Dave Keating Profile picture
Dec 9, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
#Macron will in a speech today present ambitious plans for the French 🇪🇺 presidency starting 1 Jan that go far beyond the remit of what a presidency is supposed to do, which is only agenda-setting.

Europhiles may like it when its Macron, but they didn't when it was Janša(🧵1/10)
Though they're often referred to as the "rotating EU presidency" these 6-month stints are actually just the presidency of the Council of the EU, the upper house of the EU legislature in which ministers take votes on legislative proposals. (🧵2/10)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presidenc…
In French the word 'president' is often used when in English we might say 'chairperson' (hence the confusion over the role of the President of the European Parliament, who is more like a Speaker of the House in the UK). 🧵 (3/10)
The job of the presidency is to set the agenda for ministers' meetings in those 6 months, and choose which legislation *already proposed by Commission* should be prioritised.

So for instance, the energy minister from presidency country chairs meetings of the 27 energy ministers.
Many in Brussels have long felt that the rotating presidency is an outdated relic that only causes confusion for citizens and the rest of the world.

There was a proposal to scrap it entirely when the EU constitution (which became the Lisbon Treaty) was being developed. (🧵5/10)
In the end, they scrapped it only for the European Council, the configuration of prime ministers and presidents.

European Council got a full-time person president in 2009, replacing the country president. But for Council of Ministers, the rotating country presidency remained.
So technically the PM or president of the country that holds the rotating presidency shouldn't have any leadership role in the European Council (which sets general EU direction) any more.

Yet they are usually invited onto podium with Commission & Council presidents after summits
But during the Slovenian presidency, the antics of Slovenian Prime Minister Janez Janša became so intolerable that this practice was altered.

EU leadership (rightly) pointed out that he has no formal role in the presidency and he was ignored. (🧵8/10)
But can you imagine them ignoring Macron? Impossible.

This is how broken the whole rotating presidency system is. People are happy for Macron to pretend to be 'president of the EU' for 6 months, but we're told to ignore PMs of smaller countries when they have the presidency.
It also creates the false impression, both among citizens and third country diplomats, that France is 'in charge of' the EU next year.

That is absolutely not the case. But Macron's speech today might give that impression.

Something to bear in mind. (🧵10/10)

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More from @DaveKeating

Jun 19
Breaking: The European Commission is opening an 'excessive deficit procedure' against France for the first time.

This should have happened long ago, but France's power in Brussels for years made the Commission look away.

How will this impact the 🇫🇷legislative election? Image
Procedure also started for 🇮🇹🇵🇱🇧🇪🇭🇺🇲🇹🇸🇰

Romania currently the only country already under the excessive deficit procedure. Commission announces it will stay there.

The rules are meant to prevent a repeat of the 💶debt crisis, making countries tighten fiscal policy or face fines.
🇫🇷 had the 2nd-highest deficit (5.5%) in🇪🇺 in 2023, after 🇮🇹

For years EU officials openly acknowledged that France was getting special treatment, with 🇪🇺President Juncker famously explaining why France wasn't being put under the procedure by saying: "Parce que c'est la France"
Read 6 tweets
Apr 25
🇫🇷President @EmmanuelMacron's much previewed speech on the future of 🇪🇺 is about to start.

Watch live with English interpretation here: youtube.com/live/tkDUSYHoK…
#Macron opens his speech by saying this. isa follow-up to his speech about Europe 7 years ago. He says he wanted to see more progress by now.

But he notes: "European sovereignty - a term that may have seemed very French 7 years ago" has now been embraced.
Macron says the EU has weathered several crises over the past 7 years, including #Brexit (plus Covid & Russia).

But he says the union remained strong in the face of these challenges, and as a result, nobody speaks about leaving the union anymore.
Read 15 tweets
Aug 3, 2023
Allow me a little #CrossBorderRail rant.

Barcelona-Brussels should be an appealing train route. At 9 hours it's a little over the cusp of what people are willing to endure, but it's doable.

However the lack of cooperation between 🇫🇷&🇪🇸 makes it very difficult. 🧵1/6 Image
There are 2 ways to do it in 9 hours:

🚄1: 🇫🇷TGV BCN-PAR, 🇧🇪Thalys PAR-BXL €288
🚄2: 🇪🇸Renfe BCN-Lyon, 🇫🇷TGV Lyon-BXL €181

The problem with the first option is you need to take the metro between train stations in Paris to switch, whereas in Lyon it's the same station

But...
🇪🇸Renfe & 🇫🇷SNCF don't have a ticketing agreement, so there's no way to get the preferred option as a combined ticket.

It doesn't show up on either website (Renfe won't even let you choose Brussels as a destination). Even 3rd party sites like SNCB Intl & Trainline can't show it
Read 10 tweets
May 9, 2023
Tonight is the first semi-final for #Eurovision2023 in 🇬🇧Liverpool.

It's happening on the 25th anniversary of the 1998 contest hosted in 🇬🇧Birmingham, a transformative year that marks the boundary between the 'old' and 'new' Eurovision.
In 1998 Dana International became the first trans (and 1st openly LGBT) person to win the ESC.

Following the '98 contest it was decided to make two major rule changes: countries no longer had to sing in their national language and they weren't required to use an orchestra.
Those changes transformed what had become a stale archaic-looking contest in '90s into the explosion of spectacle in 2000s - helped also by the entry of enthusiastic Eastern European countries unable to participate during Communism.

Birmingham was the last show of the old guard.
Read 6 tweets
May 8, 2023
It's #Eurovision week!

Yesterday the delegations arrived on the #TurquoiseCarpet, and tomorrow night the first semi-final will air around the world.

As promised, here's a thread about this year's acts. 🧵1/17
youtube.com/live/2M0DtRFx3…
The bookies have 🇸🇪Sweden as the favourite to win, followed by 🇫🇮Finland and 🇫🇷France.

But Sweden's odds have gotten worse since rehearsals started.

The singer, #Loreen, already won for 🇸🇪 in 2012 with Euphoria, a global hit hitting number one on the charts in 21 countries. Image
Among fans, I keep hearing "I predict Sweden will win but I don't want it to win". People like the song but think a 🇸🇪win is too predictable. 🇸🇪has dominated the contest for 2 decades.

If 🇸🇪win again they'll match Ireland's record for most wins - 7.
Read 17 tweets
May 6, 2023
As the 🇬🇧#Coronation takes place in London, here's some fun facts about monarchies around the world.

I find Americans have the mistaken impression that Europe has many monarchies. In fact, excluding microstates, there are just 8 - and only 3 have been there more than 200 years. Image
There are actually more monarchies in Asia than in Europe.

The world has 16 kings, and only one queen (🇩🇰). Then there are 4 princes, 3 sultans, 2 emirs, 1 pope and 1 emperor (🇯🇵). Image
There are 4 types of monarchies remaining in Europe:

🇬🇧British
🇸🇪🇩🇰🇳🇴Scandinavian
🇳🇱🇧🇪🇱🇺Low Countries
🇪🇸Iberian
🇻🇦🇱🇮🇦🇩🇲🇨Microstates

This map shows when other European monarchies ended (most give the year of national independence from a imperial monarchy) Image
Read 10 tweets

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