Many thanks to Jim @Acosta for hosting me @CNNSitRoom room this evening. I explained why the Omicron variant is of concern but why the sky is not falling, as far as I can tell. Here’s why…
First, Omicron from the reports I've seen so far does not appear to cause more severe disease than alpha or delta, it's not the Andromeda strain.
Second, while the numerous mutations in the spike protein + RBD concerning, we do not know yet if this translates into immune escape. The scientists at our @TexasChildrens Center for Vaccine Development are now looking to see if our recomb protein vaccine will neutralize Omicron
Third, so far variants of concern that are partially resistant to vaccine-induced immunity have not really taken off. For example, B.1.351 the Beta variant (remember that one?) from ZA never accelerated globally. Same with Lambda from South America
Fourth, therefore our worst global COVID variants are those which are highly transmissible, alpha, later outcompeted by delta. So the big question is whether Omicron can outcompete Delta, and we'll know more in the coming week(s).
Fifth, in the meantime the delta variant in unvaccinated or under vaccinated populations is one of the leading killers in America. 41% of the US population remains unvaccinated, including kids and adults who are defiant. Also waning immunity from 2 mRNA doses - get your booster
Sixth, those who are infected and recovered still need to get vaccinated to become more resilient against the variants. So rather than focus on travel restrictions that probably won't do much (because they haven't previously) focus on vaccinating the American people
Finally, remember that Omicron like Alpha/Delta arose from an unvaccinated population. Had G7 leaders committed to vaccinating the African continent we would not be having this discussion. There's not enough mRNA/adeno to vaccinate Global South, but lots of our protein vaccine
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Disastrous measles epidemic in my state of Texas now up to 48 in 4 counties: my chart on what happens when children acquire measles vs a very safe and effective MMR vaccine. From my new paper in @PLOSGPH
Long COVID impacting more than 1 million children: CDC study suggests. Also a reason why it was important to vaccinate kids vs COVID. It wasn’t only about deaths and hospitalizations. Covid vaccines reduce the risk of long Covid. Papers attached abcnews.go.com/Health/long-co…
1/n But remember: the risk of myocarditis after Covid infection is much higher than it is following vaccination, and it’s not just myocarditis it’s also heart attacks and strokes. So Covid vaccination is an important way to protect your heart health
PolitiFact | Yes, there have been placebo-controlled studies on childhood vaccines. Good article by @PolitiFact FYI I recently did a PubMed @NLM_NIH search on placebo-controlled RCT and other trials approved for vaccines. Lists attached politifact.com/factchecks/202…
This is what I found for MMR vaccine, this is not intended to be comprehensive, but to debunk the idea that there are no such trials. You can do this yourself, it’s an open access database and just takes a minute. There are many, in fact:
H5N1 not a reason to be terrified. We know a lot about zoonotic flu, have been preparing for it 20 yrs (unlike when COVID began), + we have candidate vaccines, antivirals, diagnostics
It was actually the leadership of the W Bush Admin that prioritized a national response to zoonotic flu in 2000s, recruited my mentors, like DA Henderson, Maj Gen Phil Russell, Stewart Simonson, WI Gov. Tommy Thompson, Mike Osterholm, Bruce Gellin, Peggy Hamburg, to name some
So we can defeat H5N1, but it will need to be made a national priority
Another reminder: in U.S. we must now expect a regular cadence of pandemic threats: SARS in 2002, SARS-2/Covid in 2019, likely SARS-3; avian flu; Nipah; Ebola 2014, 2019; Zika 2016, soon dengue, YF. So we can’t screw around, the Trump Admin needs serious players for CDC, FDA, NIH
The Trump Administration and the Republican-led Congress must take this seriously. If we’re going to have a chance vs this onslaught of pandemic threats - and they are coming - we cannot waste time with ideologues, lightweights, propagandists, and antivaccine activists
In his first term in office: they missed the entry of the SARS-2 virus into NYC from Southern Europe bc they focused on travel from China, couldn’t organize testing and tracing, lost time and lives bc of fake hydroxychloroquine cures that didn’t work. We can’t do that again