There was a tornado outbreak with a 219 mile ground track in 1925. Was that climate change? I know no one ever thinks they're spreading disinformation, but that's what you're doing when you assert a causal link without evidence between an extreme weather event and climate change
The explanatory mechanism is different, but otherwise this is the same mental process as arguing that God is sending storms to punish us for being bad, or voting for the wrong people, or whatever.
Global warming doesn't mean worse weather all the time everywhere, until people who don't share our political opinions repent. (I'm writing this thread in anger because I saw some ghoul this morning tweeting about how Kentucky should sit back and think about who they voted for.)
I think part of this mindset is an attempt to rescue a sense of agency. What's within our reach now is changing total warming within our lifetime by a few tenths of a degree in either direction. How much more satisfying to think we have the power to toggle the killer tornadoes.
So if we can't ascribe extreme weather events to anthropogenic climate change, how can we ever know that our actions have angered the heavens? Easy: comets. The more comets we see, the angrier we'll know the heavens are.

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More from @Pinboard

13 Dec
Yay, I get to do my rant about the Sabatier reaction in spaaaaace!

Gather round, everyone, and listen to the story of:

CO₂ + 4H₂ →CH₄ + 2H₂O
Everyone loves the Sabatier reaction because it takes carbon dioxide and turns it into something useful: water and methane (aka rocket fuel or natural gas, depending on who you want to raise the funding from). All you need is a hot metal catalyst and some hydrogen.
This reaction (or a family relative) is part of the SpaceX plan for Mars. You fire autonomous robot factories at Mars with a supply of hydrogen, they unfold their huge solar panels, and in a year you've got 250 metric tons of liquid fuel to refuel your rocket with when you land
Read 13 tweets
13 Dec
A disorienting aspect of climate change is that there is a lot of potential sea level rise from runaway processes in Greenland and Antarctica, and those are locked in and going to happen (or not) even if we were to cut all emissions to zero tonight. washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
If I am salty about the "climate emergency" framing, it's because of stuff like this. Scaring people out of their wits with the misleading message that we still have one last chance to save the planet is not a good idea, and it's not true.
Like, come on. Failed planet? It's still easily in the solar system top three. This stuff is anxiety porn, a Weather Channel for the younger generation, part of this weird cultural moment that amplifies hopelessness and despair. Go take a walk, clear your head—it's warm outside! Image
Read 6 tweets
4 Dec
Cryptocurrency in theory: transactions enforced by code, you don't need to trust anyone, money can instantly go anywhere, banks can't stop you

In practice: transactions enforced by bugs in code, you can't trust anyone, money can instantly go anywhere, banks can't help you
Traditional banking: your funds are secured by an intrusive apparatus of government surveillance and a set of hoary laws passed in the 1930s

Cryptocurrency: your funds are secured by a long, random integer in the wallet app your spouse just deleted to make room for Candy Crush
Fiat money: a social fiction sustained by the implicit threat of state violence that will lose all value when society collapses

Cryptocurrency: a borderless, anarchic store of value that will endure for as long as there is power, internet, and millions of servers running it 24/7
Read 5 tweets
2 Dec
Another day, another $120M cryptocurrency theft. The mechanism here highlights a point I made before—given a set of decentralized, unusable tools, civilians will gravitate to centralized, easy to use tools like the website that just stole all their money. theblockcrypto.com/post/126072/de…
The list of assets stolen is great. From "wrapped bitcoin (WBTC) and convex finance (CVX) to more complicated tokens like "ibbtc/sbtcCRV-f." The idea is that you put your funny money on BadgerDAO, and it's loaned out and you make a preposterous rate of interest, risk-free!
How did thieves defeat the decentralized, mathematically proven distributed and trustless nature of this DeFi protocol? By stealing the Cloudflare key of the website everyone was using. In other words, the centralized intermediary that gated access to the centralized website.
Read 6 tweets
2 Dec
Also could use an explanation of why the stops stayed in place this long.
Not to mention how many of the stops seem to remain in place. I flew through Dallas-Fort Worth not long ago, a major travel hub for a big airline. Why couldn't I get a rapid covid test there, or for that matter a vaccine? Why aren't there pop-up testing and vax clinics all over?
Seems to me like a vaccination requirement for domestic air travel, coupled with day-of-departure vaccination clinics at airports and measures to help those who are scared of needles, might be another stop Biden could pull out in the holiday travel season.
Read 8 tweets
1 Dec
I realize I'm being a broken record about this, but Congress took two weeks off knowing this was coming, and Biden had the Constitutional authority to call them back into session. This is a failure to lead.
Too much of the dysfunction in D.C. right now is either lack of urgency (failure to file paperwork on an FDA nomination, various vacancies) or a stop-and-go legislative process that tries to force progress through unrealistic, self-imposed deadlines intended to provoke a crisis.
As a chronic procrastinator who self-motivates by last-minute panic, I understand the approach, but I also don't think people like me should be running the country. At the very least, that leadership failure deserves to be called out by a press corps that currently enables it.
Read 4 tweets

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