People often ask me what Reid would have done differently. Hypotheticals are hard: would he have been able to get Manchin and Sinema? Idk. But on one thing I'm confident: the minute he realized the Dem agenda hinged on a 50/50 majority, he would have replaced the Parliamentarian.
You do it right away. With everything else going on, it's a half-day story at best. It's just a staff job. Easy call.
And the CBO director too.
These things are entirely Beltway stories, and one of Reid’s superpowers was that he gave absolutely zero fucks about those kinds of stories.

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More from @AJentleson

16 Dec
Leaders should do what is right for the causes they care about when they have the power to enact change. They should not reverse-engineer their agenda out of fear of what the other side might do - especially when the other side can do all of these bad things anyway, as they will.
Yes, this is the classic case. Rs used reconciliation to try to repeal the ACA and failed to get a majority. Doing things is hard, but undoing them is hard too. Expansions of rights and the social safety net have proven particularly hard to roll back.
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
The butterfly meme, where the butterfly is Fox hammering CRT relentlessly and the guy is saying, “is this the national political environment”?
The latest “savvy” take is that it wasn’t CRT, it was “the national political environment.” What the hell do people think the national political environment is? Fox isn’t hammering Dems for failing to pass BIF, people,
“It wasn’t CRT because New Jersey.” Ah yes, because no GOP voters in New Jersey watch Fox News or use social media. Come on, man.
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
Democrats are handing Trump the opportunity to run on popular economic policies that they could not get done. Policies that target the suburbs.

"I alone can fix it."
I’m surprised at those who think Trump won’t do this. In 2016, Trump ran on popular, traditionally Democratic policies like protecting Medicare and Social Security. This was key to his appeal as a different kind of Republican. As POTUS, he actually signed a paid leave bill. 👇
Of course he’ll run on racism. But Jim Crow was propped up in part by showering whites with government largesse. Many of the biggest New Dealers were also the biggest white supremacists. Richard Russell created the school lunch program! MAGA = Racism + promised material benefits.
Read 4 tweets
12 Oct
@mattyglesias Not convinced! Most of those things are popular. I’m sure non donors support unpopular things too. But to me the larger issue is that, as I understand it, one of the core points of popularism/Shorism (and one that I value) is to elevate the importance of class conflict, and… 1/
@mattyglesias … I guarantee you that, within the Democratic infrastructure, one of the most powerful forces pushing back against any kind of class conflict narrative within the Democratic Party is the donor class. When we would push a narrative that amped up any kind of class conflict… 2/
@mattyglesias … we’d get a barrage of calls from donors: “why do you have to use such divisive rhetoric?” “We are the party of uniting, not dividing” “I though it was supposed to be, when they go low, we go high?” “Don’t bash the rich, people aspire to be rich… like me!” Which is to say… 3/
Read 5 tweets
7 Oct
This is a great illustration of the absurdity of the modern-day “filibuster.” It’s critical to remember that the Senate only requires a majority for bills to pass. Yes, even today. It was created as a majority-rule institution & existed that way well into the 20th century. But…
In 1917, Senate Rule 22 was introduced, which allowed a supermajority to invoke “cloture” to cut off debate, and move a bill to a majority-rule, final vote. Rule 22 was intended as a last-ditch means of *ending* talking filibusters. Before it, there was no way to cut off debate.
Fast forward 100 years’ worth of procedural & cultural changes to today’s Senate. Now, instead of standing on the floor, any senator can invoke Rule 22 simply by raising an objection. Then you have to invoke cloture (60 votes) before you can pass the bill on a majority-rule vote.
Read 6 tweets
30 Sep
Big news. What's so striking about the opposition to Sinema is that it's making the jump to the core of the party. She is blocking and gutting Biden's agenda for no good reason, hurting all Democrats - from Biden to everyone up in 2022 including her fellow Arizonan, Mark Kelly.
This is not the usual crowd! What Sinema is doing will have damaging policy consequences, but it is also bad politics. It is bad for Biden *and* bad for moderates, who will be the first to lose in 2022 if Democrats have a bad election night. I mean, when you’ve lost Third Way…😆
Sinema seems to have miscalculated politically, tanking her numbers among Democrats. Here’s a 🧵 from the summer on a @DataProgress poll, which is squarely in line with others. Her defenders point to her relatively high numbers with Rs. But here’s the problem with that…
Read 4 tweets

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