🧵I reported a couple weeks ago that diplomats interacting with the Iranian team ahead of the nuclear deal revival talks that resumed in Vienna yesterday said there was still a lack of clarity about what the Iranian position was. diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio… 1/ Image
“1 key question where there is still uncertainty, an official from a current party to the deal described, is whether Iran expects to pick up the talks where they left off after 6 rounds of talks in June, start talks from scratch, or something in between.
diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio…
“Another diplomat from another nation in the deal, speaking not for attribution, also suggested that, even after recent consultations, he is still unclear what the Iranian position is.” 3/ diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio…
“In a way, the paradox is, the Iranians say, ‘we want to go back to the JCPOA’ and ‘we want guarantees’... that are more than the JCPOA, the first official said. So they need to clarify this contradiction, he said.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio…
Fast forward two weeks to now, and it seems this is still very much the question the European diplomats here are raising.
EU coordinator Mora used somewhat ambiguous language to address the issue yest. “The Iranian delegation..have accepted that the work done over the six first rounds is a good basis to build our work ahead, so no point in going back to… April. No, we will be building on the work
“done in the six previous rounds, and at the same time we will be of course incorporating the new political sensibilities of the new Iranian administration.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
The Iranians themselves seem to want the all you can eat buffet option, of recognizing the work done in the past rounds (presumably including the roughly 1000 designations tentatively identified as could be lifted) but reserving right to revise. diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…

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More from @lrozen

30 Nov
It is somewhat extraordinary the amount of recent Israeli rethinking out loud their past advocacy against the Iran deal and how sabotage ops v Iran may have backfired—all while Israel officials, meanwhile, still going around asking E3 etc for a credible military threat.
the latter also pretty delusional
Read 6 tweets
29 Nov
New from me: 'Sense of urgency' as Iran talks resume in Vienna diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
US official seemingly downplayed report on Israel alleging Iran taking steps to possibly prepare for higher level enrichment, saying it's sticking to its diplomatic course
diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
"We will not comment on intelligence matters," senior admin official. "But it's no secret that the former administration's decision to abandon the JCPOA led to a dramatic and unprecedented acceleration of Iran's nuclear program." diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
Read 7 tweets
29 Nov
Video of EU coordinator Mora comments after Joint Commission meeting today. Important thing, now, we are engaging again. Says the working group on sanctions lifting will be meeting tomorrow morning. the other working group should meet the next day.
he also said the meeting today took a long time because Iran has a new head of delegation and he wanted to get their points across.
Mora, asked about the work of the past six rounds, offers a somewhat indirect response: says the Iran delegation represents a new admin in Tehran with new political sensilibites. accepted work done over past six months is a good basis to build on for the work ahead.
Read 9 tweets
28 Nov
🧵 Oped by new Iran nuclear negotiator Ali Bagheri Kani ahead of resumed nuclear talks in Vienna tomorrow, suggesting Iran position hardening. “…To ensure any forthcoming agreement is ironclad, the west needs to pay a price for having failed to uphold its part of the bargain….”
“As in any business, a deal is a deal, and breaking it has consequences.

“Iran remains committed to the process and we will adhere to our commitments. From our perspective, the principle of ‘mutual compliance’ cannot form a proper base for negotiations since it was the US gov’t
“which unilaterally left the deal. The US should therefore demonstrate that it is serious this time, and that it possesses the necessary competence to fulfil its commitments. …
Read 6 tweets
28 Nov
just to note, much of Israeli national security establishment recently on record to acknowledge trump leaving jcpoa was actually a catastrophe & got only worse outcomes. while current Israel MFA senior officials going around returning to deal would be bad & an interim deal bad.
have not taken the latter too seriously because, of the Iranian side, neither seems imminent.
but there seems to be a true strategic incoherence on the Israeli side.
Read 14 tweets
28 Nov
Jackson, Jackson….buzz on Peter Jackson’s Beatles documentary reminded me of wandering, in Paris, into a British retrospective featuring a 1970s movie with Glenda Jackson, Sunday Bloody Sunday. rewatching. there is a small child smoking pot.
Everyone in the film, from 1971, on the verge of a nervous breakdown.
Looking over photos of what looks like a KKK demonstration, the young artist character is asking the middle aged Peter Finch doctor character about being Jewish.
Read 4 tweets

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