📉So far, medics in South Africa estimate that the case fatality rate of their omicron outbreak is about 0.5% compared with 3% for Delta.
"Admittedly, it’s still early days...but these data do look very encouraging" writes Dr Smith
😷Is the virus, in the face of the measures with which we confront it, now adapting in a more benign direction?
"The answer is that it might be – and this is where history can help, because we have strong evidence that it’s happened before"
"In 1890 a pandemic swept the globe and the death toll was more than a million."
"It was put down to flu, but, in more recent years, scientists have pieced together various lines of evidence suggesting that it was instead caused by a bovine coronavirus"
✍️"The 344-page report on the outbreak, penned in 1891 by ‘Dr Parsons’, documents strikingly similar symptoms to Covid among those afflicted, and even talks about a post-viral syndrome eerily similar to long Covid"
Scientists suspect the 1890 coronavirus left in its wake a herd of immune survivors who then, throughout the rest of their lives, periodically caught the virus again, but the disease was never as bad as each individual’s first encounter
🦠"We suspect that the virus retreated into the background, acquiring some genetic changes along the way to facilitate its persistence in humans, to become one of four common cold-causing coronaviruses that we all periodically catch from the time we’re born to the time we die"
"This gives us an insight into a possible direction that Covid might be taking, with omicron" writes Dr Smith
📈 Omicron is already causing record-breaking case numbers.
But extreme rises are likely to skew admissions and deaths figures to such a point that they may become largely useless in helping to drive policy, writes science editor @sarahknapton
🦠 Dr Susan Hopkins, chief medical adviser for UKHSA, predicted that Britain will see around 1m infections a day by the end of the year.
Under modelling by the London School and Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, roughly half the country could be infected with omicron by the spring
📊 The January death rate is around 0.09%, according to ONS.
So on a day of one million infections, we would expect 908 of those people to die naturally over the next month, yet currently all would end up in the Covid data
✏️You can now see how many Oxbridge offers pupils at every school in the UK - as well as international schools - have received each year between 2017 and 2021
📉Our data reveal that some of the country’s most prestigious private schools are now seeing their Oxbridge offers decline sharply while the number of offers made to some state schools have soared
➡️In a press conference from Downing Street on Wednesday night, Professor Whitty, urged “really serious caution” over reports that omicron was leading to fewer hospitalisations than delta
🇿🇦His comments were made after the first major real-world data from South Africa suggested that the country’s omicron wave had led to 23% fewer hospitalisations than when the delta variant was dominant telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/12/1…
🔴NEW: A laboratory leak is now the more likely origin of Covid, MPs have heard, because after two years of searching an animal host has never been found
Dr Alina Chan said there was also a risk that Covid-19 was an engineered virus.
"Right now it’s not safe for people who know about the origin of the pandemic to come forward. But we live in an era where there is so much information being stored that it will eventually come out"
Viscount Ridley said he also believed a lab leak was now the likely origin.
🗣️"After two years we still haven't found a single infected animal that could be the progenitor, and that’s incredibly surprising" telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/12/1…