The BBC claimed "The research comes as many international albatross populations are in trouble."
"Some data from 2017 suggests the number of breeding pairs of the species are a little more than half of what they were in the 1980s."
How awful, right?
The BBC article was based on this research published in The Proceedings of the Royal Society B.
"Environmental variability directly affects the prevalence of divorce in monogamous albatrosses" - as the sea gets warmer because of us, more birds suffer.
Here's their data... On the left you can see the divorce rate over time. And on the right you can see how well temperature correlates with sea surface temperature.
But what *can't* you see?
You can't see this, which is a chart that shows sea surface temperature anomaly over time.
It shows that the seas were getting colder, not warmer, if they were changing temperature at all.
Albatross monogamy may be sensitive to sea temperatures, but not to "climate change".
If they had showed the chart that showed sea surface temperatures around the population study, then they would not have been able to make the link that created the headline.
For clarity - I had to assemble the chart from their data - it's NOT included in either the BBC article nor the article in the journal.
I'm also not wholly convinced by this test of 'correlation', which is used to imply causation.
It seems much denser in the centre and sparse at the sides, which may be the natural way of things, but might be coincidence. Notice that the warmer years 04-06 are on the right.
This sort of thing has been a constant throughout the climate wars.
Here's an old post on the subject of population decline, from the archive...
Some commentators have recently demonstrated their total confusion about what motivates these responses to the policy agenda, NGOs, the BBC and institutional science, including it seems, NGO policy wonks and BBC staffers...
They have drawn complex maps of interactions between people who have unauthorised opinions. They have developed detailed conspiracy theories about who may be behind such rude failures to defer to authority. And they have proposed complex theories about psychological motivations.
Let me offer a much more simple explanation to those people. I make no claim about my work being the final word on any subject. But what I can see is that your work is absolute dogshit, that it drives a political agenda, and indeed is driven by a vast fund from special interests.
In other words...
Physician, heal thyself.
If you don't like your work being criticised, stop producing such easily debunked bullshit -- propaganda passed off as 'science' and 'research'.
As to what I get out of it...
Less than nothing. It has cost me.
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If it were true that 'there aren't enough "climate sceptics" to do anything because sceince'", why does the BBC have fact checkers, and even this turnip "Reporting on climate change disinformation for #DenialFiles"
Compare the completely neutral language that the @BBC use to report dangerous, disruptive, and costly XR protests and claims with its descriptions of people who disagree with the climate agenda and who simply write...
@BBC Damage to property and to thousands of people's lives... "nowt to see here", say the BBC.
But object to wind energy because you have technical expertise in the field... And the BBC will tell everyone that you're a dangerous force, funded by Russian oligarchs, big oil...
Did you notice that, whereas the BBC is keen to 'fact check' critics of green politics & counter the 'misinformation' of 'extremists', it is reluctant to scrutinise the claims of XR.
Who is the greater threat to society?
When did you last see a climate sceptic blocking a road?
Where did those lunatics get their false understanding of the world from, which motivated them to commit acts dangerous acts of property damage and obstruction?
Where were the fact-checkers?
This idiot thinks that this BBC article is criticism and 'fact checking' of XR.
Billionaire Bill also funds weirdo NGOs that produce stories that get uncritically reproduced in the Guardian...
... Which Bill also funds...
And Billionaire Bill also funds BBC Media Action, which produces content for the World Service, which also reproduces the weirdo NGO's conspiracy theories and misinformation uncritically...
They're adamant that "Tactics have pivoted from outright climate denial to attempts to frame climate change through a culture wars lens". But sceptics have been consistent in arguing that the issues are the costs of policies: jobs, money, freedoms &c &c... NOT culture war stuff.
It is the likes of @ISDglobal's framing that has shifted to 'culture wars', because it's a convenient peg on which to hang the issue, and by which to belittle dissenting opinion as a skirmish in a broader social phenomenon, that resonates with their analysis and remit.