Dramatic shift in Amazon's influence:

The company is raising wages for workers across U.S.

To compete, to hang to talent, other companies — family-owned, but also giants — are also raising wages.

Important new insight in this WSJ story.

(Free below.)
wsj.com/articles/amazo…
2/ Amazon has had a reputation for decades as a challenging place to work — reasonable, if not great, wages.

But a relentless work pace, monitored, logged, and then judged employee by employee.

But this WSJ analysis says 'The Amazon Effect' is turning positive.
3/ Here's the thing:

If Amazon (#2 largest employer in country) raises wages, other business, including small business, will squawk that they can't compete with the behemoth.

But if Amazon corrodes wages — do those employers pay up above AMZN?

Not typically. Pay down, in fact.
4/ You can't both criticize companies like Amazon & Walmart for paying poorly, then criticize them for paying well.

But that's what will happen.

This WSJ analysis—1st of its kind I've seen—is big news & good news.

Happy to see a big employer set a *high* workplace standard.
5/ I wrote 'The Wal-Mart Effect,' about the wide impact of Walmart on every corner of the U.S. economy.

At that time, I calculated that WMT could raise the price of every item it sold by 1¢ — one penny — and dramatically change its own profitability, without hurting shoppers.
6/ It would have been hard to do that in 7,000 US stores, across 100,000 items.

But you know who could raise the price of every item it sells by 1¢, & put all that money into wages—and customers wouldn't notice?

And do it from a keyboard?

Yeah: Amazon.

amazon.com/Wal-Mart-Effec…
7/ American frontline workers should make $16 to $20 an hour.

$16 an hour is $33,000 a year. That's basic wages.

You know what other huge American company dramatically raised wages for workers?

Ford, under Henry Ford. In 1914, he doubled his factory workers' wages.
8/ Henry Ford (a complicated character) thought his workers should be able to earn enough to buy the Model T cars they were making.

At $2.34 a day, they didn't. At $5 a day, they did.

projects.leadr.msu.edu/makingmodernus…
9/ One of the big points I try to make in 'The Wal-Mart Effect' is that cheap prices ultimately hurt the people they are ostensibly helping.

Crappy blue jeans for $19.99 are a bad deal compared to long-lasting blue jeans at $29.99—for precisely the people for whom $10 matters.
10/ The question WSJ editorial writers & CNBC commentators always ask, with sober concern:

Can we *afford* to pay American workers $20 an hour to staff the drive through & put our stuff in Amazon boxes?

Not only can we.

As we've discovered, we can't afford not to.
11/ If we can't afford to pay our fellow Americans who take care of us every day a reasonable wage, we've organized our economy, and our country, in a completely unsustainable way.

And also — by the by — in a morally unsustainable way.

Read:
wsj.com/articles/amazo…
12/ Hey, 1 more thing:

The WSJ story & analysis looking at Amazon's positive impact on wage rates (and the impact that has on other employers)—that's by:

Sebastian Herrara
@SebasAHerrera

Hard work. Nuanced analysis. Real voices.
#JournalismMatters

wsj.com/articles/amazo…

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More from @cfishman

17 Nov
Just like Walmart yesterday, Target today reported big sales & strong shoppers—& predicted more for Xmas.

• Comparable sales: +12.7% on top of last year's 20.7%

• Digital sales: +28.9% on top of last year's 154.5% (!)

Target is fun & it's rollicking.

It's also small v. WMT.
2/ Even with the best year in its recent history, here's how Target looks:

2021 total sales will be ~ $110 billion (assuming a big holiday season).

Walmart did $141 billion in business *last quarter.*

Walmart sold more from Aug 1 through Oct 11 than Target will sell all year.
3/ The business media (inclu me) almost always talks about Walmart & Target—& Amazon, of course—as peers.

Remarkably, Walmart & Target were started the very same year (also the year Kmart was started).

1st store:

• WMT: July 2, 1962
• TGT: May 1, 1962
• Kmart: Jan 25, 1962
Read 12 tweets
16 Nov
Walmart's 3rd quarter earnings call is crazy.

100% positive. Not a single negative sentence in an hour.

Labor shortage?

WMT hired 200,000 new workers the last 3 months—2,200 people a day, 150,000 of them in stores.

Supply chain jam? WMT's inventory up 11.5%—stocked for Xmas.
2/ The financials are exuberant, too. Will get to those in a bit (US same store sales +9.2%).

But COVID? Mentioned once, in passing. In an hour.

Inflation? Barely mentioned—except as bringing customers to WMT.

The phrase of the hour was 'strong consumer'—used a dozen times.
3/ If you just assessed the US economy based on Walmart's performance in the last 92 days, and based on what their senior executives just said in an hour talking to investment analysts — the US economy is strong, even joyful.

'Customers are celebrating,' said one WMT executive.
Read 11 tweets
16 Nov
This is crazy:

Russia conducted an anti-satellite test today (~2 am ET), destroying one of its own satellites & creating 1,500 pieces of ‘trackable’ orbital debris.

Which immediately endangered the 7 astros on the space station, who had to take shelter. nytimes.com/2021/11/15/sci…
2/ Where do you take shelter on the space station?

You go strap into your return spaceships & power up.

Americans to SpaceX Dragon, Russians to Soyuz.

But first you seal off each compartment in turn w/airtight hatches, so one puncture doesn’t destroy the whole station.

Crazy.
3/ In 20 years, ISS hasn’t had that many crises. This is the 2nd this year caused by Russian carelessness or failure.

NASA theorizes that Russian space agency was not notified of the test.

NASA chief Bill Nelson & SecState Antony Blinken both denounce the test.

Russia silent.
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vermont, said today he would not seek a 6th term.

He was first elected to the US Senate in 1974.

I like & respect Leahy.

But that is frankly ridiculous.

I'm 60.

1974 was the year I was bar mitzvah'd.

In 1974, even touch-tone phones were a novelty.

—>
2/ I know all the arguments for & against term limits.

But the idea that a single person (a man — VT has never sent a woman to either the US House or Senate) could hold one of a state's Senate seats from age 34 to age 81, across decades of change, seems wrong.

Undemocratic.
3/ The top 10 longest serving Senators were all in the Senate for 40 years or more.

Not much drop-off after that.

The top 20 longest serving Senators were all in the Senate for 36 years or more.

That's essentially a whole work life in the Senate.
senate.gov/senators/longe…
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Janet Yellen on US inflation, in a live interview Wednesday morning from the UN climate conference in Glasgow:

US inflation will return to 'more normal levels' in the 'second half of next year.'

So 'transitory inflation' will have lasted about 18 months — at roughly 5%.
2/ Two things are important:

• Ordinary Americans can handle 5% inflation of their milk & eggs, their juice & bread & chicken breasts. A $50 grocery bill is $52.50.

• The key is fuel inflation.
Winter heating bills across the US are going to soar—not 5%, more like 30%.
3/ The Energy Information Administration (EIA) says those who rely on natural gas will see a 30% increase. Heating oil users will see an increase of 40%.

That's the increase in the price of the fuel — how much the winter costs, of course, depends on how cold it gets.
Read 6 tweets
30 Oct
Univ of Florida bars faculty from testifying in voting rights lawsuit against DeSantis administration.

This is the opposite of the behavior a great public university.

It’s the opposite of the very point of tenure.

Story thin on who at UF decided this… washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/10…
2/ Legal experts cannot find a single example of a university barring faculty testimony.

‘The university does not exist to protect the governor. It exists to serve the public.…Nothing could be more to the public good than a professor telling the truth to the public under oath.’
3/ This @NYT story is much more detailed.

UF Dean of Arts & Sciences David Richardson made the call, it appears.

At UF since 1983.

Appalling.

The good news is that lawyers hate being told not to talk. Support will pour in for the voting case.

nytimes.com/2021/10/29/us/…
Read 4 tweets

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