In 2019 I wrote that Boris Johnson had done more for a United Ireland than the IRA ever did. Ashcroft’s startling poll of NI voters proves this assessment was more accurate than I could have guessed.🧵
22% of voters have shifted in the direction of a United Ireland as a result of Brexit 
Nearly 50% think Brexit has made a United Ireland much more likely and another 18% slightly more likely
A particular impact on the younger generation: 85% aged 18-24 said there should be a border poll at some point in the future, 72% think it should be held within the next 10 years. 71% said they would vote for unification, with 24% opting to stay in the UK
This doesn’t mean there will be a majority for a United Ireland any time soon. But it does mean we need to start thinking about the consequences, particularly if SF gain control of government north and south, rather than burying our heads in the sand.
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