Share this page!

David Weigel Profile picture
Twitter logo
1 Dec, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Very good chance of Roe being overturned in June, and decent chance of a SCOTUS opening right after that with Biden nominating a Black female judge.
Both of those would be huge events that occupy lots of news cycles - fate of Roe with bigger long-term effects, obviously.

It's stuff like this that makes me think 2024 speculation *in 2021* is crazy and (mostly) a waste of time.
(It's not a waste of time to track what party operatives are saying and who's working for who, but miss me with the "could Kamala be replaced by Buttigieg" stuff)
Anyway, I have no special SCOTUS knowledge, but the CW (and what Dems would prefer to happen) is Breyer peacing out next summer knowing that Ketanji Brown Jackson is on deck.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with David Weigel

David Weigel Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @daveweigel

David Weigel Profile picture
7 Nov
Made my share of mistakes online, but my reaction to the Steele/dossier stuff was not one of them.
Searched what I tweeted in 2017 about "dossier" and lol
I think at the time I was noticing MSNBC chyrons about this and saying "oh come on."
Read 4 tweets
David Weigel Profile picture
2 Nov
The primary in #FL20 so far: Early mail votes from Broward County (about 3/4 of population) are 29% Holness, 21% Cherfilus-McCormick, Thurston and Sharief at 19%.

Promising for Cherfilus-McCormick, only one of them who isn't a Broward elected. enr.electionsfl.org/BRO/3098/Summa…
Omari Hardy, a young rising star who hoped to be the AOC of Florida, is a non-factor: 3% of the Broward vote. sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/…
And sure enough, Cherfilus-McCormick leads the PBC early vote: 29% with Holness getting just 7%.

Had Hastings retired in 2020, he could have anointed a successor. But he stuck around, died, and left an opening for Cherfilus-McCormick, who ran against him twice.
Read 6 tweets
David Weigel Profile picture
1 Nov
This will be a Take if McAuliffe loses, though the race is so clearly about the Loudoun County school board and SOL test scores, not anything happening in DC. McAuliffe begged in vain for something to get passed but most voters are bored and not watching.
If you're on Politics Twitter you're more politically engaged than most people and you got sick of the BBB/ BIF drama weeks ago. Imagine how normal people view it! It's impenetrable, they just want to pay less for gas.
I think this take comes from the memory of 2009-2010: Dems lose Scott Brown's seat and panic. But that was a race largely fought over whether voters wanted to break the Dem supermajority with an R vote. And Dems ended up passing their bill anyway.
Read 4 tweets
David Weigel Profile picture
13 Oct
McAuliffe talking to supporters before he votes. “Donald Trump wants to use this election to get up off the mat and run in 2024.” Campaign has planted YOUNGKIN = TRUMP signs around the site. Image
Youngkin at a “Parents for Youngkin” rally at a Culpeper restaurants. “When Virginia parents make a statement in this election, it will be heard in every school board across the country.” Image
Youngkin says that McAuliffe called Biden to get the DOJ to announce that it was investigating harassment of school board members. The DOJ move has angered conservatives but the link to McAuliffe is bogus vpm.org/news/articles/…
Read 4 tweets
David Weigel Profile picture
7 Oct
The idea that the DOJ is going after "moms protesting Critical Race Theory," as JD Vance puts it, is based on a DOJ memo that doesn't mention CRT. Feels like there's been a politically convenient conflation between CRT protests and anti-max/vax protests. justice.gov/ag/page/file/1…
Obviously everybody should be skeptical when the DOJ says "we're going to investigate this," but like, check back in a month and see who's gotten a visit from the feds.
Keep in mind, conservatives are reacting to what they see as an overly permissive law enforcement response to left-wing protests, most recently the bird-dogging of Sinema etc. The feds aren't rounding up those protesters - but they're not rounding up anti-CRT parents, either.
Read 4 tweets
David Weigel Profile picture
7 Oct
Gmail's spam filter is very good, and obscures how much junk is still flying at us all the time. You ever check your spam folder? Mine averages one piece of junk mail per minute, not counting the stuff that sneaks through to main account by imitating some insurance quote.
It's an interesting problem - it's like society just agreed to sweep stuff under a bed or rug instead of every dealing with it. We just take for granted that scammers will bombard us with emails and calls constantly and we can maybe find a button that conceals it.
Good @Jon_Christian story about this from 2017. There was a time when a spammer could be identified and put on trial and now we just say "ah, dang" as the crap piles up. theoutline.com/post/2498/spam…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @daveweigel has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @daveweigel!

Read all threads by @daveweigel

:(