I'm so glad to finally be releasing my new book, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order, today. (1/6)
A few years ago, I observed that we were experiencing things that had never happened in my lifetime but had happened many times before in history. (2/6)
As a global macro investor, I knew that I wouldn’t be able to understand and navigate what’s happening today—much less what may come—without having a deep understanding of the cause-effect relationships of economic events that are embedded in the patterns of history. (3/6)
So I undertook a study of the rise and fall of major empires and their markets over the last 500 years. I converted this study into a book to share what I learned. (4/6)
The book provides objective measures that show the forces that have driven the successes and failures of countries throughout history. (5/6)
Most importantly, it explains where we are & where we're going, describes the possibilities ahead, & provides practical advice for navigating what lies ahead. My hope is that you’ll find the study as helpful as I have.
You can buy it here or in stores: amazon.com/Changing-World… 6/6
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Such orders have always existed at every level—within families, companies, cities, states, and countries, as well as internationally. They determine who has what powers and how decisions are made, including how wealth and political control are divided. (1/4)
What they are and how they run is a function of human nature, culture, and circumstances. The US now has a certain set of existing political conditions within its democratic system...(2/4)
...but both the conditions and the system are ever-changing because of the pressure of timeless and universal forces. (3/4)
Sometimes people mistake generosity for not being fair.
For example, when Bridgewater arranged for a bus to shuttle people who live in New York City to our Connecticut office... (1/4)
... one employee asked, "It seems it would be fair to also compensate those of us who spend hundreds of dollars on gas each month, particularly in light of the NYC bus."
This line of thinking mistakes an act of generosity for some for an entitlement for everyone. (2/4)
Fairness & generosity are different things. Generosity is good and entitlement is bad, & they can easily be confused, so be crystal clear on which is which. Decisions should be based on what you believe is warranted in a particular circumstance & what will be most appreciated.3/4
For example, my dad and most of his peers who went through the Great Depression and World War II never imagined the post-war economic boom because it was more different from than similar to what they had experienced. (1/4)
I understand why, given those experiences, they wouldn’t think of borrowing and putting their hard-earned savings into the stock market, so it’s understandable that they missed out on profiting from the boom. (2/4)
Similarly, I understand why, decades later, those who only experienced debt-financed booms and never experienced depression and war would borrow a lot in order to speculate and would consider depression and war implausible. (3/4)
Wow! 20,000 good people who were eager to be charitable grabbed $50 charity gift cards and experienced what it’s like to receive this uniquely meaningful gift. (1/7)
By doing so, they discovered how great it would be to give this gift to others which will lead to many more millions of dollars going to charity and many more thousands of people experiencing this type of gifting and receiving. (2/7)
Because this was so hot you might have been closed out. Don’t worry. I will do this again before the holiday with several of my charitable friends who have generously agreed to contribute to another round of cards. (3/7)
I want to give you and others a $50 donation to your favorite charities.
Here’s why. (1/3)
For 10+ years, I’ve been giving friends, family, and colleagues a unique type of holiday gift: donations to their favorite charities. I love it and the recipients love it because it gets money to those who need it most, eliminates wasteful giving, & spreads holiday spirit. (2/3)
There are no strings attached to this giveaway, so grab your $50 gift to give to your favorite charities and consider this uniquely meaningful gift for those on your own holiday shopping list.
Being considerate means allowing other people to mostly do what they want, so long as it is consistent with our principles, policies, and the law. It also means being willing to put others ahead of your own desires. (1/5)
If the people on both sides of an argument approach their disagreements in this way, we will have many fewer disputes about who is offending whom.
Still, judgments will have to be made and lines will have to be drawn and set down in policies. (2/5)
This is the overarching guideline: It is more inconsiderate to prevent people from exercising their rights because you are offended by them than it is for them to do whatever it is that offends you. (3/5)