I know I've already said it, but this is genuinely HUGE NEWS and shows that the writing is on the wall for new oil and gas developments in the UK, starting with #Cambo. These developments can't be defended on climate OR economic grounds.
There's no room for new oil and gas developments in a liveable climate and a world where we limit warming to 1.5Β°C. The science couldn't be clearer. The International Energy Agency has said it, the UN has said it, @PriceofOil and others have been saying it for years.
The economics of these projects are also hopeless. The vast majority of oil and gas reserves will be stranded assets in a 1.5Β°C world. @CarbonBubble and others have put that beyond doubt.
Govts and oil & gas companies will--and are being--held accountable by people all over the world who know exactly who is to blame for the climate crisis and the unavoidable implication of all those promises to preserve our climate: we have to keep fossil fuels in the ground.
And countries like the UK--who are one of the biggest historical emitters of greenhouse gases, who have the resources to shift away from oil & gas, and who owe a huge climate debt to the rest of the world--have to move first.
This Government has failed to heed that and is now the last one in the room--after the scientists, after the experts, after the tens of thousands of people across the UK who have voiced their opposition to Cambo, and now after Shell--who thinks there's a future in oil & gas.
And just to be clear, Shell has also cited "potential delays" as a reason for pulling out. If by "delays", it means facing grassroots resistance, legal pushback, and a tonne of counter-arguments every step of the way it's right about that!
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Itβs (way past) time to scrutinise claims that oil from the #Cambo oil field will be used to meet domestic energy demand in the UK.
In short, it is overwhelmingly likely to be exported.
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Oil from Cambo is a heavy crude--sticky gloopy stuff--that's in v low demand. It's not high grade which is partly why it's taken 20+ yrs for the licence-holders to extract it. UK refineries don't buy a lot of Cambo-type oil & aren't set up to turn large amounts into anything...
...domestically useful. BUT let's be generous and assume that Cambo has the same chance as any other domestically-extracted oil of ending up in the UK supply chain.
Good morning! For those who remain unmoved by the decision yesterday against Shell because Shell can & almost certainly will appeal, I have a great story for you about how that worked out for the Dutch govt when it appealed in @urgenda's climate case... ft.com/content/340501β¦
Spoiler: it ended with emphatic judgments in the Hague Court of Appeal & Supreme Court upholding & expanding on earlier judgments, providing even more great fodder for those of us working to hold big polluters accountable for the climate crisis
Also, regardless of what happens next in court, the consequences of this case for the fossil fuel industry will be systemic and immediate. It will inspire other cases around the world, just as @urgenda did, & escalate the perception of risk among investors, β¬οΈ cost of capital...
An absolutely historic decision from the Hague District Court against #Shell. Aside from the obvious headline emissions reduction order (45% by 2030 compared to 2019) there is so much to unpack in the court's reasoning. A few (personal) highlights π theguardian.com/business/2021/β¦
Much like its decision in the climate case brought by @urgenda against the Dutch gov't, the court found that human rights obligations aren't directly enforceable against the defendant, but that they can be used to determine the standard of care that the defendant owes
In this instance, it's significant that the Court drew on voluntary or soft law principles like the UN Guiding Principles on Business & Human Rights to inform its expectations of Shell's conduct. A very welcome way to give those soft standards some real teeth.