Nykaa is in the news today. Our analysis:

“Makeup is not a mask that covers up your beauty; it’s a weapon that helps you express who you are from the inside”. Michelle Phan

Looking good is a basic need of any human being – it is a bit more pronounced in the fairer sex (1/n)
Beauty, personal care and fashion products are an age old industry which would also be evergreen. We may shift from offline to online or from chemical based to natural/vegan etc but the need would always be there (2/n)
Current size of the online beauty & personal care (BPC) market in India is estimated to be around USD 1.6 bn. Expected growth rate could be north of 25% (3/n)
Enter Nykaa! Omni channel player focused on BPC products. Market leader, with market share of ~40%, in online BPC space. MOAT - Content led business model with focus on curation – 1,300 influencers, YouTube channel with 1.3mn hours of content and 1.1mn subs (4/n)
Stable operating metrics – please see article for details.

Stock price of Nykaa has almost doubled since the IPO in No 2021. Market, being flushed with liquidity, has been looking for a good start-up growth story. And Nykaa is a profitable one – fits the bill perfectly (5/n)
Company trades at Price to Revenue (annualized Q2 FY22) ratio of 30x in comparison to other Ulta (international peer) at 2.5x and VCs have invested in other unlisted Indian players at 8x with downside protection like liquidation preference (6/n)
On an overall basis, business is good and cash flow positive but is significantly overvalued at the current levels. Do let us know your thoughts. Will you invest?

socinvest.app/post/nykaa-bea… (7/n)

@saurabhk_tweets #Nykaa @threadreaderapp
Disclaimer - Analysis is purely for educational purpose and not to be construed as an investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before acting on it (n/n)
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More from @SocInvestApp

10 Dec
(1/n) We had written about Vaibav Global last week. Stock jumped 10% yesterday. Is it good stock to buy? Let's dig deeper for insights in this thread.

Company is an online retailer of low cost fashion jewelry selling primarily through TV and the internet in the US & UK.
(2/n) Vaibhav Global has excellent direct sourcing network (30+ countries; esp from India, China, Thailand & Indonesia) that allows it to competitively price products. Company owns manufacturing facilities that helps in manufacturing high quality products at best possible prices.
(3/n) Teleshopping is an oligopolistic market with QVC controlling 93% of market. Company did about 5 lac+(0.5 million) unique customers in FY21 (compare this with QVC that has ~22 million active customers) shows that there is huge potential to increase consumer base.
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