Most readers here recognize that one of the major reasons for the superiority of NI>vax is the presence of IgA antibodies. Good illustration here of the inferior level of IgA abs production provided by vaccines and rapid decay. journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
For non-technical readers, basic idea is IgA antibodies are produced by in the nose and respiratory passages and are the first line of defense against respiratory viruses. Current gen vax is intramuscular injection and as Figure 2 shows here, produces minimal IgA protection.
This is why vaxxed get infected. But more than that, vaxxed can get infected and carry virus in their nose and mouth for days before immune system activates. So vaxxed (1) produce same viral load as unimmune, unvaxxed and (2) can superspread without knowing it for days.
Good accessible summary for those who aren't familiar with the importance of muscosal immunity: wsj.com/articles/covid…
Mucosal immunity is also a major reason why (rare) Ni breakthrough infections are almost invariably (1) asymptomatic or very, very mild and (2) far less infectious than vax breakthrough (which are similar to unimmune-unvaxxed. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
This is likely one reason why it has been so difficult to document cases of (1) reinfection PLUS (2) transmission to others. Moreover, while vax to vax transmission is common (including superspreader all-vax events) are there any cases of NI to NI transmission in the world?
To sum up, there are 4 basic reasons why NI>vax: (1) mucosal immunity (IgA), (2) durability (15+ months), (3) protection against variants, and (4) much lower infectiousness on breakthrough. The first 3 provide superior protection against infection (1) and (4) reduce transmission.
Here's a case study that illustrates the dynamic. frontiersin.org/articles/10.33… "We present a case of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a healthcare worker despite the presence of highly neutralizing, multivariant-specific antibodies 7 weeks after full vaccination with the mRNA vaccine BNT162b2.
"We show that the virus replicated to high levels in the upper respiratory tract over the course of several days in the presence of strong antibody responses. The virus was readily propagatable in vitro, demonstrating the potential to transmit to others...
"bolstered by the fact that several household members were equally infected.... He developed high levels of viral load detectable in the pharyngeal swabs, and was likely to infect others."

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8 Dec
Another early and important paper on NI, vax, and boosters from the canary in the coal mine (Israel). Some novel and original data here on so-called "hybrid immunity" (the first I've seen at least). medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Baseline finding reaffirms yet again uncontestable conclusion: NI provides superior and far more durable protection against infection than vaccination. Protection of NI at 8-10 months is equivalent to vax at 0-2 months and protection of NI at 12+months to vax at ~3 months.
Figure 3C is booster data. Authors definition of "Booster" is interesting: "Booster: Individuals who received a third (booster) dose 12 or more days previously and had not been infected before the start of the study period." Why 12 days?
Read 12 tweets
7 Dec
pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/ac… "By tracking the evolutionary trajectories of vax-resistant mutations in more than 2.2 million SARS-CoV-2 genomes, we reveal that the occurrence and frequency of vaccine-resistant mutations correlate strongly with the vax rates in Europe and America."
"Moreover, from Figure 4, one can see that the frequency of the Y449S mutation has a tendency to increase similar to that of the fully vaccinated ratio...
Read 8 tweets
6 Dec
Apparently now they are going to change the definition of "leaky vaccine" along with "herd immunity" and "vaccine" to that it "reduces" infection and transmission instead of "prevents" it?
healthline.com/health-news/le… "“These vaccines also allow the virulent virus to continue evolving precisely because they allow the vaccinated individuals, and therefore themselves, to survive,” said Venugopal Nair, who led the research team...
"These less-than-perfect vaccines create a “leaky” barrier against the virus. Vaccinated individuals may get sick but have less severe symptoms, but the virus survives long enough to transmit to others, which allows it to survive and spread throughout a population....
Read 4 tweets
6 Dec
Paper on the efficacy of vaccine passports at limiting transmission. medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Conclusion: "The transmission risk reduction gained by excluding unvaccinated people is
very small for most settings."
They develop a metric of "Net Needed [unvaccinated] to Exclude" to prevent one infection: "healthcare (NNE=4,699), work/study places (NNE=2,193), meals/gatherings (NNE=531), public places (NNE=1,731), daily conversation (NNE=587), and
transportation (NNE=4,699)."
In other words, it would be necessary to exclude 4,699 unvaccinated people from healthcare facilities to prevent one infection. Needless to say, there would be substantial cost from exclusion as well.
Read 9 tweets
1 Dec
"Although it is not the Courts duty to ask whether CMS’s decision was “the best one possible” or even whether there were “better [] alternatives,” the
Court must ensure there exists a “rational connection between the facts found and the choice
made....
"As an[ ] example, CMS rejected mandate alternatives in those with natural immunity
by a previous coronavirus infection. But, elsewhere, it plainly contradicts itself regarding the value of natural immunity. Id. at 61,604 (“[A]bout 100,000 a day have recovered from infection....
Read 12 tweets
1 Dec
Louisiana v Bacerra content.govdelivery.com/attachments/MT… "The rejection of natural immunity as an alternative is puzzling. Natural immunity is the immunity of people who have been infected with the COVID-19 virus."
"In rejecting this alternative, the CMS Mandate stated:
While a significant number of healthcare staff have been infected with SARS-Co-V2, evidence indicates their infection-induced immunity, also called “natural immunity” is not equivalent to receiving the COVID-19
vaccine."
"The “evidence” CMS relied upon in rejecting that alternative is not provided."
Read 7 tweets

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