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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
@sfrantzman
Dec 15, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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December 17, 2015; Sharfadin, Iraq.
Near Snune
The road from Rabiah
Sinjar, sunrise.
Investigating the ISIS crimes against humanity, Sinjar, 2015 (don’t think I posted this ever before)
One of the mass graves found by locals we were shown at the time. The horror has not been prosecuted or fully documented to this day.

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 30, 2024
There is one brutal enduring fact about the war in Gaza.

Hamas sees the entire war as a success and if it could go back to October 6 it would do it again.
More jarring is that most of the NGOs and UN orgs that work in Gaza would like the war to end and have Hamas continue to rule Gaza. They don’t see the Hamas attack as a disaster for Gaza. They see Israel’s response as bad, but they think Hamas is a good steward of Gaza. They have partnered with Hamas and profited immensely off its rule. They want to perpetuate Hamas rule and they feed off the disasters and suffering it brings.
Defeating Hamas is made more difficult by the stakeholders in Gaza who prefer Hamas. This is not just the NGOs and UN, but also Ankara and Doha and other countries. Hamas has massive backing globally. And all those backers see October 7 as a success. None of them saw October 7 as a breaking point. There is not ONE example of an NGO or country that formerly engaged with Hamas saying “this is a red line, we now recognize this organization can’t run Gaza in the future.”
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 30, 2024
As there are remembrances of former President Jimmy Carter, with differing views on his legacy; I'd like to draw attention to his 2009 trip to the Middle East which symbolizes his approach. He met with Assad, and reported only on Assad's complaints about the US but didn't mention anything about the Assad regime abuses.Image
Now let's compare that with his meetings with the Palestinian Authority where he pressed them on police policies and abuses. He mentioned prisoners who were detained for political reasons. So in Syria he couldn't mention political prisoners or police abuses, but he could complain to the Palestinian Authority, a much smaller and weaker polity about abuses?Image
He went to Israel and he writes about being "grilled" by Knesset members and he writes about human rights. But he never mentions human rights in Syria. Image
Read 11 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 29, 2024
Worrying trend in this sub-head "forces strggle to find purpose in their current mision." It's easy to go into these types of situations, it can be harder to leave. The multi-front war has a lot of diminishing returns and lack of clarity as to "what next" on almost every front is embodied in headlines likeImage
In Gaza the IDF is fighting in northern Gaza, but there is no clear path forward regarding central Gaza where Hamas continues to run a kind of mini-state and hold 100 hostages. There's no clear way to defeat Hamas or remove it or return the hostages (and there's no urgency in their return despite recent harrowing reports)
On the Houthi front, four rounds of airstrikes have not apparently deterred them yet. Will more airstrikes work?
Read 9 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 25, 2024
This list should have been provided a year ago. The fact that Israel was willing to sit down for a year of useless talks and that Israel’s partners such as the U.S. who also sat down in these rooms, did this without even a list is really unconscionable. It should have been the first thing delivered, even if it was provided to a neutral third party. These hostage talks have never been serious and media reports and leaks have provided false hopes for a year and it is unconscionable. A disgrace that this was allowed to happen. It also shows Hamas was never under pressure and they think they are winning and their hosts and backers such as Doha told them not to produce a list. I don’t see why these talks ever took place without one. It’s vile
Israel also got played this way during the first hostage release. It’s unclear why this method was ever agreed to. Israel is the one with the powerful military ostensibly applying pressure so it should be dictating terms.
It seems that the only way to get the list and change how these deals are structured is for Trump and his incoming team to begin to step in. I think team Trump would probably demand the list up front. There wouldn’t be this lack of clarity either Hamas running everything maybe?
Read 8 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 23, 2024
This is interesting. It turns out the "genocide" claim about Israel's actions in Gaza began just days after the Hamas attack on Israel. Hamas murdered 1,000 people in a day, in an attack that was actually genocidal in its attempts to kill every person Hamas encountered.

However, it appears that very quickly, maybe within hours of the Hamas massacre beginning, people began to try to create a false narrative that Israel was the one committing "genocide." Israel hadn't even identified the huge number of dead and missing, but already scholars and others were mobilizing to accuse Israel of "genocide."

This is the origin of this claim and it is fascinating that it is laid out below in such chronology. On October 15, 2023, while Israel was still identifying the remains of the Hamas genocide of Israelis and others at Nova festival, including foreign workers; scholars warned of "potential" genocide in Gaza. Israel hadn't even begun its offensive in Gaza and this narrative was already created. This is key to understanding how the story was written with the conclusion already.Image
Note also that none of these scholars or experts or “consensus” seemed to care about the Hamas attack, they didn’t first investigate that attack on Oct 15 or war about Hamas genocidal attacks, they immediately moved to create a narrative of “genocide” in Gaza.

This is fascinating, and I think probably rare in history that the victims are ignored so completely and the aggressor is immediately turned into the victim. It’s like reading about the Rwandan genocide of Tutsi and being told that the real fear is of a genocide of Hutus, without even first discussing the Tutsi victims. It’s like ignoring the Darfur genocide and claiming the real fear of for people in Khartoum.

The experts didn’t even bother to investigate and condemn the Hamas crimes; they immediately claimed genocide was happening in Gaza before Israel even entered Gaza. Hamas was parading hostages around and dragging bodies through the streets and the “scholars” didn’t even notice the victims like Shani Louk, they didn’t even bother demanding the hostages including the baby and toddler Bibas brothers be returned; they ignored all the victims.

This is clearly an example of how this entire “genocide” claim was manufactured from Oct 7 onwards. With the flick of a switch the usual suspects set in motion this claim. Not based on any evidence or actions, it was a pre-determined conclusion. It’s possible that already on Oct 7 documents were written or being written and distributed to accuse Israel of genocide, not even mentioning the Hamas attack. Maybe this was coordinated at the highest levels among “human rights” groups and Doha and other perdue actors. The signal to prepare the libel was the Hamas attack.

That’s why they ignored the attack, because this was maybe pre-planned so the talking points were there. That’s why these “scholars” never seemed to even notice the victims of the Nova festival. That’s why these reports often don’t even mention the Hamas crimes.
UN experts called to “prevent genocide” on November 2, only five days after Israel’s ground offensive began. The same UN experts NEVER called to prevent Hamas from committing its genocide on October 7. Why? Why don’t they call on Hamas to stop its attacks and stop massacring people and release the hostages?
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Dec 19, 2024
Here is a question. Medical charities that work in Gaza and NGOs such as the ICRC should have all asked for access to the hostages. It's likely that through international mediation they could have gotten access to the hostages. But have you noticed that none of the NGOs or the intl community ever even tried to do this?
There was no loss to Hamas to permit access to the hostages by NGOs or the ICRC. It wouldn't change the terms of any deal. In fact it might have strengthened Hamas hand by showing that some of the hostages are healthy.
A country or NGO that had brokered and gotten this access would have gotten a lot of support. There were a lot of opportunities for this. But it wasn't done. And it doesn't appear Israel or the US or others pressed enough for this. Why?
Read 18 tweets

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