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Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

28 Nov

Here's my complete reading of the Omicron situation -- How scary it is, and what we need to do about it.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/the-omicron-…

(This post is a modern version of my old "coronavirus tweets from the experts" threads from early in the pandemic!)

4 conclusions:

Yes, Omicron is scary.

No, it doesn't mean we're back to March 2020.

Travel bans on African countries won't work.

Variant-specific boosters WILL work, but we need the FDA to approve them and the CDC to recommend them, and we need more manufacturing capacity.

Read 4 tweets

Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

26 Nov

https://twitter.com/AmogusChungsus/status/1464142547278725130

This is an interesting point.

Memes are the new protest songs I guess. But even including memes, there didn't seem to be much cultural output from lefty youth during the Trump Era.

https://twitter.com/AmogusChungsus/status/1464142547278725130

What's really weird to me is that there was basically no good pro-Bernie music or art that I ever saw. With all his fired-up youth support I would have expected a lot more utopian music and art.

A utopian movement needs art of some sort to inspire people. The inspirational power of pie charts and line graphs seems inherently limited.

Read 4 tweets

Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

25 Nov

Thanksgiving pie poll #1:

Which of these 3 pies do you like best?

Thanksgiving pie poll #2: Which of these 3 pies do you like best?

Thanksgiving pie poll #3: Which of these 3 pies do you like best?

Read 6 tweets

Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

23 Nov

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1462885023544078338

Just for fun, here's a thread of responses to a tweet I wrote comparing West Virginia's per capita GDP (PPP) with Shanghai's.

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1462885023544078338

Some people argued that GDP isn't the only measure of quality of life.

They're right, of course, but they generally failed to mention any factors that might make Shanghai more annoying of a place to live!

Some people responded with instinctive contempt for West Virginia.

Read 16 tweets

Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

22 Nov

If you want more trains in America, you won't do it by making driving less attractive. People will revolt and you'll lose to pro-car people at the ballot box. Instead, figure out how to make Americans more enthusiastic about riding trains.

Some of this is psychological. Since Americans aren't used to riding trains, you have to figure out smart ways of getting them to think about changing their lifestyle. This is basically a form of marketing. (For me, this was living in Japan, but obviously that doesn't scale up.)

Some of it is about development. You have to allow dense development near train stations, so more people A) live near train stations, and B) can take the train to shop and eat out.

Read 8 tweets

Noah Smith 🐇

@Noahpinion

21 Nov

Trads: I won't live in the pod

Also trads: I want to go back to the 1950s, when a good middle-class house looked like this

And remember the total fertility rate in the 50s was 4, so this house would have to fit a family of 6 😫

Floor space per person has more than tripled since the 1950s.

yesiamcheap.com/cost-of-living…

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