Tomorrow, the Berlin district court will announce its verdict in the Kleiner Tiergarten murder case. The prosecution wants a conviction for Vadim Krasikov for life as a state-ordered assassination. The defense pleads that it was manslaughter, and there's no state involvement.
Manslaughter is an interesting point of view. I imagine the argument is that Krasikov ran the victim over with his bicycle and the gun fell from his pocket fired into the victim accidentally, before ricocheting into the nearby river.
It's very unlikely the judge will deem Krasikov to be innocent (or that he's named "Sokolov" - a non-existent persona created for this assassination). But it will be interesting if he will place the blame on the Kremlin, as the prosecution seeks to prove.
Dozens of data-points show that the killing was state-sponsored, and was organized by the FSB via its proxy - the Vympel group of "former" FSB spetznaz officers, as presented in a series of investigations made jointly by @bellingcat, @derspiegel and @the_ins_ru.
(data points including the complete fake identity given to the killer, along with tax number etc, the issuance of fake identities to his family after his arrest, his phone calls to FSB officers and his presence at scure FSB compounds in the weeks before his trip to Berlin)
Tomorrow's court decision will also be important milestone as the judge will have to decide if data gathered & analyzed by investigative journalists - which made a large part of the prosecution's case - rises to the level of forensic evidence that the court needs for a verdict.
Here's one of our investigations published last year - a good refresher before tomorrow's court verdict bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-eu…
Here's one of the most thorough reports on what took place in the last few days at the Berlin courtroom: from @tavisupleba tagesschau.de/inland/tiergar…
According to do the German prosecutors, @bellingcat did the job of the Russian State, which refused to comply with international obligations to cooperate in cross border investigations.

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More from @christogrozev

7 Dec
My buddies at GRU are at it again. Very creative bait this time, I almost believed it.. Good that I GOGLED the domain first.
(so the phishing bait implies the FSB - who control the Donetsk-based MGB) - are trying to hack my account. If this is GRU, it would be GRU using FSB as bait which is ironic.. If it's FSB themselves, it's just onanic)
So the "from:" domain is parked at reg.ru. But the active click-through payload domain is this. Interesting, a .ru google look-alike domain, meaning most targets are meant to be within RU. We saw something similar in a phishing campaign about six months ago.
Read 4 tweets
17 Sep
Putin's spokesman applauds @Apple and @Google's deleting of @navalny-linked apps.
Can't wait for @apple and @google's reactions when the Kremlin bans *them* in Russia (because that's coming).
An example of globalization playing in the hands of authoritarianism. The Netflixes and Apples and Amazons become hostages to revenue streams from non-free markets and then the broken concept of "legal sovereignty" closes the circuit.
Read 6 tweets
9 Sep
Ukrainian president's party MP says tomorrow there will be a closed parliamentary session on "the Wagner topic" followed by a press conference at 15:30 local time where "everything that can be legally said about the Wagnerites will be disclosed".
m.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10…
Well it is kind of a historic day in Ukraine. The ruling party finally admitted there was a Ukrainian intel sting operation aimed at capturing Russian mercenaries outside RU territory. However, they say, the plans did not include landing a plane in Kyiv but arrests in Turkey.
Plus, they say, there was information that Russian security services were aware of the sting operation.
Well, this is a start. Leaves lots of unanswered questions, but it's a start. google.com/amp/s/nv.ua/am…
Read 4 tweets
21 Aug
In an exclusive interview, the brother-in-law of Vadim Krasikov (the person accused of the murder of Zelimkhan Khangoshvili in Berlin's Kleiner Tiergarten two years ago), tells us he positively recognized the person held in Berlin as his in-law.
Alexander V. from Kharkiv already testified in Berlin's court last month. However, there he stopped short of identifying conclusively the detained assassin as his in-law, Vadim Krasikov. Shortly after his court appearance, he contacted us to explain he didn't speak the full truth
Sadly, his email had gone into the proverbial spam folder, until we discovered it just days ago. We rushed to interview him in Kyiv: with journalists from @bellingcat, @derspiegel and @the_ins_ru questioning Alexander for hours.
Read 14 tweets
21 Aug
Now a more serious thread on the new "Novichok sanctions". First, I disagree with many of the comments that "sanctions against low-level staff are useless". On the contrary, I think individual name-and-shame sanctions are important to deter future recruiting efforts by FSB/GRU.
It's one thing when media publish names & photos of suspected poisoners; a new level of stigma when governments sanction them (and validate media's findings). These guys were promised protection, cover and anonymity by their employers. Now they're on public blacklists forever.
...the next job interviews for GRU and FSB's poison departments won't go smooth... thus much fewer Kudryavtsevs, Osipovs, and Alexandrovs to pick from...and those who apply will be the dumbest ones anyway.
Read 6 tweets
20 Aug
Hey UK Treasury, where's the hyperlink? :) ImageImageImageImage
By popular demand, as many of you asked "But what about [talkative overqualified laundry man Kudryavtsev??".. Here he is, in today's sanctions by the US Treasury. Image
Read 5 tweets

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