The BIG Week 11 recap thread
1-2 observations for EVERY team from Week 11
Advanced stats, actionable info, etc.
Let's start with ARI:
Rondale Moore's role is basically that of a pass-catching RB
In Week 11, he played 33 snaps, ran 21 routes, and was targeted on OVER half of
1-2 observations for EVERY team from Week 11
Advanced stats, actionable info, etc.
Let's start with ARI:
Rondale Moore's role is basically that of a pass-catching RB
In Week 11, he played 33 snaps, ran 21 routes, and was targeted on OVER half of
them (!) 11 tgt, 11-51-0 on those 21 routes
Totaled 18 air yards, for an aDOT of 1.64 🥶
Very unique usage, and assuming Hopkins comes back after their Week 12 bye, unlikely he sees this volume again. Bench stash, maybe
Conversely, Zach Ertz is having a surprisingly great ⬇️⬇️
Totaled 18 air yards, for an aDOT of 1.64 🥶
Very unique usage, and assuming Hopkins comes back after their Week 12 bye, unlikely he sees this volume again. Bench stash, maybe
Conversely, Zach Ertz is having a surprisingly great ⬇️⬇️
season.
After 9 tgts, and 8-88-2 in Week 11, Ertz' full season numbers are reminiscent of pre-2020
In 2021, his 2.16 yards per route run is 7th at the TE position, and he's averaging 13.5 fantasy points per game in 5 games with ARI.
Let's move on to ATL ⬇️⬇️
After 9 tgts, and 8-88-2 in Week 11, Ertz' full season numbers are reminiscent of pre-2020
In 2021, his 2.16 yards per route run is 7th at the TE position, and he's averaging 13.5 fantasy points per game in 5 games with ARI.
Let's move on to ATL ⬇️⬇️
ATL RB room in Week 11
Qadree Ollison - 21 snaps, 9 carries, 9 routes, 3 tgt, 1 RZ opportunity
Mike Davis - 19 snaps, 3 carries, 15 routes, 4 tgt
Wayne Gallman - 1 snap, 1 carry
Ollison didn't practice today, but it was NOT injury related
With how he was involved in both the
Qadree Ollison - 21 snaps, 9 carries, 9 routes, 3 tgt, 1 RZ opportunity
Mike Davis - 19 snaps, 3 carries, 15 routes, 4 tgt
Wayne Gallman - 1 snap, 1 carry
Ollison didn't practice today, but it was NOT injury related
With how he was involved in both the
run and pass game, I'd start him as a flex vs JAX
JAX run D is strong, but Ollison's 9 routes are promising, along with getting the only RB red zone touch in Week 11
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JAX run D is strong, but Ollison's 9 routes are promising, along with getting the only RB red zone touch in Week 11
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On to BAL ⬇️⬇️
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On to BAL ⬇️⬇️
No Lamar, no Marquise Brown
Not too much to takeaway from this game, but let's talk about Rashod Bateman
ANOTHER 6 target game in Week 11 for him (29 routes)
6+ targets in EVERY game for Bateman, something Ja'Marr Chase, Devonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle CANNOT claim
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Not too much to takeaway from this game, but let's talk about Rashod Bateman
ANOTHER 6 target game in Week 11 for him (29 routes)
6+ targets in EVERY game for Bateman, something Ja'Marr Chase, Devonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle CANNOT claim
⬇️⬇️⬇️
BUF:
Last week, I said I wanted to see if Matt Breida could command more snaps
In Week 11, challenge accepted
Breida - 16 snaps, 5 carries, 9 routes, 2 tgt, 67 total yards, 1 RZ opportunity
Singletary - 20 snaps, 3 carries, 16 routes, 4 tgt, 43 total yards
Moss - ⬇️⬇️
Last week, I said I wanted to see if Matt Breida could command more snaps
In Week 11, challenge accepted
Breida - 16 snaps, 5 carries, 9 routes, 2 tgt, 67 total yards, 1 RZ opportunity
Singletary - 20 snaps, 3 carries, 16 routes, 4 tgt, 43 total yards
Moss - ⬇️⬇️
Moss - 17 snaps, 3 carries, 10 routes, 1 tgt, 5 total yards
One of my FAVORITE player props for Week 12 is Zack Moss UNDERS, I've seen his rush yards mid-20s, and I'd take the UNDER against a stout Saints run D on Thanksgiving when he looks like the clear RB3 right now in BUF
⬇️
One of my FAVORITE player props for Week 12 is Zack Moss UNDERS, I've seen his rush yards mid-20s, and I'd take the UNDER against a stout Saints run D on Thanksgiving when he looks like the clear RB3 right now in BUF
⬇️
CAR receivers of note
DJ Moore - 25 routes, 7 tgt, 5-50-1 (60 air yards), 16 PPR
CMC - 21 routes, 8 tgt, 7-60-1 (37 air), 24.9 PPR
Robby - 24 routes, 6 tgt, 5-30-0, 8 PPR
Zylstra - 14 routes, 2 tgt, 1-7-0, 1.7 PPR
Marshall - 7 routes, 1 tgt, 0-0-0
Marshall is droppable
⬇️⬇️
DJ Moore - 25 routes, 7 tgt, 5-50-1 (60 air yards), 16 PPR
CMC - 21 routes, 8 tgt, 7-60-1 (37 air), 24.9 PPR
Robby - 24 routes, 6 tgt, 5-30-0, 8 PPR
Zylstra - 14 routes, 2 tgt, 1-7-0, 1.7 PPR
Marshall - 7 routes, 1 tgt, 0-0-0
Marshall is droppable
⬇️⬇️
even in deep redraft leagues
Also, I'd drop Robby Anderson too in most leagues
His yards per route run is 0.76 (105th among WRs)
He's the clear #3 receiving option in a bad pass attack behind CMC/DJM
Spare yourself and cut bait
Again, if you're enjoying this thread, a
Also, I'd drop Robby Anderson too in most leagues
His yards per route run is 0.76 (105th among WRs)
He's the clear #3 receiving option in a bad pass attack behind CMC/DJM
Spare yourself and cut bait
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CHI receivers Week 11
Mooney - 32 routes, 16 tgt, 5-121-1 (219 air), 20.4 PPR
Goodwin - 27 routes, 8 tgt, 4-104-1 (118 air), 23.1 PPR
Kmet - 23 routes, 2 tgt, 1-12-0 (18 air)
Damiere Byrd - 21 routes, 2 tgt, 1-3-0 (39 air)
Montgomery - 18 routes, 1 tgt, 1-9-0 (9 air)
Here's ⬇️
Mooney - 32 routes, 16 tgt, 5-121-1 (219 air), 20.4 PPR
Goodwin - 27 routes, 8 tgt, 4-104-1 (118 air), 23.1 PPR
Kmet - 23 routes, 2 tgt, 1-12-0 (18 air)
Damiere Byrd - 21 routes, 2 tgt, 1-3-0 (39 air)
Montgomery - 18 routes, 1 tgt, 1-9-0 (9 air)
Here's ⬇️
my Darnell Mooney Week 12 projection (fire him up on Thanksgiving in ALL lineups)
8.2 tgt, 5 rec, 70.3 recYds, 0.37 TD, 14.3 PPR (my WR23 for the week)
I know it's Andy Dalton and the Bears, but they face DET's porous secondary, and Mooney had a 48.5% tgt share Week 11 (!)
⬇️⬇️
8.2 tgt, 5 rec, 70.3 recYds, 0.37 TD, 14.3 PPR (my WR23 for the week)
I know it's Andy Dalton and the Bears, but they face DET's porous secondary, and Mooney had a 48.5% tgt share Week 11 (!)
⬇️⬇️
Ja'Marr Chase will have another big game soon with his current usage, don't worry
In Week 11, Joe Burrow had 218 total air yards, and 129 of them (59.2%) went to Chase
Despite 6 tgt and only 3-32-1 receiving, Chase (30 routes) was more active on the field than Higgins (28
In Week 11, Joe Burrow had 218 total air yards, and 129 of them (59.2%) went to Chase
Despite 6 tgt and only 3-32-1 receiving, Chase (30 routes) was more active on the field than Higgins (28
routes) and Boyd (26 routes)
Also, Chase went in pre-snap motion 1 time in Week 11, and he took a handoff for a 2 yard loss
This was his 5th time in motion all year, and the others were:
Week 1: Chase rush to the right, gain of 2
Week 2: Mixon rush right for 2 yards
Week 6: ⬇️
Also, Chase went in pre-snap motion 1 time in Week 11, and he took a handoff for a 2 yard loss
This was his 5th time in motion all year, and the others were:
Week 1: Chase rush to the right, gain of 2
Week 2: Mixon rush right for 2 yards
Week 6: ⬇️
Week 6: Pass left to Mixon, gain of 4
Week 9: Pass right to Chase, gain of 6
Compare those 5 times in pre-snap motion for Chase to Cooper Kupp (18 times in 2021) and Stefon Diggs (15 times)
We think of BUF and LAR as 2 of the more creative NFL offenses, and CIN has been ⬇️⬇️
Week 9: Pass right to Chase, gain of 6
Compare those 5 times in pre-snap motion for Chase to Cooper Kupp (18 times in 2021) and Stefon Diggs (15 times)
We think of BUF and LAR as 2 of the more creative NFL offenses, and CIN has been ⬇️⬇️
really up and down week to week with their pass volume and overall offensive success.
@rotounderworld game charters have been capturing many new data points in 2021, and pre-snap motion is one of them.
If you want to be able to see the raw data I use for my analysis, check out
@rotounderworld game charters have been capturing many new data points in 2021, and pre-snap motion is one of them.
If you want to be able to see the raw data I use for my analysis, check out
Data Analysis Plus (playerprofiler.com/data-analysis-…)
Current dataset is 29,418 rows and 142 columns, and is expanded after each week
Pre-snap motion, RB/WR/TE alignment, defensive coverage, WR/CB matchups, yards blocked, yards to 1st contact, etc
If you want to step up your analysis,
Current dataset is 29,418 rows and 142 columns, and is expanded after each week
Pre-snap motion, RB/WR/TE alignment, defensive coverage, WR/CB matchups, yards blocked, yards to 1st contact, etc
If you want to step up your analysis,
this is a great purchase to make (and we'll be adding much of this data at the season-long level to the free PlayerProfiler.com pages in the near future 👀
Now, on to CLE ⬇️⬇️
Now, on to CLE ⬇️⬇️
No more OBJ, Peoples-Jones still injured
This is an all-time gross receiving room for fantasy football
Landry - 22 routes, 8 tgt, 4-26-0
Higgins - 24 routes, 5 tgt, 1-17-0
Ja'Marcus Bradley - 21 routes, 2 tgt, 2-46-0
Hooper - 16 routes, 7 tgt, 4-53-0
Njoku - 16 routes ⬇️⬇️
This is an all-time gross receiving room for fantasy football
Landry - 22 routes, 8 tgt, 4-26-0
Higgins - 24 routes, 5 tgt, 1-17-0
Ja'Marcus Bradley - 21 routes, 2 tgt, 2-46-0
Hooper - 16 routes, 7 tgt, 4-53-0
Njoku - 16 routes ⬇️⬇️
Njoku - 16 routes, 4 tgt, 2-20-0
Harrison Bryant - 12 routes, 0 tgt
Despite playing behind an elite OLine, Baker ranks 33rd in the NFL in accuracy rating (our game charters rate EVERY throw numerically based on accuracy), and his injured WR crew surely isn't
Harrison Bryant - 12 routes, 0 tgt
Despite playing behind an elite OLine, Baker ranks 33rd in the NFL in accuracy rating (our game charters rate EVERY throw numerically based on accuracy), and his injured WR crew surely isn't
helping matters.
Baker's fantasy points finishes by week are brutal, too.
QB27, QB18, QB18, QB31, QB8, QB21, QB29, QB11, QB28, QB21
He's a non-factor for DFS, with no more than 33 pass attempts or 2 total touchdowns in any 2021 game
On to DAL ⬇️⬇️
Baker's fantasy points finishes by week are brutal, too.
QB27, QB18, QB18, QB31, QB8, QB21, QB29, QB11, QB28, QB21
He's a non-factor for DFS, with no more than 33 pass attempts or 2 total touchdowns in any 2021 game
On to DAL ⬇️⬇️
Zeke's knee injury is clearly hampering his efficiency, but his usage is still elite
Week 11
Zeke - 44 snaps, 9 carries, 29 routes, 6 tgt, 2 RZ opps
Pollard - 21 s, 7 carr, 6 routes, 2 tgt, 1 RZ opp
Tomorrow though, I'm taking his rushYds UNDER
⬇️⬇️
Week 11
Zeke - 44 snaps, 9 carries, 29 routes, 6 tgt, 2 RZ opps
Pollard - 21 s, 7 carr, 6 routes, 2 tgt, 1 RZ opp
Tomorrow though, I'm taking his rushYds UNDER
https://twitter.com/jlarkytweets/status/1463652308718284807?s=20
⬇️⬇️
DEN had a Week 11 bye, so no new info on their team, but I do think the Sutton v Tim Patrick comparison is worrisome for Sutton
2021 full season
Sutton: 20.4% tgt share, 617 recYds, 118.7 PPR
Patrick: 16.1% tgt share, 523 recYds, 113.3 PPR
On to DET ⬇️⬇️
2021 full season
Sutton: 20.4% tgt share, 617 recYds, 118.7 PPR
Patrick: 16.1% tgt share, 523 recYds, 113.3 PPR
On to DET ⬇️⬇️
Even with Jamaal Williams' return, Swift was still a bell cow
DET RBs in Week 11
Swift - 34 snaps, 14-136-1 ground, 19 routes, 4 tgt, 3-0-0 receiving
Williams - 12 snaps, 7-11-0 ground, 3 routes, 0 tgt
Igwebuike - 1 snap, 1 tgt, -4 recYds
Swift faces ATL and SEA in the fantasy
DET RBs in Week 11
Swift - 34 snaps, 14-136-1 ground, 19 routes, 4 tgt, 3-0-0 receiving
Williams - 12 snaps, 7-11-0 ground, 3 routes, 0 tgt
Igwebuike - 1 snap, 1 tgt, -4 recYds
Swift faces ATL and SEA in the fantasy
playoffs (Weeks 16/17), if your trade deadline hasn't passed yet, I'd buy high. League-winner with his new role and 2 solid matchups in the playoffs
Let's turn to GB now ⬇️⬇️
Let's turn to GB now ⬇️⬇️
If Marquez Valdes-Scantling is on waivers still, scoop him
GB WRs Week 11
Adams - 31 routes, 8 tgt, 7-115-2 (84 air yards)
MVS - 30 routes, 10 tgt, 4-123-1 (154 air)
Cobb - 29 routes, 2 tgt, 1-15-0 (10 air)
St. Brown - 9 routes, 2 tgt, 2-43-0 (7 air)
Peep his 4.3 speed ⬇️⬇️
GB WRs Week 11
Adams - 31 routes, 8 tgt, 7-115-2 (84 air yards)
MVS - 30 routes, 10 tgt, 4-123-1 (154 air)
Cobb - 29 routes, 2 tgt, 1-15-0 (10 air)
St. Brown - 9 routes, 2 tgt, 2-43-0 (7 air)
Peep his 4.3 speed ⬇️⬇️
Weird game script for HOU vs TEN
Lindsay was just waived, and Burkhead/Johnson are potentially flex options going forward
In Week 11
Burkhead - 18 carries (3 RZ), 0 routes
Johnson - 13 carries (3 RZ), 12 routes, 4 tgt (1 RZ)
I'd prefer David Johnson for his all-purpose ⬇️⬇️
Lindsay was just waived, and Burkhead/Johnson are potentially flex options going forward
In Week 11
Burkhead - 18 carries (3 RZ), 0 routes
Johnson - 13 carries (3 RZ), 12 routes, 4 tgt (1 RZ)
I'd prefer David Johnson for his all-purpose ⬇️⬇️
role, though we have also seen Burkhead utilized as a receiver this year too
Okay. You waited long enough, let's break down that Jonathan Taylor 5 TD game 🔥
⬇️⬇️
Okay. You waited long enough, let's break down that Jonathan Taylor 5 TD game 🔥
⬇️⬇️
That Jonathan Taylor 5 TD game deserves some advanced stats for context:
32 carries for 185 rush yards on the ground
85 yards blocked, 13 evaded tackles, 100 (!) yards created
Also, ANOTHER week of JT as the primary pass-catching back (13 routes to Hines' 4)
If you haven't
32 carries for 185 rush yards on the ground
85 yards blocked, 13 evaded tackles, 100 (!) yards created
Also, ANOTHER week of JT as the primary pass-catching back (13 routes to Hines' 4)
If you haven't
already, I'd drop Nyheim Hines in redraft
Thanks for following along, roughly halfway through
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Alright, on to JAX ⬇️⬇️
Thanks for following along, roughly halfway through
If you enjoy this type of free analysis, please retweet this thread, it's very much appreciated and helps me keep these notes un-paywalled
Alright, on to JAX ⬇️⬇️
The hard truths about Trevor Lawrence's rookie season
- 356 pass attempts (#9)
- 83.2% protection rate (#12)
- 19 money throws (#10), yet 27 danger plays (#4)
- 31 interceptable passes (#1)
- 6.9 throw accuracy rating (#34)
- 13.4 fantasy ppg (QB28)
*gulp*
There's more ⬇️⬇️
- 356 pass attempts (#9)
- 83.2% protection rate (#12)
- 19 money throws (#10), yet 27 danger plays (#4)
- 31 interceptable passes (#1)
- 6.9 throw accuracy rating (#34)
- 13.4 fantasy ppg (QB28)
*gulp*
There's more ⬇️⬇️
- 69.7% catchable pass rate (#33)
- 61.7% play action completion rate (#21)
- 48.3% red zone completion rate (#27)
- 36.1% deep ball completion rate (#21)
- 29.4% pressured completion rate (#34)
All these stats are FREE to view on his PlayerProfiler.com page
On to KC ⬇️⬇️
- 61.7% play action completion rate (#21)
- 48.3% red zone completion rate (#27)
- 36.1% deep ball completion rate (#21)
- 29.4% pressured completion rate (#34)
All these stats are FREE to view on his PlayerProfiler.com page
On to KC ⬇️⬇️
Byron Pringle is a decent speculative add in deep leagues, and don't drop Darrel Williams
Week 11 Routes Run
Hill - 35
Kelce - 34
Pringle - 24
Williams - 23
Robinson - 20
Gordon - 16
CEH - 14
Hardman - 8
2nd week in a row Hardman is behind those WRs in routes 🥶
Also, despite
Week 11 Routes Run
Hill - 35
Kelce - 34
Pringle - 24
Williams - 23
Robinson - 20
Gordon - 16
CEH - 14
Hardman - 8
2nd week in a row Hardman is behind those WRs in routes 🥶
Also, despite
the supposed pass-catching role being obviously CEH's when he was drafted, this comparison is alarming
2021 season
CEH - 6 games, 5.6% tgt share, 12 tgts, 10 rec, game-high 3 tgt
Williams - 11 games, 9.2% tgt share, 40 tgts, 32 rec, game-high 9 tgt, 6 games ABOVE 3 tgts
⬇️⬇️⬇️
2021 season
CEH - 6 games, 5.6% tgt share, 12 tgts, 10 rec, game-high 3 tgt
Williams - 11 games, 9.2% tgt share, 40 tgts, 32 rec, game-high 9 tgt, 6 games ABOVE 3 tgts
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Ekeler is dominating LAC RB touches
Week 11
Ekeler - 52 snaps, 11 carries, 30 rotues, 7 tgt, 6 RZ opps
Rountree - 13 snaps, 2 carries, 3 routes
Jackson - 3 snaps, 1 carry, 1 route, 1 tgt
On the season, Ekeler's #7 in snap share, #4 in weighted opportunities, # 3 in target, and
Week 11
Ekeler - 52 snaps, 11 carries, 30 rotues, 7 tgt, 6 RZ opps
Rountree - 13 snaps, 2 carries, 3 routes
Jackson - 3 snaps, 1 carry, 1 route, 1 tgt
On the season, Ekeler's #7 in snap share, #4 in weighted opportunities, # 3 in target, and
#2 among ALL RBs with 40 (!!!) RZ touches
If Ekeler's won you some fantasy matchups this year with his 6 Top-8 weekly RB finishes, consider checking out his charity (@AE30Foundation)
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While LAR had a Week 11 bye,
If Ekeler's won you some fantasy matchups this year with his 6 Top-8 weekly RB finishes, consider checking out his charity (@AE30Foundation)
We partnered with them this year: playerprofiler.com/austin-ekeler-…
While LAR had a Week 11 bye,
I'll be very curious to see OBJ now that he's integrated into this offense.
10 routes, 3 tgts in Week 10 with LAR
If he runs 30 routes in Week 12 (Kupp avg's 34.3 per game), then OBJ "would" have 9 targets
Obviously a tiny sample, but clear that McVay/Stafford wanted to get
10 routes, 3 tgts in Week 10 with LAR
If he runs 30 routes in Week 12 (Kupp avg's 34.3 per game), then OBJ "would" have 9 targets
Obviously a tiny sample, but clear that McVay/Stafford wanted to get
the ball into OBJ's hands whenever possible
I'm expecting him to out-target Van Jefferson in Week 12
In Week 10, OBJ ran 9 routes out wide, and 1 in the slot
He faced man coverage on 3 of 9 routes out wide
His 1 slot route, he was put in motion
Can you tell that I'm
I'm expecting him to out-target Van Jefferson in Week 12
In Week 10, OBJ ran 9 routes out wide, and 1 in the slot
He faced man coverage on 3 of 9 routes out wide
His 1 slot route, he was put in motion
Can you tell that I'm
enjoying all the data the @rotounderworld game charters collect each week?!
Shoutout @CarpentierNFL who coordinates all of this behind the scenes
Okay, let's turn to the Raiders now ⬇️⬇️
Shoutout @CarpentierNFL who coordinates all of this behind the scenes
Okay, let's turn to the Raiders now ⬇️⬇️
Darren Waller is my TE2 rest of season behind Kelce
In 3 games without Ruggs...
Week 9 - 39 routes, 11 tgt (3 RZ), 7-92-0 (114 air)
Week 10 - 29 routes, 7 tgt, 4-24-0 (47 air)
Week 11 - 26 routes, 8 tgt (1 RZ), 7-116-0 (66 air)
DAL has struggled against TEs this year, trade
In 3 games without Ruggs...
Week 9 - 39 routes, 11 tgt (3 RZ), 7-92-0 (114 air)
Week 10 - 29 routes, 7 tgt, 4-24-0 (47 air)
Week 11 - 26 routes, 8 tgt (1 RZ), 7-116-0 (66 air)
DAL has struggled against TEs this year, trade
for him if you can before he goes BOOM on national TV tomorrow
If I had Andrews, I would happily offer him to acquire Waller straight up, and I know many Waller managers would make that deal
Waller is the TE4 in ppg despite only 2 TDs (13 RZ targets though, usage is there)
⬇️⬇️
If I had Andrews, I would happily offer him to acquire Waller straight up, and I know many Waller managers would make that deal
Waller is the TE4 in ppg despite only 2 TDs (13 RZ targets though, usage is there)
⬇️⬇️
I feel like I've been shouting into the void with Myles Gaskin
He's a bell cow
Week 11
Gaskin - 51 snaps, 23 carries, 13 routes, 4 tgt, 9 (!!!!!!!) RZ opportunities, 18.6 PPR
All other MIA RBs - 15 snaps, 5 carries, 4 routes, 1 tgt, 2 RZ opps
On to MIN ⬇️⬇️
He's a bell cow
Week 11
Gaskin - 51 snaps, 23 carries, 13 routes, 4 tgt, 9 (!!!!!!!) RZ opportunities, 18.6 PPR
All other MIA RBs - 15 snaps, 5 carries, 4 routes, 1 tgt, 2 RZ opps
On to MIN ⬇️⬇️
Dalvin Cook is going to have a week very soon where he's the overall RB1 that week
Week 9 - 17 carries (7 RZ), 14 routes, 3 tgt, 122 total yards, 0 TD
Week 10 - 24 carries (11 RZ), 26 routes, 5 tgt, 118 total yards, 1 TD
Week 11 - 22 carries (6 RZ), 21 routes, 4 tgt, 115 total
Week 9 - 17 carries (7 RZ), 14 routes, 3 tgt, 122 total yards, 0 TD
Week 10 - 24 carries (11 RZ), 26 routes, 5 tgt, 118 total yards, 1 TD
Week 11 - 22 carries (6 RZ), 21 routes, 4 tgt, 115 total
yards, 1 TD
He has 24 carries in the red zone the last 3 weeks yet only 2 TDs
Goal line carries are random, and with his usage, I fully expect the multi-TD game(s) to happen soon (my RB4 ROS)
Reminder to click that floating camera icon to the right of each player page on
He has 24 carries in the red zone the last 3 weeks yet only 2 TDs
Goal line carries are random, and with his usage, I fully expect the multi-TD game(s) to happen soon (my RB4 ROS)
Reminder to click that floating camera icon to the right of each player page on
PlayerProfiler.com to download an ultra high-res screenshot like the ones pictured in this thread
Turning to NE, the RB room is a mess for fantasy value
Stats below ⬇️⬇️
Turning to NE, the RB room is a mess for fantasy value
Stats below ⬇️⬇️
Week 11 vs ATL
Harris - 25 snaps, 10 carries, 9 routes, 1 tgt, 0 RZ opps, 7.5 PPR
Rhamondre - 16 snaps, 12 carries, 2 routes, 1 tgt, 1 RZ opp, 8.5 PPR
Bolden - 16 snaps, 1 carry, 14 routes, 2 tgt, 3.6 PPR
Yet another Belichick RB committee...
On to the Saints ⬇️⬇️
Harris - 25 snaps, 10 carries, 9 routes, 1 tgt, 0 RZ opps, 7.5 PPR
Rhamondre - 16 snaps, 12 carries, 2 routes, 1 tgt, 1 RZ opp, 8.5 PPR
Bolden - 16 snaps, 1 carry, 14 routes, 2 tgt, 3.6 PPR
Yet another Belichick RB committee...
On to the Saints ⬇️⬇️
Whoever the starting RB is for the Saints tomorrow, start them
Kamara OUT, Ingram highly questionable
If Ingram is OUT, fire up Tony Jones
In 2 games without Kamara, Ingram has had elite usage
Week 10: 14 carries (4 RZ), 24 routes, 7 tgt, 20.8 PPR
W11: 16 carries (3 RZ),
Kamara OUT, Ingram highly questionable
If Ingram is OUT, fire up Tony Jones
In 2 games without Kamara, Ingram has had elite usage
Week 10: 14 carries (4 RZ), 24 routes, 7 tgt, 20.8 PPR
W11: 16 carries (3 RZ),
28 routes, 8 tgt, 15.3 PPR
I'd expect Tony Jones to get similar treatment tomorrow
Remember, Ingram was a BAL cast-off in a HOU timeshare with Burkhead/Lindsay/Johnson before the Saints traded for him
On to NYG ⬇️⬇️
I'd expect Tony Jones to get similar treatment tomorrow
Remember, Ingram was a BAL cast-off in a HOU timeshare with Burkhead/Lindsay/Johnson before the Saints traded for him
On to NYG ⬇️⬇️
If you haven't yet, drop Golladay
NYG Week 11
Engram - 34 routes, 5 tgt, 3.2 PPR
Golladay - 32 routes, 2 tgt, 2.2 PPR
Slayton - 28 routes, 7 tgt, 5.7 PPR
Toney - 26 routes, 12 tgt, 11 PPR
But wait, there's more *gulp* ⬇️⬇️
NYG Week 11
Engram - 34 routes, 5 tgt, 3.2 PPR
Golladay - 32 routes, 2 tgt, 2.2 PPR
Slayton - 28 routes, 7 tgt, 5.7 PPR
Toney - 26 routes, 12 tgt, 11 PPR
But wait, there's more *gulp* ⬇️⬇️
In 2021, Golladay is averaging fewer yards per game than Deonte Harris, Kendrick Bourne, and Sammy Watkins...
And, Golladay is averaging fewer fantasy points per game than Kalif Raymond, Jamal Agnew, and Cedrick Wilson
And that's with Golladay rarely competing with other fully
And, Golladay is averaging fewer fantasy points per game than Kalif Raymond, Jamal Agnew, and Cedrick Wilson
And that's with Golladay rarely competing with other fully
healthy NYG WRs
Turning to NYJ, Elijah Moore has been a MONSTER
If your league mate is worried about Zach Wilson returning, be a friend and "take Elijah Moore off his/her hands"
Stats below ⬇️
Turning to NYJ, Elijah Moore has been a MONSTER
If your league mate is worried about Zach Wilson returning, be a friend and "take Elijah Moore off his/her hands"
Stats below ⬇️
Even with Corey Davis and Jamison Crowder healthy the past 2 weeks, Moore has still avg'd 30 routes and 8.5 tgts
Only 12 WRs have had 2+ games in 2021 with 27+ PPR pts
That list is ⬇️⬇️
Only 12 WRs have had 2+ games in 2021 with 27+ PPR pts
That list is ⬇️⬇️
Kupp/Hill - 4
Adams/Deebo - 3
AJB, Thielen, Lamb, Chase, Evans, Mike Williams, McLaurin, ELIJAH MOORE - 2
And Moore has definitely had the most inferior QB play among that group
On to PHI ⬇️⬇️
Adams/Deebo - 3
AJB, Thielen, Lamb, Chase, Evans, Mike Williams, McLaurin, ELIJAH MOORE - 2
And Moore has definitely had the most inferior QB play among that group
On to PHI ⬇️⬇️
Week 11 PHI RB room
Sanders - 33 snaps, 16 carries, 6 routes, 1 tgt, 2 RZ opps
Scott - 28 snaps, 6 carries, 13 routes, 2 tgt, 1 RZ opp
Howard - 12 snaps, 10 carries, 1 route, 0 RZ opps
I wouldn't drop Sanders, but ceding the receiving work to Scott was concerning
PIT ⬇️⬇️
Sanders - 33 snaps, 16 carries, 6 routes, 1 tgt, 2 RZ opps
Scott - 28 snaps, 6 carries, 13 routes, 2 tgt, 1 RZ opp
Howard - 12 snaps, 10 carries, 1 route, 0 RZ opps
I wouldn't drop Sanders, but ceding the receiving work to Scott was concerning
PIT ⬇️⬇️
Eric Ebron is likely out the rest of 2021
This greatly helps Freiermuth, who has split passing work with Ebron
Week 11 routes
Diontae - 39
Claypool - 38
Washington - 33
Najee - 20
Freiermuth - 18
Ebron - 17
Freiermuth has been targeted on 25.8% of routes this year, #7 at the
This greatly helps Freiermuth, who has split passing work with Ebron
Week 11 routes
Diontae - 39
Claypool - 38
Washington - 33
Najee - 20
Freiermuth - 18
Ebron - 17
Freiermuth has been targeted on 25.8% of routes this year, #7 at the
TE position
He's avg'd 19 routes/game this year, and a bump to 25-30 routes per game likely gives him 1-3 more targets per game
He's also #2 among TEs with 14 RZ targets on the season, and #3 with 5 TDs
He's a must-start TE going forward
⬇️⬇️
He's avg'd 19 routes/game this year, and a bump to 25-30 routes per game likely gives him 1-3 more targets per game
He's also #2 among TEs with 14 RZ targets on the season, and #3 with 5 TDs
He's a must-start TE going forward
⬇️⬇️
Only 5 teams left (SEA/SF/TB/TEN/WAS), and if you've enjoyed this Week 11 recap thread and you want to support my work, you can tip me on Twitter, subscribe to PlayerProfiler.com (find my rankings/projections/DFS optimizer/etc there) where we cover redraft, DFS, dynasty, and
have over 100 advanced metrics for each player, many of which you can view on the free player pages.
Your engagement keeps this thread free, and I also do 2 podcasts each week, First Mover on Mondays & Big Tilt with @RandleRant on Friday nights
Find both in the @rotounderworld
Your engagement keeps this thread free, and I also do 2 podcasts each week, First Mover on Mondays & Big Tilt with @RandleRant on Friday nights
Find both in the @rotounderworld
podcast feed.
First Mover is also a Monday LIVE stream, here's this past week's video
I cover player prop strategy in-depth in the intro, then discuss the Week 12 main DFS slate (fast-forward to 4:30 for the actual start of the stream)
If you're interested in the type of
First Mover is also a Monday LIVE stream, here's this past week's video
I cover player prop strategy in-depth in the intro, then discuss the Week 12 main DFS slate (fast-forward to 4:30 for the actual start of the stream)
If you're interested in the type of
analysis I do each week, I also teach R, a stats programming language that I use daily.
Check out ThatRCodingSite.com, and listen to my First Mover podcast for a promo code
I've used R code while working for 2 different MLB teams and when consulting for Southwest Airlines,
Check out ThatRCodingSite.com, and listen to my First Mover podcast for a promo code
I've used R code while working for 2 different MLB teams and when consulting for Southwest Airlines,
& my course teaches you analytical code in 2-3 months with ONLY football datasets.
And, if you aren't able to support me financially, hate retweeting, but want to show your solidarity/appreciation for Twitter threads, you can always follow me on Twitter
Rant over, on to SEA⬇️
And, if you aren't able to support me financially, hate retweeting, but want to show your solidarity/appreciation for Twitter threads, you can always follow me on Twitter
Rant over, on to SEA⬇️
Another disappointing performance by the SEA offense
The RB room is interesting though, and DeeJay Dallas is a solid bench stash
Week 11
Collins - 18 snaps, 10 carries, 3 routes, 1 RZ opp
Dallas - 18 snaps, 4 carries, 11 routes, 2 tgts, 3 RZ opps
Homer - 5 snaps, 1 carry,
The RB room is interesting though, and DeeJay Dallas is a solid bench stash
Week 11
Collins - 18 snaps, 10 carries, 3 routes, 1 RZ opp
Dallas - 18 snaps, 4 carries, 11 routes, 2 tgts, 3 RZ opps
Homer - 5 snaps, 1 carry,
2 routes
Dallas getting 3 RZ looks out of 4 total RZ looks for SEA RBs is promising
He also had as many snaps as Alex Collins
Last year in his lone start Week 8, DeeJay had a 77.6% snap share, 18 carries (8 RZ), 21 routes, 5 tgts, 2 TDs, and 22.8 PPR (RB3 on the week)
Stash
Dallas getting 3 RZ looks out of 4 total RZ looks for SEA RBs is promising
He also had as many snaps as Alex Collins
Last year in his lone start Week 8, DeeJay had a 77.6% snap share, 18 carries (8 RZ), 21 routes, 5 tgts, 2 TDs, and 22.8 PPR (RB3 on the week)
Stash
him in redraft, even in shallower leagues
If/when SEA is eliminated from the playoffs, the 3-7 Seahawks may turn to him even more to see what their RB future is, as Carson's neck injury-plagued 2021 doesn't bode well for his 2022 season
On to SF ⬇️
If/when SEA is eliminated from the playoffs, the 3-7 Seahawks may turn to him even more to see what their RB future is, as Carson's neck injury-plagued 2021 doesn't bode well for his 2022 season
On to SF ⬇️
If Elijah Mitchell is OUT again, fire up Jeff Wilson
Week 11
Wilson - 38 snaps, 19 carries, 7 routes, 2 tgt, 5 RZ opps
Sermon - 22 snaps, 10 carries, 7 routes, 1 tgt, 0 RZ opps
Deebo - 8 carries for 79 yards
Also, Aiyuk is a locked/loaded WR2 going forward
Stats below⬇️⬇️
Week 11
Wilson - 38 snaps, 19 carries, 7 routes, 2 tgt, 5 RZ opps
Sermon - 22 snaps, 10 carries, 7 routes, 1 tgt, 0 RZ opps
Deebo - 8 carries for 79 yards
Also, Aiyuk is a locked/loaded WR2 going forward
Stats below⬇️⬇️
The past 4 weeks, Aiyuk has had 7+ targets in 3 of those games, a RZ target in 3 of those games, and has 2 top 10 weekly WR finishes
He's also had a roughly 90% snap share the past month, after hovering between 50-70% the first 2 months of the season
⬇️⬇️
He's also had a roughly 90% snap share the past month, after hovering between 50-70% the first 2 months of the season
⬇️⬇️
You want Rob Gronkowski on your fantasy team for the stretch run
He was fully back in Week 11
Brady was out there for 65 snaps & 46 pass attempts
Gronk ran 23 routes (Godwin/Evans ran 36 for context)
Gronk had 8 tgt, 6-71-0 (62 air yards)
We know he'll get more RZ opps than
He was fully back in Week 11
Brady was out there for 65 snaps & 46 pass attempts
Gronk ran 23 routes (Godwin/Evans ran 36 for context)
Gronk had 8 tgt, 6-71-0 (62 air yards)
We know he'll get more RZ opps than
every TE (outside of maybe Kelce), so if he can have a 17% tgt share in Week 11 and run routes downfield, that's icing on the cake
Gronk is my TE4 rest of season behind Kelce/Waller/Andrews
Yet FantasyPros has him TE13 ROS 😬
Go and trade for him if your league mate uses
Gronk is my TE4 rest of season behind Kelce/Waller/Andrews
Yet FantasyPros has him TE13 ROS 😬
Go and trade for him if your league mate uses
FantasyPros' ROS rankings and believes Dawson Knox is more valuable than Gronk ROS
On to the Titans
There's too much in flux to take a lot away from Week 11's loss against HOU
McNichols was OUT, Hilliard filled in admirably with 7 caries and 10 targets
AJB and Marcus Johnson
On to the Titans
There's too much in flux to take a lot away from Week 11's loss against HOU
McNichols was OUT, Hilliard filled in admirably with 7 caries and 10 targets
AJB and Marcus Johnson
left that game early due to injury too.
Johnson is done for the year
I'd target Nick Westbrook-Ikhine for Week 12 onward, who ran 37 routes, and had 8 tgt, going 7-107-0
Though he did run fewer routes than both Chester Rogers (45) and Dez Fitzpatrick (44)
I can more
Johnson is done for the year
I'd target Nick Westbrook-Ikhine for Week 12 onward, who ran 37 routes, and had 8 tgt, going 7-107-0
Though he did run fewer routes than both Chester Rogers (45) and Dez Fitzpatrick (44)
I can more
confidently advise you to drop Ryan Tannehill in 1 QB leagues, who I have at QB18 rest of season
With no Derrick Henry and a severely banged up WR core without Julio Jones and quite possibly without AJ Brown in Week 12, there's no need to keep him on your roster outside of
With no Derrick Henry and a severely banged up WR core without Julio Jones and quite possibly without AJ Brown in Week 12, there's no need to keep him on your roster outside of
superflex leagues.
The final team, WAS...
Thanks again for reading along, please like/RT if you've enjoyed this thread, and I'll be putting it out every week on either Tuesday or Wednesday afternoon/night
The WAS RB room usage continues to signal Gibson is NOT
The final team, WAS...
Thanks again for reading along, please like/RT if you've enjoyed this thread, and I'll be putting it out every week on either Tuesday or Wednesday afternoon/night
The WAS RB room usage continues to signal Gibson is NOT
going to take over this backfield this year
Week 11
Gibson - 30 snaps, 19 carries (4 RZ), 4 routes, 0 tgt
McKissic - 32 snaps, 7 carries, 13 routes, 2 tgt
Patterson - 13 snaps, 7 carries, 2 routes, 2 RZ opps
Being a grinder back on a bad offense is not the formula for
Week 11
Gibson - 30 snaps, 19 carries (4 RZ), 4 routes, 0 tgt
McKissic - 32 snaps, 7 carries, 13 routes, 2 tgt
Patterson - 13 snaps, 7 carries, 2 routes, 2 RZ opps
Being a grinder back on a bad offense is not the formula for
any type of elite fantasy production
It's been a very disappointing fantasy season for Gibson, who is the RB25 per game in 2021 🥶
However, I do not believe Gibson was a bad process pick in fantasy drafts
He was in a similar enough situation to Jonathan Taylor, who is the
It's been a very disappointing fantasy season for Gibson, who is the RB25 per game in 2021 🥶
However, I do not believe Gibson was a bad process pick in fantasy drafts
He was in a similar enough situation to Jonathan Taylor, who is the
overall RB1 in fantasy football.
Taylor had Hines, Gibson had McKissic
Both RBs were going into year 2, with potential to increase their pass game workload, though their teammates were both elite pass catching backs
Taylor has become a bell cow in year 2, Gibson has not, but I
Taylor had Hines, Gibson had McKissic
Both RBs were going into year 2, with potential to increase their pass game workload, though their teammates were both elite pass catching backs
Taylor has become a bell cow in year 2, Gibson has not, but I
believe that Gibson having that potential overall RB1 ceiling is why he was a great pick in round 2 of fantasy drafts
I would say Javonte Williams likely will fit that mold in 2022 fantasy drafts.
All-purpose skill set, committee in year 1, likely round 2 pick in fantasy next
I would say Javonte Williams likely will fit that mold in 2022 fantasy drafts.
All-purpose skill set, committee in year 1, likely round 2 pick in fantasy next
year because we know he's capable of being a bell cow.
The type of difference-maker that CAN finish overall RB1 on the season
That's all for tonight, folks
Thanks for following along and enjoy Thanksgiving tomorrow.
Personally, I'm incredibly thankful for all of your
The type of difference-maker that CAN finish overall RB1 on the season
That's all for tonight, folks
Thanks for following along and enjoy Thanksgiving tomorrow.
Personally, I'm incredibly thankful for all of your
support.
It's a grind during the season with incredibly long hours, and the inquisitive comments, thoughtful DMs, player debates, and overall unpredictability of the 2021 NFL season have kept it all very interesting
🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃
It's a grind during the season with incredibly long hours, and the inquisitive comments, thoughtful DMs, player debates, and overall unpredictability of the 2021 NFL season have kept it all very interesting
🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃
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