What I mean by that is that debts have to be paid above all else. For example, if you own a house (i.e., you have “equity” ownership) and you can’t make the mortgage payments, the house will be sold or taken away. (1/5)
In other words, the creditor will get paid ahead of the owner of the house. As a result, when your income is less than your expenses and your assets are less than your liabilities (i.e., debts), you are on the way to having to sell your assets. (2/5)
Unlike what most people intuitively think, there isn’t a fixed amount of money and credit in existence. Money and credit can easily be created by central banks. (3/5)
People, companies, nonprofit organizations, and governments like it when central banks make a lot of money and credit because it gives them more spending power. When the money and credit are spent, it makes most goods, services, and investment assets go up in price. (4/5)
It also creates debt that has to be repaid, which requires people, companies, nonprofit organizations, and governments to eventually spend less than they earn, which is difficult and painful. That is why money, credit, debt, and economic activity are inherently cyclical. (5/5)
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Last month, I offered you 20,000 @TisBest Charity Gift Cards to donate to the charities of your choice. There were no strings attached - my hope was simply that you would experience the joy of receiving a charitable gift rather than a traditional one. (1/4)
That offer was so popular that it was gone in less than a day. (2/4)
I'm now happy to share that since then, a great group of people—@AriannaHuff, @aplusk, Mila Kunis, @Droz, @GayleKing, Jewel, @JayShettyIW, @Kevin, and Paul Tudor Jones —has stepped up to contribute so that we can together make a new offer. (3/4)
Now that things have calmed down I want to clarify what I meant when I sloppily answered a question about China from Andrew Ross Sorkin that created a misunderstanding of my views. (1/6)
I assure you that I didn’t mean to convey that human rights aren’t important because I certainly believe they are and I didn’t mean to convey that the US and China deal with these issues similarly because they certainly don’t. (2/6)
I am an American who has lived my whole life in the US, experiencing the American Dream, and I believe in our system. At the same time, I have spent more than half my life in contact with China which has helped me understand their system as well. (3/6)
Because knowledge is gained more than it is lost, it advances more in spurts and sputters than in cycles that have downs as well as ups. The spurts come when societies are in the upward swings of the Big Cycle and the sputters come when they are in the downward swings.
Renaissance periods of great creativity that produce advances in most areas (sciences, arts, philosophies about how people should govern, etc.) come more during the peaceful & prosperous parts of the Big Cycle, when the systems for creating innovations are good rather than bad.
While specific inventions and the ways they come about have evolved through time, they have unwaveringly evolved toward doing and making things better, replacing manual labor with machines and automation, and making people around the world more interconnected.
I'm so glad to finally be releasing my new book, Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order, today. (1/6)
A few years ago, I observed that we were experiencing things that had never happened in my lifetime but had happened many times before in history. (2/6)
As a global macro investor, I knew that I wouldn’t be able to understand and navigate what’s happening today—much less what may come—without having a deep understanding of the cause-effect relationships of economic events that are embedded in the patterns of history. (3/6)
Such orders have always existed at every level—within families, companies, cities, states, and countries, as well as internationally. They determine who has what powers and how decisions are made, including how wealth and political control are divided. (1/4)
What they are and how they run is a function of human nature, culture, and circumstances. The US now has a certain set of existing political conditions within its democratic system...(2/4)
...but both the conditions and the system are ever-changing because of the pressure of timeless and universal forces. (3/4)
Sometimes people mistake generosity for not being fair.
For example, when Bridgewater arranged for a bus to shuttle people who live in New York City to our Connecticut office... (1/4)
... one employee asked, "It seems it would be fair to also compensate those of us who spend hundreds of dollars on gas each month, particularly in light of the NYC bus."
This line of thinking mistakes an act of generosity for some for an entitlement for everyone. (2/4)
Fairness & generosity are different things. Generosity is good and entitlement is bad, & they can easily be confused, so be crystal clear on which is which. Decisions should be based on what you believe is warranted in a particular circumstance & what will be most appreciated.3/4