hospi…
Chart to compare the Admissions projections from the 8-Sep SPI-M-O consensus statement with actuals.

This are the projections being used as basis for calls for additional restrictions.

The document says the likely trajectory is between green and blue lines.
Selection of models from the 13-Oct SPI-M-O document for Autumn/Winter scenarios with the latest actuals.

Unusually, they have under-estimated but still goes to show how (as stated by the modellers themselves) they are not a reliable indicator of what will actually happen.

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More from @RP131

24 Nov
Updated (24-Nov) table of top 30 MSOAs (by rate) based on latest numbers in today's report.

Note this data lags behind LA figures so the short spikes have often dropped again by the time we see this detail.
Bringing back the view of how many weeks the MSOAs have been in the suppressed 'less then 3 +ves in the last week' category. Since they don't allow us to distinguish between zero / 1 / 2, we generally consider it to mean zero. Link to full table in reply below.
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov
#covid19uk - Detailed positive tests thread. The majority of this thread is a set of views of rolling 7 day average positives per 100K by specimen date. Starting with England regions:
Some of the more detailed content from this thread has been moved to an external page to try and make the twitter updates a bit more manageable. You can still see the full version here: …ddatashare.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/Detail/Detail_…
UK nations:
Read 12 tweets
24 Nov
#covid19uk - Tables thread. Starting with the top 50 England Local Authorities by positives per 100K population in last 7 days, up to 3 days ago. Bright green means lower than previous period.
Cumulative summary view by regions.
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov
149 new #covid19uk deaths reported today (24-Nov). This brings the rolling average by date of death (allowing 4 days for lag) to 127, equivalent to around 14-Oct (i.e. 34 days ago), a reduction of 24 (16%) in the last week.
Closer look at the latest 45 days, with today's added numbers highlighted in orange. Individual nations and animated England charts further down the thread.
Separate charts for England (129) Scotland (9) Wales (7) and Northern Ireland (4). Note the different scales. Also on certain days the date-of-death data for Scotland/Wales/NI doesn't get updated so the orange bars may be mising or include multiple day's numbers.
Read 5 tweets
24 Nov
Dashboard for 24-Nov to explain the #covid19uk total death increase figure of 149.

For England, NHS data is merged by PHE for a net total of 129.

This brings the UK 7 day rolling average DOWN by 7.4 to 132.3.
Date of death chart for England regions drawn with 7 day rolling averages of deaths per 1M population.
Date of death chart for UK nations drawn with 7 day rolling averages of deaths per 1M population.
Read 8 tweets

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