Terry Smith is often referred to as "the English Warren Buffett".
He runs Fundsmith which has a fund size of £27.9bn.
Despite the size, Fundsmith did a CAGR of 18.4%.
In his book Investing for Growth, he explains his investing philosophy.
Here's a breakdown:
1. Fundsmith's winning formula
Find companies that focus on delivering value.
Not those who are looking to pacify Wall Street with short-term results.
2. Avoiding "cheap" companies?
Low multiples are not a reason to buy a company.
A ship will continue to sink if it has a hole in it.
"A stock may have a low valuation but an even lower intrinsic value. Buying such a stock is not a recipe for investment success."
3. Getting quality right
For long-term investors, getting the quality of the business is more important than the valuation.
“An investor could have paid 281 times earnings for L’Oréal, 156 times for Colgate, and 147 times for Brown-Forman and still beat the market.”
4. "Unprofitable" companies could be good investments
Many of the best companies don't show earnings today.
But that's because they're heavily reinvesting for the future.
It's just that the earnings hasn't show up.
5. Not all growth are good
Growth is good only when the return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeds the cost of capital (COC).
If COC > ROIC, the company destroys value as it grows.
6. On share buybacks
A repurchase only creates value if the shares are trading below intrinsic value and there is no better use for the cash.
7. On price anchoring
Often times investors hold back from buying because they "missed the boat".
Or they're waiting for it to "retrace back".
If it's a good company and within your buy range, just buy it.
8. 10 advice for retail investors
-If you don't fully understand it, don't invest
-Don't try to time the market
-Minimize fees
-Deal as infrequently as possible
-Don't over-diversify
-Never invest just to avoid tax
-Never invest in poor-quality companies
-Buy shares in a business which can be run by an idiot
-Don't engage in "greater fool theory"
-If you don't like what's happening to your shares, switch off the screen
Fundsmith is on track for its 5th year of underperformance.
In a recent interview, Terry Smith explains the reasons why—and what he thinks is wrong with the market today.
Key insights: 🧵
Smith breaks down the underperformance into distinct phases:
2022-23: Interest rates rose from 0% to 5%
2023: Magnificent Seven concentration
2024: AI boom/hype
Throughout: Passive fund flows
He claims each one is a headwind for quality investors.
On interest rates:
Quality companies trade at higher valuations because more cash flows are in the future. When rates rise, they behave like long-dated bonds—they get hit harder.
"When rates go up, our type of companies suffer in share price terms and companies which we wouldn't own which are very cyclical or not very good actually relatively benefit."
Eric Seufert and Ben Thompson just released an interview that reframes AI monetization strategy.
Why affiliate links fail, why "agentic commerce" won't happen, the Netflix lesson OpenAI is ignoring, and Meta's first real bear case in years.
What stood out: 🧵
Context: Everyone assumes ChatGPT will monetize through affiliate links (Walmart, Etsy partnerships).
Seufert's argument: this is the wrong model. And the urgency is real—"OpenAI needs to launch its ads product today, they cannot wait."
Why affiliate advertising is wrong for ChatGPT:
1. It only monetizes queries with commercial intent
Seufert: "If you're using ads, you get to monetize everything because it's every single engagement. If you're just using affiliate links, you can only monetize the ones that are like, 'What's the DSLR camera?'."
This is what happens when you answer the "tell me about your weakness" question too honestly.
PayPal CEO Alex Chriss at Citi's FinTech Conference laid out the challenges so clearly it spooked the market.
Here's what he said: 🧵
1/ Consumer spending deteriorated suddenly mid-September and it's persisting into Q4.
Chriss: "We started to see a slowdown on consumers, particularly around discretionary spending, retail and really in middle to low income brackets, which play a significant role in PayPal."
The weakness is concentrated: "If we look at some of our cohorts of higher income spenders, they're still spending. But we are seeing pressure for middle to lower income."
Q4 branded checkout expected to grow slower than Q3 as a result.
2/ The branded checkout rollout is taking much longer than expected.
Only 20% complete after significant time. Chriss admitted: "That's probably the piece I underestimated the most in terms of just how long it would take to get that experience out to customers."
The timeline? "We're just going to have to go through the hard work over the next few quarters and maybe even a couple of years to get through our backlog of merchants."
Years, not quarters. That's a meaningful delay.
Why so slow? Technical debt worse than realized.
Chriss: "We have 15-plus years of really bespoke integrations across our merchant base. This was something I personally didn't appreciate when I got here of just how many different integration patterns there have been."