This is "big news" but not really that big.

It confirms the shutdown of the loophole which allowed Chinese business to list overseas without CSRC approval. It does not, for the moment, do anything to VIEs.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
It is important to remember that VIEs like BABA may have "opaque" ownership structure, but that is not necessarily a defining characteristic.

The earliest Chinese companies listed on the NYSE like Sina and China Mobile were themselves VIEs.
Further, VIEs have recently listed in HK and this summer saw the mainland's first listing of a VIE ownership company (after the concept was first 'explicitly' endorsed in 2018 with the advent of China Depositary Receipts).

The 2024 Problem looms large. HKEX is gonna be busy.
And now the CSRC has come out to say that the report is not true.

Maybe.

In any case, it has been many months since a US IPO of a Chinese VIE, and it is pretty clear there won't be any until "things are fixed", and there is probably fire somewhere under the smoke. Image
I still think HKEX will be super busy for the next 2+ years.

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More from @bauhiniacapital

3 Dec
Just a note on this "Guangdong Govt Work Group" which is apparently being dispatched to Evergrande... at Evergrande's request... 👀

Evergrande is, simply put, two companies.

The offshore parent with the USD bonds (or most of them) made a filing at 8pm HKT.
There is a technicality on a repayment of an already overdue but extended bond guarantee (for US$260mm) and $82+mm of coupons due 6 Nov, with 30d grace period now DEFINITELY due Monday.

That OFFSHORE parent has some $20bn or so of debt it has to pay. The assets which underlie that debt are holdings in listed subs, some unlisted cos, some debt extended to affiliates, cash borrowed from affiliates, and 60% of the ONSHORE parent which runs the property developer.
Read 20 tweets
28 Nov
Did anyone notice Evergrande Auto did a Friday night drop?

The language is a little imprecise but they 'gave back' undeveloped land to the govt, in return for cash, which was partially "confiscated" by the govt (to pay for other land, etc).

www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listc…
The language in the Chinese media is not dissimilar to the language used in describing how the Guangzhou Govt "took back" the land under the Guangzhou Stadium last week. Possible that Evergrande/Hengda gets an influx of some cash (the original stadium land price was RMB 6.8bn).
I assume the stadium and team are owned by Hengda (onshore) so any monies refunded would only be available onshore.
cc @discountinvestr @jackycwong
Read 4 tweets
27 Nov
If there were anyone out there who wanted to install/attach a tonearm onto a Technics SL1200 or SL1210 turntable... because for whatever odd reason they were shipped separately...

Be careful.

As consumer audio objects not meant to be dismantled, they require a little care.
Assuming the thing has been shipped to you correctly (and most pros are OK at this), and it needed to be broken down (which it usually does not, if packed correctly, but would ultimately be safer)...

then, the install is relatively straightforward.

Underneath the turntable
Remove the platter so it shows a "naked" frame with a hole where the tonearm goes.

Then flip it over, putting the tonearm hole at the upper left, and put stacks of books under the upper right, lower right, and mid-lower left, leaving the hole for the tonearm, and the space
Read 34 tweets
26 Nov
This story had a more interesting path than conclusion.

SBI bought 5% of Shinsei in 2019. They went to Shinsei and said "SBI will buy a big chunk, use Shinsei as the centrepiece for our plans, then Shinsei will slowly buy back all the minority-held shares at a low PBR, then...
we'll squeeze out the rest using Article 235 of the Companies Act, and then we'll buy back the govt held shares at a much higher price."

Shinsei rejected that as unfair to its shareholders.

SBI in 2020 got up to near 8-9% of shares out.

In Feb 2021, Shinsei signed a deal w/
Monex Securities (SBI's online broker rival) to take over Shinsei Securities and provide brokerage services to Shinsei bank customers. SBI had proposed similar, and SBI head Kitao-san got POed and bought another 10% of voting rights in 2 months.
Read 11 tweets
24 Nov
This has become a lot of fun.
First there was a poison pill proposal. Then a fight. Then the govt got involved. Then Shinsei called off the fight at the last minute (the poison pill EGM was meant for tomorrow).

Now the TOB is "clean" but if SBI gets its 58.2mm shares (27.68%
of voting rights), then afterwards it will be fun/complicated/messy.

It was knowable from the start but few seem to have thought it through.

The Tender going through as designed creates real problems.

Toys will fly out of prams.
It can be partly resolved through a technical action, and better resolved with some astute structuring, but it is not as clean as it should be.

Without TOO much hassle, it is resolvable.

But it is technical, and helpfully for all probably involves more accretion.
Read 4 tweets
22 Nov
Why are so many people selling subscriptions?

Why are so many people working in finance?

The difference? One group of people works for and gets paid by a single entity. The other group gets paid by lots of people.
Interestingly, a fund - regular or HF - often has many customers who pay a "subscription fee" by investing in the newsletter writer's ideas.

Of course, those particular newsletter writers front-run their own newsletters by investing realtime but only releasing newsletters
once a month, at best.

Those newsletter businesses have a higher cost base so they charge more, and they also often charge performance fees - sometimes for alpha, often for beta.

But there are LOTS of subscription-based financial services out there.
Read 13 tweets

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