It's starting to sound like Manchin is more willing to cave on voting rights at this time, than on Build Back Better. So if Democratic leadership is going in that direction, it's smart. Get Manchin to cave on voting rights now, find a way to get him to him to cave on BBB later.
"But Manchin will never cave no matter what!"
Uh, no. Manchin (and Sinema) already caved on the first half of the infrastructure bill, which is now law. Why do we listen to the fools who insist Manchin and Sinema will never cave on anything, when they've ALREADY CAVED on things?
"But the democrats will lose the midterms because BBB didn't pass!"
Again, no. We have all of 2022 to find a way to pass BBB. The midterms are in November 2022, and not, as so many doomsday pundits want to pretend, taking place next week.
So many of you have spent all year insisting we're "doomed" due to the lack of progress on voting rights legislation. Now that voting rights legislation is seriously IN PLAY, many of you same folks are trying to spin it as a loss. Come on, pick one story or the other.
"But Manchin won't support voting rights no matter what!"
Again, the defeatists on our side ALWAYS base their doomsday predictions on this kind of simplistic, hyperbolic, absolutist rhetoric. They always frame politics in terms of cartoon characters. This is the adult world.
Only a political moron views any of this in terms of "I trust Manchin" or "I don't trust Manchin." That's not ever relevant. It's about finding LEVERAGE over a bad guy like Manchin, and using it to squeeze what you need out of them, before he resumes lining his pockets elsewhere.
It was never about whether Mark Meadows was "good" or "bad" or could be "trusted." It was never about him "seeing the light" or an appeal to his patriotism. It was about using the dirt on him to scare him into providing what was needed, before he went back to being Mark Meadows.
Meadows is a traitor, while Manchin is just a moderately corrupt politician. But it's the same concept. It's not about reforming these kinds of assholes. It's not about judging them. It's about using leverage to squeeze what you need out of them. That's how you win in politics.
If you're sitting around talking about whether Manchin can be "trusted" or whether he's "good" or "bad" then you're not in any way relevant to the political process that's playing out. Do you want to waste your life whining about him, or do you want to smarty win these battles?
If you want to win, the people yelling "Manchin will never cave no matter what" are your ENEMY. In fact they're the most dangerous enemy you're facing. They're the ones giving Manchin a free pass to do the wrong thing, because they want to lose, so they can feel more outrage.
If you just want to sit around and make doomsday predictions so you can look smart if your side loses, then so be it. But you'd better not dare ever call yourself an "activist." You're just a sick person who doesn't care about anyone or anything, beyond getting to feel outrage.
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Now that the 1/6 committee has unearthed enough dirt for the media to want to run with it as a Trump/GOP scandal, the media no longer feels compelled to make up phony Biden scandals for ratings, and Biden’s approval rating is ticking upward accordingly. Funny how that works.
Keep in mind that the media (with the exception of Fox) doesn’t want to have to rely on phony Biden scandals for ratings. That causes credibility issues for them, and it turns out phony Biden scandals don’t boost ratings much anyway. It’s just all they’ve had to work with lately.
Trump is under criminal investigation in three jurisdictions, two of which have reached the grand jury stage. Huge pivotal story. But info publicly surfaces so slowly at this stage of a criminal probe, the media can’t do daily stories on it, and so mostly just ignores it.
When the 1/6 committee kept the name hidden of the congress member who texted Mark Meadows, we said the committee was trying to bait that person into stupidly outing themselves. Sure enough, Jim Jordan just stupidly outed himself:
Jordan outed himself so he could argue that the committee inadvertently placed a period at the end of his text message. That’s pretty stupid, but he’s pretty stupid. You take down stupid criminals by baiting them into taking themselves down.
Why is it better for the committee that Jordan outed himself?
1) It didn’t have to risk looking partisan by forcibly outing him
2) Makes it easier to subpoena him (and get contempt charges to stick if necessary), because he’s admitting he sent the text.
The pundits who yell "we're running out of time" aren't trying to motivate you go out and fight. They're trying to convince you that you're doomed no matter what, so instead of going out and fighting, you might as well just stare at your screen and drive up their ratings.
Their definition of "we're running out of time" is always some variation of 1) the midterms are next week, 2) we've already lost the midterms, 3) we're all doomed by this time tomorrow anyway, or 4) Democratic leaders are all cowardly idiots who are going to lose no matter what.
Nowhere in any of this doomsday rhetoric is there ever a viable suggestion for how to actually win. It's always unrealistic nonsense like "subpoena everyone right this second!" or "replace this Democratic leader in the middle of the term." Things that obviously would never work.
When it comes to getting vaguely bad actors like Manchin and Sinema to vote a certain way, it has NOTHING to do with “trust” or “faith.”
It’s not about trusting or not trusting them. It’s about using leverage to PRESSURE them into caving to us. Any other take is naive gibberish.
If you think winning these battles has anything to do with "I don't trust Manchin to the right thing," then to put it bluntly, you have a political IQ of zero. You're wasting your time following politics because you have no clue what you're even watching unfold.
Since the media and the pundit class have almost zero interest in educating you about how politics works, it's understandable. But it's still up to you to look past the punditry drivel, and see how politics actually works. It's right there in front of you.
No offense but this is actually the worst, most harmful, most destructive take anyone can possibly have. Not only are you giving up, you’re letting Manchin and Sinema off the hook. Do you want to win or are you TRYING to lose? Stop with the doomsday stuff, and fight to win!
1) Manchin and Sinema already caved on infrastructure, which is absolute proof that they’ll cave under the right amount of pressure
2) Manchin is meeting with democratic leadership today to discuss exempting voting rights legislation from the filibuster.
So not only are the “Manchin and Sinema will never cave no matter what” types being destructive with its doomsday rhetoric, they’re also very clearly incorrect on the basic facts and circumstances of the matter.
“1/6 Committee Democrats should be more like Liz Cheney!”
WRONG.
The democrats understand that because they’re taking down the other party, they have to sound judicious in the eyes of voters in the middle.
Cheney can get uglier with it because she’s taking down her own party.
Believe it or not, these Democrats know what they’re doing (and so does Cheney). They know their audience. They know what rhetoric works or backfires.
Most pundits on here either have no idea how any of this works, or are just falsely attacking the democrats to try to look cool.
This committee is going to end up referring Trump for criminal prosecution. When they do it, they’re going to need a majority of the public on board with it. That means not being seen as overzealously partisan or getting ahead of the evidence, in the eyes of voters in the middle.